Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#82
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#90
Pace68.6#198
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#88
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#77
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.4% 2.8% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 4.2% 7.8% 2.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.9% 34.1% 17.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 21.7% 32.4% 16.0%
Average Seed 8.7 8.3 9.0
.500 or above 64.7% 79.8% 56.7%
.500 or above in Conference 42.8% 52.4% 37.6%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.5% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 4.8% 8.7%
First Four4.8% 6.2% 4.1%
First Round20.4% 30.7% 14.8%
Second Round9.9% 15.6% 6.9%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 5.4% 1.8%
Elite Eight1.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Final Four0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Neutral) - 34.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 7
Quad 25 - 57 - 12
Quad 35 - 212 - 14
Quad 45 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 344   Delaware St. W 83-60 97%     1 - 0 +8.2 +4.4 +3.5
  Nov 08, 2024 316   South Carolina Upstate W 93-74 95%     2 - 0 +7.5 +11.2 -4.3
  Nov 11, 2024 163   Winthrop W 58-52 83%     3 - 0 +3.2 -8.9 +12.7
  Nov 15, 2024 36   Penn St. L 74-78 35%    
  Nov 20, 2024 232   Jacksonville W 75-61 90%    
  Nov 25, 2024 25   Michigan L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 04, 2024 83   Vanderbilt W 76-73 61%    
  Dec 07, 2024 35   Pittsburgh L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 12, 2024 300   N.C. A&T W 83-66 94%    
  Dec 15, 2024 259   Navy W 79-64 91%    
  Dec 21, 2024 106   Saint Joseph's W 73-71 59%    
  Dec 31, 2024 6   @ Duke L 66-80 11%    
  Jan 04, 2025 33   Miami (FL) L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 08, 2025 70   @ Stanford L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 119   @ California W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 15, 2025 59   North Carolina St. W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 18, 2025 62   Wake Forest W 74-72 55%    
  Jan 22, 2025 96   @ Georgia Tech L 77-78 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 44   Clemson L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 80   @ Florida St. L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 78   @ Virginia L 60-63 39%    
  Feb 05, 2025 63   SMU W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 81   @ Notre Dame L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 78   Virginia W 63-60 59%    
  Feb 18, 2025 144   @ Boston College W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 22, 2025 33   @ Miami (FL) L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 25, 2025 49   Louisville W 74-73 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 89   Syracuse W 78-74 64%    
  Mar 04, 2025 10   North Carolina L 73-79 30%    
  Mar 08, 2025 44   @ Clemson L 67-73 30%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.1 1.2 0.1 6.0 7th
8th 0.5 3.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 3.5 0.7 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.9 1.7 0.1 6.6 10th
11th 0.4 3.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.8 1.2 0.0 6.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.7 0.2 0.0 6.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.2 0.8 0.0 6.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.3 1.4 0.1 6.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.3 16th
17th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.5 17th
18th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.1 18th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.5 4.4 6.6 8.9 10.1 11.3 11.4 10.6 9.3 8.2 5.7 4.0 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 84.6% 0.2    0.2 0.1
17-3 57.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
16-4 36.7% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 9.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 15.0% 85.0% 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 17.9% 82.1% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 15.5% 84.5% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.4% 99.3% 13.5% 85.7% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2%
15-5 2.5% 96.0% 8.2% 87.8% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 95.6%
14-6 4.0% 88.4% 8.6% 79.8% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 87.3%
13-7 5.7% 75.8% 4.6% 71.3% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.4 74.7%
12-8 8.2% 54.3% 2.7% 51.6% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 0.1 3.8 53.0%
11-9 9.3% 34.4% 1.2% 33.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.2 6.1 33.6%
10-10 10.6% 18.7% 0.5% 18.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.7 18.3%
9-11 11.4% 4.8% 0.3% 4.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 10.8 4.6%
8-12 11.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.6%
7-13 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 10.1 0.0%
6-14 8.9% 8.9
5-15 6.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 6.6
4-16 4.4% 4.4
3-17 2.5% 2.5
2-18 1.4% 1.4
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 22.9% 1.6% 21.3% 8.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.1 5.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 77.1 21.7%