Elon
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#272
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#80
Pace68.5#203
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#244
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#292
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.6% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 22.9% 38.9% 16.3%
.500 or above in Conference 35.5% 47.5% 30.6%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.9% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.7% 7.5% 14.9%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round1.4% 2.5% 0.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Away) - 29.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 10   @ North Carolina L 76-90 2%     0 - 1 +5.4 +6.1 +0.2
  Nov 15, 2024 217   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-77 29%    
  Nov 20, 2024 294   @ Northern Illinois L 71-73 43%    
  Nov 22, 2024 81   @ Notre Dame L 62-78 7%    
  Nov 29, 2024 243   Maine L 68-70 44%    
  Nov 30, 2024 259   Navy L 71-72 47%    
  Dec 01, 2024 208   @ Penn L 69-75 29%    
  Dec 07, 2024 178   Wofford L 70-72 43%    
  Dec 18, 2024 190   @ East Tennessee St. L 68-75 26%    
  Dec 21, 2024 174   UNC Greensboro L 68-70 42%    
  Dec 28, 2024 200   Marshall L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 02, 2025 300   @ N.C. A&T L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 04, 2025 323   Hampton W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 09, 2025 244   @ William & Mary L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 11, 2025 304   Campbell W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 16, 2025 137   @ Drexel L 62-72 19%    
  Jan 18, 2025 204   @ Delaware L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 23, 2025 285   Monmouth W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 100   College of Charleston L 77-85 25%    
  Jan 30, 2025 131   Hofstra L 67-72 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 170   Northeastern L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 06, 2025 304   @ Campbell L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 100   @ College of Charleston L 74-88 12%    
  Feb 13, 2025 300   N.C. A&T W 78-74 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 156   @ UNC Wilmington L 68-77 22%    
  Feb 20, 2025 134   Towson L 66-71 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 244   William & Mary W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 27, 2025 285   @ Monmouth L 72-74 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 287   @ Stony Brook L 71-73 42%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.7 0.6 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.2 1.4 0.1 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.1 4.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 4.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.1 0.8 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.3 1.3 0.0 9.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 2.5 3.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.6 13th
14th 0.3 1.3 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.5 14th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.0 5.4 8.2 10.1 11.7 12.7 11.7 10.3 8.5 6.8 4.5 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 89.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 64.9% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 29.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 32.1% 32.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 21.7% 20.7% 1.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4%
15-3 0.8% 14.7% 14.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.6% 10.0% 10.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 2.7% 7.5% 7.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.5
12-6 4.5% 6.1% 6.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.3
11-7 6.8% 3.5% 3.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.6
10-8 8.5% 1.9% 1.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.3
9-9 10.3% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2
8-10 11.7% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.6
7-11 12.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 12.6
6-12 11.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.7
5-13 10.1% 10.1
4-14 8.2% 8.2
3-15 5.4% 5.4
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 98.5 0.0%