Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.8 263
Results Rating -6.2 261
Consistency 0.15 152
Pace 64.3 290
Improvement +1.0 151

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 285 D- C- C- B D
Defense C- 216 D+ C C- D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 255 D+ 54% 276 -2.9 288
2 Pt. Jumpers 51% 44 D 34% 310 +1.5 99
Three Pointers 37% 273 D 30% 314 -4.2 320
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 312 D -4.5 325
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 338
Second Chance C+ 32.0% 125 D 0.92 327 C- 0.29 218
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 234
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 271
Turnovers C- 17.8% 260
Freethrows B 0.34 60 C+ 73% 168 B 0.25 65
Total Offense D+ -4.4 285

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 38% 326 D 13.4% 320
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 37% 40 F+ 8.7% 342
Three Pointers C+ 85% 162 B+ 0.1% 12
Total D+ 51% 285 D- 7.2% 331


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 50 F+ 66% 353 +6.7 354
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 158 B- 35% 80 -0.4 152
Three Pointers 35% 333 B- 32% 86 -3.9 28
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 223 D+ +2.0 264
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 258
Second Chance C+ 29.4% 147 C 1.04 206 C 0.31 173
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 204
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 181
Turnovers C- 16.3% 204
Freethrows F+ 0.39 355 A- 68% 15 D- 0.26 328
Total Defense C- -1.4 216

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 268 D 7.7% 312
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 127 C+ 5.9% 108
Three Pointers C 83% 167 C+ 1.2% 112
Total C 55% 169 C- 5.0% 217

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 314 17.0 121
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 182 0.21 305
Consistency 0.12 148 0.12 186
Improvement -0.4 201 +1.3 118

