Navy
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#301
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#336
Pace68.2#200
Improvement+0.4#153

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#238
First Shot-2.2#240
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#196
Layup/Dunks-1.3#227
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#237
Freethrows+1.9#75
Improvement+1.1#90

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#328
First Shot-4.9#327
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#201
Layups/Dunks+1.0#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
Freethrows-3.5#347
Improvement-0.7#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 5.9% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 11.2% 13.4% 4.1%
.500 or above in Conference 42.7% 45.6% 33.5%
Conference Champion 5.7% 6.3% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 15.9% 14.4% 20.5%
First Four4.5% 4.8% 3.4%
First Round3.3% 3.7% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 76.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 411 - 1312 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-70 8%     0 - 1 +0.9 -6.2 +7.3
  Nov 08, 2024 232   Harvard W 85-80 47%     1 - 1 -1.8 +6.9 -9.0
  Nov 12, 2024 288   Rider L 79-90 59%     1 - 2 -20.7 +2.7 -23.5
  Nov 17, 2024 269   Campbell L 66-86 55%     1 - 3 -28.8 -10.7 -17.8
  Nov 19, 2024 238   Quinnipiac L 63-74 48%     1 - 4 -18.0 -9.5 -8.9
  Nov 29, 2024 284   @ Penn W 86-78 35%     2 - 4 +4.4 +9.9 -5.5
  Nov 30, 2024 149   Elon L 63-69 22%     2 - 5 -5.5 -7.8 +2.1
  Dec 01, 2024 213   Maine L 66-71 32%     2 - 6 -7.5 -2.4 -5.4
  Dec 07, 2024 351   @ NJIT L 64-69 58%     2 - 7 -14.6 -7.5 -7.4
  Dec 15, 2024 125   @ Virginia Tech L 72-80 12%     2 - 8 -2.8 +13.5 -17.5
  Dec 21, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 73-65 76%    
  Dec 29, 2024 225   @ William & Mary L 77-84 25%    
  Jan 02, 2025 237   American L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 05, 2025 239   Lafayette L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 08, 2025 330   @ Holy Cross L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 319   @ Loyola Maryland L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 15, 2025 224   Colgate L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 260   @ Bucknell L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 22, 2025 252   Boston University W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 26, 2025 305   @ Army L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 29, 2025 246   @ Lehigh L 73-79 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 260   Bucknell W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 05, 2025 252   @ Boston University L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 08, 2025 239   @ Lafayette L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 12, 2025 246   Lehigh W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 15, 2025 305   Army W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 19, 2025 224   @ Colgate L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 23, 2025 330   Holy Cross W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 26, 2025 237   @ American L 65-72 28%    
  Mar 01, 2025 319   Loyola Maryland W 73-69 65%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 4.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.4 5.9 2.1 0.2 10.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 6.2 3.2 0.2 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.9 4.3 0.4 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.2 4.5 0.7 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.3 4.4 3.6 0.8 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.0 2.0 0.6 0.0 9.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.1 5.6 8.4 11.3 13.4 13.9 12.9 10.6 8.0 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 95.5% 0.7    0.6 0.1
14-4 83.6% 1.3    0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 55.1% 1.8    0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-6 24.5% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.0 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 40.6% 40.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 27.4% 27.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.7% 26.3% 26.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
14-4 1.5% 20.5% 20.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2
13-5 3.2% 17.8% 17.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.7
12-6 5.4% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7 4.7
11-7 8.0% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8 7.2
10-8 10.6% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.7
9-9 12.9% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.8 12.2
8-10 13.9% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.5 13.4
7-11 13.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.1
6-12 11.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 11.1
5-13 8.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.3
4-14 5.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-15 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-16 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.1 94.6 0.0%