Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.9 #190
Expected Predictive Rating -1.0 #182
Pace 74.0 #59
Improvement +2.1 #93

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #149 C- B- D A+ A-
Defense #252 D+ D C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #16 1.09 #259 +3.2 #84
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #301 0.77 #161 -2.1 #287
Three Pointers 39% #237 0.95 #266 -2.7 #279
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #224 -1.5 #225
Freethrows 22.9 #6 72% #214 16.4 #12
Second Chance 34.5% #70 1.05 #168 0.36 #92
Turnovers 18.5% #304
Total Offense +0.5 #149

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #17 1.25 #300 -6.6 #356
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #75 0.75 #170 -1.3 #285
Three Pointers 30% #364 1.06 #240 +5.0 #20
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #273 -2.9 #272
Freethrows 16.7 #130 74% #281 12.4 #153
Second Chance 30.5% #178 1.23 #351 0.37 #306
Turnovers 16.7% #170
Total Defense -2.5 #252

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.6% #32 0.2% #181
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.5% #263 5.5% #278
Possession Length 16.8 #122 16.5 #48
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #67 0.19 #250
Improvement +3.1 #37 -1.0 #257

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 6.2% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 25.4% 33.0% 12.3%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 70.7% 41.0%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.2% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.7% 3.9%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round5.1% 6.0% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Home) - 63.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 34 - 74 - 15
Quad 410 - 214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 35 @Wisconsin L 64 - 96 5% -8  0 - 1 -15 -3 D A+ F -12 C- F C
 Thu, Nov 6 52 @West Virginia L 65 - 73 8% -6  0 - 2 +6 +2 D B+ C+ +4 A+ D+ C
 Sun, Nov 9 260 Western Michigan W 91 - 82 74% +6  1 - 2 +1 +1 B- C F -1 C+ A- C
 Wed, Nov 19 217 @Weber St. L 85 - 91 44% -5  1 - 3 -6 +7 F A+ D- -13 F D C
 Fri, Nov 21 156 Texas Arlington W 71 - 67 42% -4  2 - 3 +4 -1 C- A+ F +5 A- C+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 63 @Wake Forest L 51 - 99 11% -26  2 - 4 -36 -17 F D B+ -18 F F F
 Tue, Dec 2 116 @Penn St. L 76 - 87 22% -5  2 - 5 -5 +1 C A+ F -5 F A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 296 Ball St. W 69 - 64 80% -1  3 - 5 -6 -9 F F C+ +3 B+ D+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 6 @Gonzaga L 70 - 98 2% -14  3 - 6 -4 -2 C+ C- F +2 D- B- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 71 @Minnesota L 50 - 78 12% -18  3 - 7 -17 -9 D- F F -12 F F B
 Tue, Dec 23 255 Green Bay W 102 - 79 72% +9  4 - 7 +15 +27 A+ A+ B- -11 F F A
 Mon, Dec 29 126 @Hofstra L 72 - 86 25% -12  4 - 8 0 - 1 -9 +4 F A A+ -14 D- F A+
 Wed, Dec 31 202 @Monmouth W 68 - 65 41% -2  5 - 8 1 - 1 +3 +3 F A+ F +0 A- C F
 Sat, Jan 3 259 Northeastern W 97 - 82 73% +8  6 - 8 2 - 1 +7 +15 A+ F A+ -9 D- D+ D-
 Thu, Jan 8 230 Hampton W 86 - 72 69% +13  7 - 8 3 - 1 +7 +7 C F D+ -0 D+ C A+
 Sat, Jan 10 184 @Elon L 82 - 83 38% +6  7 - 9 3 - 2 +0 +9 A- F A- -9 D+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 125 @UNC Wilmington L 75 - 78 24% +4  7 - 10 3 - 3 +2 +8 A+ F F -6 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 164 @College of Charleston L 83 - 87 33% -3  7 - 11 3 - 4 -1 +8 B- A+ F -9 F D- A
 Sat, Jan 24 202 Monmouth W 77 - 73 63%
 Thu, Jan 29 242 Stony Brook W 78 - 72 70%
 Sat, Jan 31 138 @William & Mary L 81 - 87 28%
 Thu, Feb 5 203 Drexel W 73 - 69 64%
 Sat, Feb 7 304 @N.C. A&T W 82 - 79 62%
 Sat, Feb 14 164 College of Charleston W 80 - 79 56%
 Thu, Feb 19 138 William & Mary L 84 - 85 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 125 UNC Wilmington L 75 - 76 46%
 Thu, Feb 26 203 @Drexel L 70 - 72 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 157 @Towson L 68 - 73 32%
 Tue, Mar 3 304 N.C. A&T W 85 - 76 81%
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 9 -2 +1 C- B- D -2 D+ D C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.3 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 5.4 1.5 0.1 8.5 3rd
4th 0.3 5.5 3.6 0.2 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 2.7 7.3 0.7 10.8 5th
6th 0.7 7.5 3.5 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 3.2 7.7 0.5 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 7.1 3.0 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.2 3.9 6.1 0.4 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 5.2 1.6 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.4 2.0 0.1 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.3 6.5 12.1 18.7 21.6 18.6 11.9 5.8 1.7 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 85.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-5 52.3% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 19.6% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 28.6% 28.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 1.7% 16.8% 16.8% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
12-6 5.8% 13.3% 13.3% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.0
11-7 11.9% 10.9% 10.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 10.6
10-8 18.6% 7.4% 7.4% 14.8 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.0 17.2
9-9 21.6% 3.3% 3.3% 15.2 0.6 0.1 20.9
8-10 18.7% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.5 18.2
7-11 12.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.0
6-12 6.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.4
5-13 2.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 14.7 94.8 0.0%