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 278 268 252
Results Rating Rank 278 272 242
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 410 - 612 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 261 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 38% -6  17% 0 - 1 D+ -7 C- -2 D+ D+ F D+ -4 C D+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 21 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2% -24  0% 0 - 2 F+ -18 F+ -10 F B C+ F+ -10 D- F A
 Fri, Nov 14 282 @Brown W 72 - 63 42% +4  68% 1 - 2 B- +5 B +6 F+ A+ C- C+ +0 F D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 328 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 69% -0  39% 1 - 3 F+ -17 F+ -9 F+ C F F+ -9 F+ F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 137 @Boston College L 52 - 63 17% -12  0% 1 - 4 D+ -7 F -14 F B F B+ +6 A C C
 Fri, Nov 21 312 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 52% -2  13% 1 - 5 D -8 F+ -10 C- D- D- C+ +1 C- B+ F+
 Tue, Nov 25 349 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 68% +10  90% 2 - 5 C- -4 B +7 C C- B+ F -11 C+ F F
 Wed, Dec 3 314 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 74% +15  98% 3 - 5 B +9 B +6 A+ F D B- +2 A+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 182 Howard L 57 - 61 34% -3  11% 3 - 6 D+ -6 F -14 F F+ B- A- +8 B- A+ C-
 Thu, Dec 18 345 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 75% +5  86% 4 - 6 D+ -6 C- -0 D A F D -6 F B D
 Fri, Dec 19 309 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 62% -7  3% 4 - 7 F -18 C +0 B- F D- F -19 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 226 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 54% -2  20% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C- -4 F -10 F+ B C- B+ +7 F+ A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 167 Towson W 63 - 62 42% +1  52% 6 - 7 2 - 0 C- -3 C- -1 C- B- F C -1 B+ C- D+
 Sat, Jan 3 106 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 12% -4  12% 6 - 8 2 - 1 C+ +3 F -19 F F C+ A+ +21 A- A B+
 Thu, Jan 8 183 @Campbell L 72 - 86 25% -13  6% 6 - 9 2 - 2 D- -13 F+ -8 D C+ F D+ -4 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 143 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 18% -5  0% 6 - 10 2 - 3 C +0 B- +5 D- B+ B- D -6 D- C- F+
 Mon, Jan 19 281 N.C. A&T W 82 - 61 65% +5  64% 7 - 10 3 - 3 B+ +11 B+ +8 D- A A+ B+ +5 C+ A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 179 Monmouth W 65 - 63 44% +3  80% 8 - 10 4 - 3 C- -2 D -6 F B C B +4 C- D A+
 Sat, Jan 24 106 UNC Wilmington L 67 - 75 25% -3  19% 8 - 11 4 - 4 D+ -7 B- +4 B- A- C+ F -12 D F D+
 Thu, Jan 29 214 @Drexel L 51 - 58 29% -3  21% 8 - 12 4 - 5 D+ -7 F -15 D- F F B+ +7 A D C
 Sat, Jan 31 167 @Towson L 50 - 82 22% -18  0% 8 - 13 4 - 6 F -30 F -18 F F B- F -14 F A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 242 Elon W 87 - 79 2OT 57% +0  35% 9 - 13 5 - 6 C +0 D -5 F A A- B +4 B- A- C
 Sat, Feb 7 139 William & Mary W 77 - 74 35% -1  36% 10 - 13 6 - 6 C +1 C- -2 D A- B B- +3 B B- C
 Fri, Feb 13 281 N.C. A&T L 70 - 71 53% +4  92% 10 - 14 6 - 7 D+ -8 D -6 D A F C- -2 B- C F
 Thu, Feb 19 103 @Hofstra L 43 - 79 11% -14  7% 10 - 15 6 - 8 F -29 F -22 F F F F -12 F F F+
 Sat, Feb 21 226 @Stony Brook L 72 - 79 31% -5  17% 10 - 16 6 - 9 D+ -8 C- -2 C D F D -6 F C+ A+
 Thu, Feb 26 143 College of Charleston L 71 - 85 35% -12  0% 10 - 17 6 - 10 F+ -16 D+ -3 C- C- C F -14 D- F D-
 Sat, Feb 28 296 Northeastern W 76 - 65 69% +2  57% 11 - 17 7 - 10 C +0 D+ -3 D- F+ A+ B- +3 A- A F
 Tue, Mar 3 139 @William & Mary L 85 - 94 17% -8  7% 11 - 18 7 - 11 C- -5 B+ +8 D+ D A+ F -12 F+ F C
 Sat, Mar 7 167 Towson L 61 - 66 31%
Totals 11 - 19 7 - 11 -6 D+ -4 B- D D C- -1 D C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D D D 36% 51% 37% D D- C+ D C- C- B C+ B C- F+ B- B- D+ 44% 21% 35% C- D+ C+ C C C- F+ A- D-
