Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#310
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#275
Pace63.4#326
Improvement+1.4#67

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#315
First Shot-5.1#311
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#182
Layup/Dunks-6.7#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#188
Freethrows+1.4#115
Improvement+1.7#26

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#279
First Shot-1.1#217
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#318
Layups/Dunks+2.6#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#345
Freethrows+1.1#130
Improvement-0.2#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.3 15.1
.500 or above 5.3% 18.9% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 12.5% 23.8% 12.1%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 30.7% 19.2% 31.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Neutral) - 3.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 72 - 12
Quad 46 - 78 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 149   @ George Washington L 54-82 13%     0 - 1 -24.4 -21.0 -2.3
  Nov 12, 2024 83   @ Providence L 51-60 5%     0 - 2 +1.2 -6.2 +5.9
  Nov 16, 2024 208   Norfolk St. L 58-67 38%     0 - 3 -14.3 -9.7 -5.9
  Nov 19, 2024 318   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-68 39%     1 - 3 +4.5 +6.4 -1.0
  Nov 24, 2024 41   Boise St. L 58-77 3%    
  Dec 03, 2024 290   N.C. A&T W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 21, 2024 337   @ Loyola Maryland L 65-66 47%    
  Dec 28, 2024 230   Howard L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 02, 2025 110   @ College of Charleston L 64-79 8%    
  Jan 04, 2025 160   @ Elon L 65-76 15%    
  Jan 09, 2025 278   Campbell W 67-66 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 216   Delaware L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 16, 2025 222   William & Mary L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 20, 2025 290   @ N.C. A&T L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 23, 2025 222   @ William & Mary L 69-77 23%    
  Jan 25, 2025 152   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-76 15%    
  Jan 30, 2025 163   Northeastern L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 06, 2025 273   @ Monmouth L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 163   @ Northeastern L 60-71 16%    
  Feb 13, 2025 144   Drexel L 61-67 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 142   Hofstra L 62-68 29%    
  Feb 20, 2025 299   Stony Brook W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 22, 2025 152   UNC Wilmington L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 27, 2025 144   @ Drexel L 58-70 14%    
  Mar 01, 2025 127   @ Towson L 56-70 12%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.2 1.3 0.1 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.6 2.5 0.2 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.8 0.7 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.3 1.6 0.1 11.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 4.3 6.4 2.6 0.2 0.0 14.6 12th
13th 0.2 1.8 5.6 6.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 18.2 13th
14th 1.1 4.0 6.4 5.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 19.9 14th
Total 1.1 4.3 8.2 12.3 14.3 15.2 13.3 10.7 8.1 5.5 3.5 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 71.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 49.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 13.4% 13.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 10.3% 10.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.0% 5.2% 5.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 3.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 3.4
9-9 5.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 5.5
8-10 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.1
7-11 10.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.7
6-12 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
5-13 15.2% 15.2
4-14 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.3
3-15 12.3% 12.3
2-16 8.2% 8.2
1-17 4.3% 4.3
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%