Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#52
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#55
Pace65.9#237
Improvement-9.6#364

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#34
First Shot+9.5#11
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#316
Layup/Dunks+3.7#57
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#82
Freethrows+1.6#83
Improvement-4.6#349

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#79
First Shot+5.8#31
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#335
Layups/Dunks-0.1#167
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#10
Freethrows+2.8#28
Improvement-5.0#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.5% 26.0% 12.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.6% 25.0% 11.8%
Average Seed 10.7 10.7 10.9
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 75.1% 90.7% 52.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.4% 17.6% 9.9%
First Round13.4% 17.5% 7.5%
Second Round4.6% 6.1% 2.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.8% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Away) - 58.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 9
Quad 24 - 36 - 11
Quad 37 - 113 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 177   Radford W 96-56 90%     1 - 0 +36.5 +18.7 +17.5
  Nov 08, 2024 156   Murray St. W 83-68 88%     2 - 0 +12.9 +10.8 +2.3
  Nov 11, 2024 257   Gardner-Webb W 83-64 95%     3 - 0 +11.2 +1.6 +8.8
  Nov 15, 2024 41   West Virginia W 86-62 54%     4 - 0 +33.5 +17.5 +15.1
  Nov 18, 2024 309   VMI W 93-48 97%     5 - 0 +34.0 +18.1 +16.8
  Nov 22, 2024 72   LSU W 74-63 61%     6 - 0 +18.9 +8.9 +10.4
  Nov 24, 2024 7   Wisconsin L 75-81 22%     6 - 1 +12.7 +10.3 +2.3
  Nov 29, 2024 33   @ Ohio St. W 91-90 OT 29%     7 - 1 +17.2 +19.5 -2.3
  Dec 04, 2024 28   @ Mississippi St. L 57-90 26%     7 - 2 -15.7 -5.6 -11.2
  Dec 07, 2024 128   @ Virginia Tech W 64-59 73%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +9.3 -2.1 +11.8
  Dec 11, 2024 191   Eastern Kentucky W 96-56 91%     9 - 2 +35.6 +18.4 +17.1
  Dec 21, 2024 160   Sam Houston St. W 110-78 88%     10 - 2 +29.6 +31.2 -2.8
  Jan 01, 2025 112   California W 86-74 83%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +12.7 +16.5 -3.1
  Jan 04, 2025 88   Stanford W 83-68 74%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +18.8 +15.8 +3.9
  Jan 07, 2025 2   @ Duke L 47-76 8%     12 - 3 3 - 1 -2.9 -10.3 +5.0
  Jan 11, 2025 21   Louisville L 78-82 40%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +9.2 +11.8 -2.6
  Jan 15, 2025 82   @ Florida St. L 70-82 55%     12 - 5 3 - 3 -2.6 -3.1 +1.7
  Jan 18, 2025 23   Clemson L 75-78 OT 41%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +10.0 +17.7 -8.0
  Jan 25, 2025 108   @ Syracuse W 77-73 67%     13 - 6 4 - 4 +10.0 +12.9 -2.6
  Jan 28, 2025 40   North Carolina W 73-65 54%     14 - 6 5 - 4 +17.6 +8.4 +9.6
  Feb 01, 2025 55   @ Wake Forest L 74-76 40%     14 - 7 5 - 5 +11.1 +15.9 -4.9
  Feb 03, 2025 93   Virginia L 57-73 78%     14 - 8 5 - 6 -13.3 -4.0 -12.5
  Feb 08, 2025 40   @ North Carolina L 66-67 35%     14 - 9 5 - 7 +13.7 +6.9 +6.6
  Feb 11, 2025 37   @ SMU L 63-83 33%     14 - 10 5 - 8 -4.9 -1.8 -3.9
  Feb 15, 2025 152   Miami (FL) W 74-65 88%     15 - 10 6 - 8 +7.1 +2.1 +5.8
  Feb 18, 2025 108   Syracuse W 80-69 82%     16 - 10 7 - 8 +12.0 +12.0 +0.6
  Feb 22, 2025 95   @ Notre Dame W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 25, 2025 99   Georgia Tech W 77-69 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 21   @ Louisville L 71-79 23%    
  Mar 05, 2025 103   @ North Carolina St. W 72-68 63%    
  Mar 08, 2025 174   Boston College W 79-65 91%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.4 5th
6th 0.5 5.4 3.8 9.7 6th
7th 1.4 16.5 22.1 2.8 42.8 7th
8th 0.2 7.6 17.2 3.7 0.0 28.6 8th
9th 1.5 9.0 2.7 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 2.2 1.8 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 0.1 1.0 11th
12th 0.2 0.1 0.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.4 4.7 19.8 37.0 31.2 7.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 7.0% 53.7% 1.9% 51.8% 10.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.6 0.1 3.2 52.8%
11-9 31.2% 30.9% 1.4% 29.5% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 6.6 0.7 21.5 29.9%
10-10 37.0% 16.4% 1.2% 15.2% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.5 0.9 30.9 15.4%
9-11 19.8% 5.1% 0.5% 4.6% 11.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 18.8 4.6%
8-12 4.7% 0.6% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 4.7 0.6%
7-13 0.4% 0.4
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.5% 1.1% 19.4% 10.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.7 13.4 1.9 79.5 19.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6% 74.1% 9.0 5.2 17.2 27.6 24.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0% 68.0% 9.8 1.0 5.8 12.6 35.9 12.6