Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#258
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#211
Pace65.2#259
Improvement-1.2#240

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#263
First Shot-3.2#269
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#208
Layup/Dunks-7.0#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#115
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement-0.2#188

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#229
First Shot-0.4#189
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#302
Layups/Dunks+1.0#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#230
Freethrows-2.5#333
Improvement-1.0#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.8% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 15.6% 24.3% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 24.0% 35.8% 13.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 2.0% 9.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.3% 1.8% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 47.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 512 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 110   @ George Washington L 54-82 14%     0 - 1 -21.8 -17.7 -3.0
  Nov 12, 2024 73   @ Providence L 51-60 8%     0 - 2 +1.4 -9.2 +9.1
  Nov 16, 2024 180   Norfolk St. L 58-67 44%     0 - 3 -12.8 -9.1 -5.1
  Nov 19, 2024 232   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-68 34%     1 - 3 +9.0 +8.9 +1.0
  Nov 24, 2024 56   Boise St. L 69-83 9%     1 - 4 -4.5 +0.7 -5.5
  Nov 25, 2024 146   Duquesne W 64-59 27%     2 - 4 +6.0 -2.9 +9.3
  Nov 26, 2024 108   High Point L 73-76 20%     2 - 5 +0.7 +10.1 -9.9
  Dec 03, 2024 314   N.C. A&T W 82-71 73%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -0.7 +0.4 -1.5
  Dec 21, 2024 326   @ Loyola Maryland W 76-68 56%     4 - 5 +1.1 +2.6 -1.1
  Dec 28, 2024 282   Howard W 83-67 66%     5 - 5 +6.4 +3.9 +3.1
  Jan 02, 2025 119   @ College of Charleston L 67-94 16%     5 - 6 1 - 1 -21.5 -8.8 -10.2
  Jan 04, 2025 173   @ Elon L 62-70 23%     5 - 7 1 - 2 -5.5 -6.0 +0.0
  Jan 09, 2025 271   Campbell L 55-66 64%     5 - 8 1 - 3 -19.8 -14.4 -6.7
  Jan 11, 2025 200   Delaware W 83-77 48%     6 - 8 2 - 3 +1.2 +7.3 -5.9
  Jan 16, 2025 193   William & Mary L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 20, 2025 314   @ N.C. A&T W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 23, 2025 193   @ William & Mary L 73-80 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 144   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-73 19%    
  Jan 30, 2025 203   Northeastern L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 282   Howard W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 06, 2025 259   @ Monmouth L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 203   @ Northeastern L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 13, 2025 178   Drexel L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 176   Hofstra L 61-63 43%    
  Feb 20, 2025 325   Stony Brook W 73-66 76%    
  Feb 22, 2025 144   UNC Wilmington L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 27, 2025 178   @ Drexel L 61-68 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 172   @ Towson L 60-68 23%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.9 1.3 0.2 2.3 4th
5th 0.4 2.7 0.7 3.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 2.7 0.2 4.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 4.6 1.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.3 3.6 0.1 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.8 1.2 11.6 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 8.4 3.2 0.1 15.0 10th
11th 0.3 2.3 8.1 5.5 0.7 0.0 16.8 11th
12th 0.2 2.6 7.0 6.1 1.3 0.1 17.2 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.1 13th
14th 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 2.3 14th
Total 0.4 2.6 7.1 12.2 18.2 18.9 16.6 11.7 7.5 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 47.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.3% 14.6% 14.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.1% 16.1% 16.1% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0
11-7 3.1% 7.0% 7.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.9
10-8 7.5% 5.0% 5.0% 14.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.2
9-9 11.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 11.5
8-10 16.6% 0.9% 0.9% 15.4 0.1 0.1 16.4
7-11 18.9% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 18.8
6-12 18.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.2
5-13 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 7.1% 7.1
3-15 2.6% 2.6
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%