IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.3	#81
Expected Predictive Rating	-0.6	#213

Pace	66.0	#277
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.8	#99

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.5	#62

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	1.2%	2.0%	0.5%
Top 6 Seed	3.4%	5.3%	1.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.2%	25.6%	11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	16.6%	23.7%	9.9%
Average Seed	8.6	8.4	9.0

.500 or above	65.7%	78.4%	53.6%
.500 or above in Conference	49.8%	58.3%	41.7%
Conference Champion	2.1%	3.0%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	5.6%	3.6%	7.5%

First Four	3.5%	4.5%	2.5%
First Round	16.4%	23.2%	9.8%
Second Round	8.6%	12.5%	4.8%
Sweet Sixteen	2.8%	4.3%	1.4%
Elite Eight	1.1%	1.8%	0.6%
Final Four	0.4%	0.7%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
National Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	2 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 2	4 - 4	6 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 2	11 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	359	Stonehill	W	89-60	98%	1 - 0			+11.6	+12.1	+0.3
Nov 11, 2024	315	Buffalo	W	86-77	95%	2 - 0			-2.5	-1.9	-1.5
Nov 16, 2024	105	@ Georgetown	L	70-71	49%
Nov 19, 2024	271	North Dakota	W	77-61	93%
Nov 22, 2024	272	Elon	W	78-62	93%
Nov 26, 2024	37	Rutgers	L	65-69	36%
Nov 28, 2024	2	Houston	L	58-70	13%
Dec 03, 2024	68	@ Georgia	L	70-74	37%
Dec 07, 2024	89	Syracuse	W	76-72	65%
Dec 11, 2024	329	Dartmouth	W	76-56	96%
Dec 22, 2024	337	Le Moyne	W	80-59	97%
Dec 31, 2024	96	@ Georgia Tech	L	74-75	46%
Jan 04, 2025	10	North Carolina	L	71-77	30%
Jan 08, 2025	59	@ North Carolina St.	L	68-73	34%
Jan 11, 2025	6	@ Duke	L	64-78	11%
Jan 13, 2025	144	Boston College	W	72-63	78%
Jan 18, 2025	89	@ Syracuse	L	73-75	44%
Jan 25, 2025	78	@ Virginia	L	58-61	39%
Jan 28, 2025	96	Georgia Tech	W	77-72	66%
Feb 01, 2025	33	@ Miami (FL)	L	69-76	27%
Feb 04, 2025	80	@ Florida St.	L	69-72	40%
Feb 08, 2025	82	Virginia Tech	W	71-68	60%
Feb 12, 2025	144	@ Boston College	W	69-66	61%
Feb 16, 2025	49	Louisville	W	72-71	52%
Feb 19, 2025	63	SMU	W	76-74	56%
Feb 22, 2025	35	Pittsburgh	L	70-71	46%
Feb 26, 2025	44	@ Clemson	L	65-71	30%
Mar 01, 2025	62	@ Wake Forest	L	69-73	36%
Mar 05, 2025	70	Stanford	W	69-67	57%
Mar 08, 2025	119	California	W	75-68	73%
Projected Record						17 - 13	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	1.0	1.5	1.0	0.3	0.1				4.2	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	1.3	2.1	1.2	0.3	0.0					5.2	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	1.4	2.6	1.6	0.2	0.0						5.9	4th
5th											0.0	0.7	3.0	2.0	0.4	0.0							6.2	5th
6th										0.0	0.3	2.4	2.8	0.7	0.0								6.3	6th
7th										0.1	1.5	3.6	1.4	0.1									6.6	7th
8th										0.7	3.6	2.5	0.3	0.0									7.1	8th
9th									0.1	2.2	3.6	0.8	0.0										6.8	9th
10th								0.0	0.8	3.7	1.8	0.1											6.4	10th
11th							0.0	0.2	2.8	3.1	0.5	0.0											6.6	11th
12th							0.1	1.4	3.6	1.3	0.0												6.5	12th
13th						0.0	0.6	2.9	2.5	0.3													6.3	13th
14th					0.0	0.2	2.0	3.0	0.8	0.0													6.0	14th
15th				0.0	0.1	1.2	2.7	1.4	0.1														5.5	15th
16th				0.1	0.9	2.1	1.5	0.2	0.0													4.9	16th
17th		0.0	0.1	0.8	1.6	1.4	0.3	0.0														4.3	17th
18th	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0															3.1	18th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.0	3.3	5.1	7.2	9.3	10.7	11.4	11.4	10.3	9.1	7.0	5.2	3.3	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	85.1%	0.3		0.3	0.1
17-3	62.7%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
16-4	30.8%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	10.7%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	20.0%	80.0%	2.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
18-2	0.4%		100.0%	17.5%	82.5%	4.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
17-3	1.0%		99.0%	19.2%	79.8%	4.9		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		98.7%
16-4	2.0%		95.4%	13.7%	81.8%	6.4		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.1		94.7%
15-5	3.3%		86.4%	8.8%	77.6%	7.8			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0					0.5		85.1%
14-6	5.2%		69.9%	6.5%	63.4%	8.8					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.1					1.6		67.8%
13-7	7.0%		50.3%	4.6%	45.6%	9.6					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.9	0.1					3.5		47.8%
12-8	9.1%		29.0%	1.6%	27.5%	10.1							0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.1	0.1					6.4		27.9%
11-9	10.3%		13.4%	1.5%	11.9%	10.4								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.1					8.9		12.1%
10-10	11.4%		5.2%	0.7%	4.5%	10.7									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0				10.8		4.5%
9-11	11.4%		1.2%	0.4%	0.8%	11.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				11.2		0.8%
8-12	10.7%		0.2%	0.1%	0.2%	11.5												0.0	0.0	0.0				10.7		0.2%
7-13	9.3%		0.1%	0.1%		12.3													0.0	0.0				9.3
6-14	7.2%																							7.2
5-15	5.1%																							5.1
4-16	3.3%																							3.3
3-17	2.0%																							2.0
2-18	0.9%																							0.9
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		18.2%	1.9%	16.3%	8.6		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.7	2.4	3.0	3.5	3.7	0.6	0.0				81.8		16.6%