Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#125
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#216
Pace65.6#268
Improvement+0.3#163

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#148
First Shot-2.9#259
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#17
Layup/Dunks-3.4#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#117
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement+1.6#61

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#121
First Shot-0.7#191
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#36
Layups/Dunks+1.3#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#293
Freethrows-0.7#236
Improvement-1.3#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.2 10.8 11.9
.500 or above 8.0% 13.7% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 9.7% 12.4% 7.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.3% 20.9% 28.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Neutral) - 40.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 7
Quad 23 - 93 - 16
Quad 34 - 37 - 19
Quad 45 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 341   Delaware St. W 83-60 93%     1 - 0 +8.7 +3.4 +5.0
  Nov 08, 2024 334   South Carolina Upstate W 93-74 92%     2 - 0 +5.6 +10.5 -5.5
  Nov 11, 2024 181   Winthrop W 58-52 73%     3 - 0 +2.0 -11.0 +13.6
  Nov 15, 2024 31   Penn St. L 64-86 16%     3 - 1 -9.3 -5.6 -2.7
  Nov 20, 2024 204   Jacksonville L 64-74 76%     3 - 2 -15.1 -7.7 -7.5
  Nov 25, 2024 20   Michigan L 63-75 13%     3 - 3 +2.4 -2.3 +4.7
  Nov 27, 2024 69   South Carolina L 60-70 29%     3 - 4 -2.1 -1.9 -1.3
  Dec 04, 2024 57   Vanderbilt L 64-80 34%     3 - 5 -9.6 -4.2 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2024 32   Pittsburgh L 59-64 25%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +4.4 -5.0 +9.1
  Dec 12, 2024 313   N.C. A&T W 95-67 90%     4 - 6 +16.4 +7.8 +6.2
  Dec 15, 2024 301   Navy W 80-72 88%     5 - 6 -2.5 +13.0 -14.3
  Dec 21, 2024 103   Saint Joseph's L 69-72 40%    
  Dec 31, 2024 2   @ Duke L 57-79 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 91   Miami (FL) L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 08, 2025 87   @ Stanford L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 120   @ California L 73-76 37%    
  Jan 15, 2025 79   North Carolina St. L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 94   Wake Forest L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 22, 2025 110   @ Georgia Tech L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 30   Clemson L 64-71 25%    
  Jan 29, 2025 65   @ Florida St. L 68-77 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 93   @ Virginia L 56-63 27%    
  Feb 05, 2025 49   SMU L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 08, 2025 81   @ Notre Dame L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 93   Virginia L 59-60 48%    
  Feb 18, 2025 150   @ Boston College L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 91   @ Miami (FL) L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 25, 2025 50   Louisville L 70-75 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 97   Syracuse L 74-75 50%    
  Mar 04, 2025 18   North Carolina L 72-81 20%    
  Mar 08, 2025 30   @ Clemson L 61-74 12%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.0 1.8 0.1 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 6.4 12th
13th 0.1 1.3 4.4 2.0 0.1 7.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.1 0.6 9.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.5 1.7 0.0 0.0 11.0 15th
16th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.9 3.2 0.3 0.0 12.9 16th
17th 0.1 0.9 3.5 6.1 4.0 0.7 0.0 15.2 17th
18th 0.5 2.1 4.2 5.1 3.1 0.7 0.0 15.7 18th
Total 0.5 2.1 5.2 9.1 12.8 14.6 15.1 13.3 10.4 7.2 4.8 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 27.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 22.6% 6.5% 16.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.2%
14-6 0.2% 4.3% 2.6% 1.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8%
13-7 0.6% 3.4% 1.4% 2.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1%
12-8 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 1.3 0.2%
11-9 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 2.7
10-10 4.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 4.7 0.1%
9-11 7.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 7.2
8-12 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4
7-13 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 13.3
6-14 15.1% 15.1
5-15 14.6% 14.6
4-16 12.8% 12.8
3-17 9.1% 9.1
2-18 5.2% 5.2
1-19 2.1% 2.1
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%