1.02 54% 34% 30% -4 -1 0.91 32% 0.9 .29 18% .34 73% .25 1.11 66% 35% 32% +2 0 1.07 29% 1.0 .31 16% .39 68% .24
Nov
3		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- F B+ A- C- 40% 21% 38% D+ D+ A- F D+ F A+ C A+ D+ D- A+ B- C 40% 18% 42% D- C F A D+ F F A+ F
1.08 48% 45% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.8 .30 23% .55 74% .41 1.13 64% 20% 30% -3 0 0.96 41% 0.9 .37 11% .60 55% .33
Nov
11		 Virginia F+ F D- F F 38% 19% 43% B+ F C- A+ B C+ F+ F F F+ C- B- F D 53% 10% 37% F+ D- F C- F A C F D
0.79 35% 30% 22% -18 0 0.66 24% 1.2 .29 16% .20 64% .12 1.36 62% 40% 44% +8 +2 1.22 52% 1.1 .59 19% .31 82% .26
Nov
14		 Brown B F A+ F F+ 43% 32% 25% D F+ A+ D+ A+ C- A+ B A+ C+ F A F+ F 50% 10% 40% F+ F D- B- D+ A+ F A+ D+
1.13 37% 64% 18% -7 -1 0.86 53% 0.9 .47 19% .54 79% .43 0.99 70% 25% 38% +7 +2 1.20 33% 1.0 .33 30% .34 60% .20
Nov
16		 Holy Cross F+ D D+ D- F 44% 18% 38% C+ F+ A+ F C F A A+ A+ F+ F A- B- F+ 39% 22% 39% F+ F+ B- F F A- D F F
1.03 55% 38% 29% -4 +1 0.96 43% 0.8 .34 19% .35 94% .33 1.13 75% 33% 31% +4 0 1.10 19% 1.8 .33 20% .32 100% .32
Nov
18		 Boston College F B F+ F F 27% 29% 44% F+ F A- C- B F C- F F B+ B- F A+ A 31% 20% 49% C- A C- C C C F+ F F
0.80 62% 29% 19% -12 -2 0.75 36% 0.9 .31 22% .28 43% .12 0.97 53% 60% 17% -10 -1 0.82 31% 1.0 .31 15% .35 74% .26
Nov
21		 Norfolk St. F+ A+ D- B C+ 21% 28% 51% F C- D+ F+ D- D- F+ F F C+ B+ C- F C- 43% 30% 27% C C- B- A B+ F+ F A+ C+
0.97 78% 33% 36% +5 -2 1.07 29% 0.9 .26 19% .30 53% .16 1.00 47% 38% 42% -1 -1 0.98 28% 0.8 .22 15% .42 50% .21
Nov
25		 Maryland Eastern Shore B C C B+ B- 38% 28% 33% D- C F+ A+ C- B+ A+ B- A+ F B A- D C 40% 29% 31% B- C+ B- F F F F D+ F
1.21 60% 36% 38% +2 -1 1.05 24% 1.4 .34 13% .62 76% .47 1.11 50% 31% 36% -5 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .35 11% .42 74% .31
Dec
3		 Loyola Maryland B A+ F A+ A+ 35% 33% 33% F+ A+ C- F F D A+ D- A+ B- F A+ A+ A 25% 20% 55% A A+ F F F A+ F A+ F
1.27 81% 27% 67% +20 -2 1.39 31% 0.6 .19 16% .59 69% .41 0.97 91% 11% 17% -11 -1 0.77 37% 1.3 .47 23% .59 61% .35
Dec
13		 Howard F D- F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F C F F+ B- A+ C A+ A- D A+ A+ B+ 66% 7% 27% F B- A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ F
0.84 50% 14% 6% -25 +1 0.55 33% 0.7 .24 18% .77 70% .54 0.90 59% 0% 17% -9 +4 0.91 23% 0.1 .03 19% .60 64% .38
Dec
18		 Jackson St. C- F D A+ C- 30% 30% 41% F D D+ A+ A F A+ A+ A+ D F F B F 33% 22% 44% D F A F B D C D- C-
1.17 38% 31% 50% +2 -2 1.02 34% 1.5 .52 21% .55 84% .46 1.07 67% 58% 29% +4 -1 1.09 19% 1.2 .22 17% .27 81% .22
Dec
19		 Grambling St. C A D- A B+ 39% 28% 33% F+ B- A- F F D- A+ B+ A+ F F F A+ F 61% 15% 24% F F F F F B- F D F
1.08 72% 31% 40% +6 -1 1.13 42% 0.4 .16 23% .45 78% .35 1.22 72% 50% 20% +5 +2 1.17 36% 1.3 .48 23% .58 77% .45
Dec
29		 Stony Brook F A A+ F D- 31% 27% 42% D- F+ D- A+ B C- A- F C- B+ C+ B+ F D- 50% 7% 43% F F+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C-
0.96 71% 50% 16% -4 -1 0.91 26% 1.4 .35 17% .36 58% .21 0.92 52% 33% 44% +4 +3 1.14 23% 0.3 .06 25% .41 45% .19
Dec
31		 Towson C- A+ F F C 33% 30% 37% F+ C- B+ D+ B- F A+ B+ A+ C D- C- A+ B+ 32% 34% 34% B B+ D C+ C- D+ F B- F
1.04 79% 23% 25% -3 -2 0.93 34% 0.9 .31 20% .41 75% .31 1.03 64% 40% 13% -8 -2 0.82 38% 0.8 .31 15% .51 65% .33
Jan
3		 UNC Wilmington F F+ D+ F F 33% 35% 33% D F D F F C+ F B- F+ A+ F+ C A+ A- 29% 33% 38% A A- A- A- A B+ F A+ A+
0.75 50% 35% 13% -14 -2 0.69 22% 0.7 .15 13% .17 78% .14 0.82 67% 36% 19% -7 -2 0.83 28% 0.9 .26 18% .43 38% .16
Jan
8		 Campbell F+ B- D- F+ D 47% 30% 23% D+ D B- D+ C+ F A+ B A+ D+ A+ C+ F D 42% 13% 46% C+ D+ C+ A+ A+ C F F F
