Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#91
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#273
Pace65.5#271
Improvement-0.7#235

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#26
First Shot+8.3#14
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#212
Layup/Dunks+2.0#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#43
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#70
Freethrows-0.1#182
Improvement-1.3#286

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#225
First Shot-1.8#229
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#183
Layups/Dunks+1.5#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#330
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#279
Freethrows+1.5#84
Improvement+0.6#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.6 10.6 11.8
.500 or above 22.0% 23.3% 7.5%
.500 or above in Conference 33.4% 34.4% 21.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 6.4% 10.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 91.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 8
Quad 23 - 74 - 15
Quad 35 - 39 - 17
Quad 45 - 114 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 339   Fairleigh Dickinson W 113-72 96%     1 - 0 +26.8 +24.0 +0.4
  Nov 10, 2024 310   Binghamton W 88-64 94%     2 - 0 +12.8 +11.6 +1.8
  Nov 17, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 93-63 99%     3 - 0 +8.9 +17.1 -6.9
  Nov 21, 2024 70   Drake L 69-80 43%     3 - 1 -3.1 +11.1 -15.7
  Nov 22, 2024 85   Oklahoma St. L 74-80 48%     3 - 2 +0.4 +8.8 -8.7
  Nov 24, 2024 55   Virginia Commonwealth L 70-77 36%     3 - 3 +2.8 +11.2 -9.1
  Nov 30, 2024 299   Charleston Southern L 79-83 93%     3 - 4 -14.3 +3.7 -18.2
  Dec 03, 2024 29   Arkansas L 73-76 36%     3 - 5 +6.8 +8.0 -1.3
  Dec 07, 2024 30   Clemson L 55-65 36%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -0.3 -2.3 +0.2
  Dec 10, 2024 4   Tennessee L 62-75 10%     3 - 7 +7.0 +3.1 +3.5
  Dec 15, 2024 250   Presbyterian W 94-75 90%     4 - 7 +11.1 +25.4 -12.6
  Dec 21, 2024 266   Mount St. Mary's W 83-68 92%    
  Jan 01, 2025 150   @ Boston College W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 125   @ Virginia Tech W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 07, 2025 65   Florida St. W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 94   Wake Forest W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 14, 2025 2   @ Duke L 64-82 5%    
  Jan 18, 2025 49   SMU L 78-79 45%    
  Jan 22, 2025 87   @ Stanford L 75-78 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 120   @ California W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 29, 2025 93   Virginia W 66-63 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 81   Notre Dame W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 10, 2025 50   @ Louisville L 74-81 26%    
  Feb 11, 2025 97   Syracuse W 82-78 63%    
  Feb 15, 2025 32   @ Pittsburgh L 71-80 20%    
  Feb 19, 2025 65   @ Florida St. L 75-81 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 125   Virginia Tech W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 25, 2025 2   Duke L 67-79 15%    
  Mar 01, 2025 18   @ North Carolina L 76-88 15%    
  Mar 04, 2025 110   @ Georgia Tech L 76-77 47%    
  Mar 08, 2025 79   North Carolina St. W 74-72 57%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.4 2.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 3.3 1.0 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.3 3.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 5.0 1.7 0.1 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 4.2 3.6 0.3 0.0 8.7 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 4.7 1.1 0.0 8.4 12th
13th 0.0 1.1 4.5 2.6 0.2 8.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 3.1 3.8 0.6 0.0 7.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.8 1.4 0.0 7.2 15th
16th 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.0 0.2 6.4 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.3 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.2 7.4 10.5 12.9 14.2 14.3 12.4 9.3 5.9 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 26.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 71.4% 4.8% 66.7% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.0%
16-4 0.2% 45.5% 6.9% 38.6% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 41.5%
15-5 0.6% 24.4% 6.8% 17.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 18.9%
14-6 1.6% 9.7% 4.1% 5.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5 5.8%
13-7 3.3% 4.5% 2.8% 1.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.2 1.7%
12-8 5.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 0.2%
11-9 9.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.2 0.0%
10-10 12.4% 0.4% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 12.3
9-11 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3
8-12 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 14.2
7-13 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 12.8
6-14 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-15 7.4% 7.4
4-16 4.2% 4.2
3-17 2.2% 2.2
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.9% 0.5% 0.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1 0.4%