IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Navy
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.1	#259
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.9	#288

Pace	67.6	#233
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.1	#238

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#265

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.3%	10.7%	6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.5	15.7

.500 or above	51.8%	59.6%	34.7%
.500 or above in Conference	62.4%	66.6%	53.1%
Conference Champion	11.1%	12.8%	7.2%
Last Place in Conference	6.1%	4.8%	9.0%

First Four	3.9%	4.2%	3.5%
First Round	7.5%	8.7%	4.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Campbell (Home) - 68.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 9	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	106	@ Saint Joseph's	L	63-70	12%	0 - 1			+0.7	-6.7	+7.5
Nov 08, 2024	236	Harvard	W	85-80	55%	1 - 1			-1.4	+6.3	-7.9
Nov 12, 2024	227	Rider	L	79-90	54%	1 - 2			-17.2	+4.2	-21.6
Nov 17, 2024	304	Campbell	W	72-67	69%
Nov 19, 2024	247	Quinnipiac	W	76-74	58%
Nov 29, 2024	208	@ Penn	L	69-74	31%
Nov 30, 2024	272	Elon	W	72-71	53%
Dec 01, 2024	243	Maine	L	67-68	46%
Dec 07, 2024	354	@ NJIT	W	71-65	70%
Dec 15, 2024	82	@ Virginia Tech	L	64-79	9%
Dec 21, 2024	363	@ Coppin St.	W	71-61	81%
Dec 29, 2024	244	@ William & Mary	L	71-75	36%
Jan 02, 2025	255	American	W	68-65	59%
Jan 05, 2025	216	Lafayette	W	67-66	53%
Jan 08, 2025	343	@ Holy Cross	W	72-69	62%
Jan 11, 2025	331	@ Loyola Maryland	W	69-67	55%
Jan 15, 2025	172	Colgate	L	68-70	45%
Jan 18, 2025	242	@ Bucknell	L	69-73	35%
Jan 22, 2025	305	Boston University	W	72-67	68%
Jan 26, 2025	313	@ Army	W	64-63	50%
Jan 29, 2025	260	@ Lehigh	L	73-76	39%
Feb 01, 2025	242	Bucknell	W	72-70	56%
Feb 05, 2025	305	@ Boston University	L	69-70	48%
Feb 08, 2025	216	@ Lafayette	L	64-69	33%
Feb 12, 2025	260	Lehigh	W	76-73	60%
Feb 15, 2025	313	Army	W	67-61	70%
Feb 19, 2025	172	@ Colgate	L	65-73	26%
Feb 23, 2025	343	Holy Cross	W	75-66	79%
Feb 26, 2025	255	@ American	L	65-68	38%
Mar 01, 2025	331	Loyola Maryland	W	72-64	74%
Projected Record						15 - 15	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	1.0	2.5	3.1	2.5	1.3	0.5	0.1		11.1	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	1.8	4.4	3.9	1.7	0.4	0.0				12.3	2nd
3rd										0.3	2.4	5.4	3.8	1.1	0.1	0.0					13.1	3rd
4th									0.2	2.4	5.7	3.6	0.7	0.1							12.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	2.3	5.4	3.3	0.5	0.0								11.7	5th
6th							0.2	2.2	5.0	3.3	0.5	0.0									11.2	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	2.0	4.2	3.1	0.5	0.0										10.1	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	1.7	3.6	2.4	0.4	0.0											8.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7	2.2	1.4	0.3	0.0												6.2	9th
10th	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0													3.3	10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.5	3.1	4.6	7.3	9.3	10.9	11.9	12.1	11.5	9.8	7.5	4.9	2.9	1.3	0.5	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	98.0%	1.3		1.2	0.1	0.0
15-3	86.3%	2.5		2.0	0.5	0.0
14-4	63.1%	3.1		1.8	1.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	33.1%	2.5		0.9	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	9.9%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	11.1%	11.1		6.6	3.3	0.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		50.0%	50.0%		12.5										0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0
17-1	0.5%		44.8%	44.8%		13.9													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.3
16-2	1.3%		37.8%	37.8%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.8
15-3	2.9%		31.3%	31.3%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	2.0
14-4	4.9%		25.5%	25.5%		15.3														0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	3.6
13-5	7.5%		20.6%	20.6%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	5.9
12-6	9.8%		15.0%	15.0%		15.8															0.0	0.2	1.2	8.4
11-7	11.5%		9.7%	9.7%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.0	10.4
10-8	12.1%		8.4%	8.4%		15.9															0.0	0.0	1.0	11.0
9-9	11.9%		5.3%	5.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.6	11.2
8-10	10.9%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																0.0	0.4	10.6
7-11	9.3%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.2	9.2
6-12	7.3%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	7.2
5-13	4.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
4-14	3.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
3-15	1.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.5
2-16	0.7%																							0.7
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.3%	9.3%	0.0%	15.5										0.0			0.0	0.2	0.8	2.1	6.1	90.7		0.0%