0.97 65% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.00 35% 1.1 .39 28% .49 77% .38 1.16 40% 33% 45% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.4 .14 18% .62 84% .52
Jan
10		 College of Charleston B- C+ B+ F D 25% 37% 37% F D- A+ D- B+ B- B- C+ B- D F D B+ F 32% 24% 44% B- D- A+ F C- F+ F C+ F
1.11 62% 42% 21% -5 -3 0.86 45% 0.9 .39 13% .25 71% .18 1.18 85% 40% 28% +5 -1 1.10 17% 2.0 .35 13% .55 73% .40
Jan
19		 N.C. A&T B+ A+ D+ F C- 19% 42% 40% F D- B+ A A A+ D A+ B- B+ A- A F C+ 41% 33% 25% C C+ A- A+ A+ D- A+ B+ A+
1.27 90% 36% 29% +2 -4 0.98 34% 1.2 .42 6% .26 88% .23 0.95 48% 29% 46% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 16% .24 69% .17
Jan
22		 Monmouth D F F A+ F 35% 28% 37% F+ F C- A+ B C A+ B+ A+ B F A+ D D+ 33% 26% 41% C+ C- D D D A+ B A+ A+
1.01 40% 17% 44% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.3 .38 19% .42 77% .32 0.98 67% 25% 37% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 25% .25 42% .10
Jan
24		 UNC Wilmington B- B+ C+ C- B 24% 31% 45% D B- B- A A- C+ F F F F F C+ A D 44% 29% 27% C D C+ F F D+ F C- F
1.12 67% 40% 32% +1 -2 1.00 30% 1.3 .39 13% .15 63% .10 1.25 72% 33% 27% +2 -1 1.05 33% 1.4 .47 13% .52 70% .37
Jan
29		 Drexel F F A F D- 39% 37% 24% F+ D- B+ F F F D- A D+ B+ B- C+ A+ A 45% 33% 21% B+ A C+ F D C F D- F
0.82 37% 50% 25% -7 -2 0.84 37% 0.1 .05 21% .24 83% .20 0.93 53% 36% 22% -7 -1 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 19% .44 73% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Towson F F F B- F 40% 25% 35% C- F D+ F F B- B+ F D+ F F F+ F F 40% 30% 30% C- F A+ A+ A+ D- F A F
0.76 32% 25% 35% -13 0 0.75 24% 0.5 .11 14% .32 50% .16 1.25 75% 47% 47% +15 -1 1.30 26% 0.5 .13 14% .44 60% .26
Feb
5		 Elon D F F F F 33% 30% 37% F+ F B- A+ A A- A+ D+ A+ B F A+ C+ C- 31% 31% 38% A+ B- B- A+ A- C F A+ F+
1.10 42% 29% 29% -11 -2 0.77 36% 1.5 .53 13% .54 70% .38 1.00 76% 24% 33% +1 -2 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 16% .46 60% .27
Feb
7		 William & Mary C- D+ F A+ D+ 35% 28% 37% F+ D B- A A- B A+ C A+ B- F+ F A+ B+ 55% 13% 32% D B A+ F B- C F B F
1.08 56% 23% 41% -1 -1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 17% .52 71% .37 1.04 69% 67% 7% -3 +2 1.00 17% 1.6 .27 17% .54 72% .39
Feb
13		 N.C. A&T D C C- D- D- 44% 19% 37% B- D B- A+ A F A+ C- A+ C- C A+ F B- 48% 39% 14% C+ B- B+ F C F F B F
1.06 58% 38% 31% -2 +1 1.00 31% 1.3 .41 21% .54 68% .36 1.07 57% 24% 50% -3 -2 0.93 26% 1.3 .32 11% .51 70% .35
Feb
19		 Hofstra F F F F F 34% 28% 38% C- F A- F F F F+ F F F F B- B F+ 45% 18% 37% F F B- F F F+ A+ C A+
0.70 41% 21% 16% -21 -1 0.58 38% 0.5 .19 21% .23 64% .15 1.29 78% 33% 32% +7 +1 1.18 31% 1.6 .50 13% .15 75% .11
Feb
21		 Stony Brook C- C- D+ B+ C 41% 24% 35% C- C B- F D F B+ C+ B+ D F F F F 39% 10% 51% D- F B D C+ A+ F D+ F
1.04 57% 33% 39% +1 0 1.04 34% 0.6 .21 20% .35 74% .25 1.15 69% 75% 43% +15 +1 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 23% .51 74% .38
Feb
26		 College of Charleston D+ C D- C- C- 30% 20% 50% C+ C- F A+ C- C A+ A A+ F F A+ F D- 54% 26% 20% D D- F F F D- F B+ F
1.04 60% 30% 32% -3 -1 0.96 20% 1.4 .29 15% .33 79% .26 1.24 72% 8% 44% +3 0 1.09 39% 1.3 .52 13% .49 69% .34
Feb
28		 Northeastern D+ C+ B+ F D- 49% 24% 27% C- D- F A+ F+ A+ B- B+ B+ B- C D A+ A- 42% 26% 32% B+ A- C A+ A F F B- D-
1.15 64% 50% 21% +1 0 1.04 10% 2.0 .20 6% .37 78% .29 0.99 59% 43% 18% -6 -1 0.89 27% 0.6 .17 9% .35 67% .23
Mar
3		 William & Mary B+ B F F D 41% 7% 52% B+ D+ C- D- D A+ A+ A+ A+ F F A+ A+ D- 61% 10% 29% F F+ F F F C F D- F
1.18 65% 25% 28% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.9 .26 10% .46 80% .37 1.30 76% 25% 25% +6 +3 1.20 36% 1.8 .64 17% .67 80% .53



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.5 99.5
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 99.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.0%
Lose Out 58.4%