Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#35
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#52
Pace70.4#146
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#35
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#45
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.3% 1.6% 0.5%
Top 2 Seed 3.5% 4.3% 1.6%
Top 4 Seed 12.1% 14.6% 6.1%
Top 6 Seed 23.9% 28.2% 13.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 58.6% 64.7% 44.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 55.8% 61.8% 42.1%
Average Seed 7.1 6.9 7.7
.500 or above 86.8% 91.1% 76.7%
.500 or above in Conference 74.0% 77.5% 65.8%
Conference Champion 6.9% 7.9% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.9% 2.1%
First Four5.5% 5.5% 5.7%
First Round55.8% 61.8% 41.8%
Second Round34.2% 38.8% 23.5%
Sweet Sixteen14.5% 17.0% 8.8%
Elite Eight6.1% 7.1% 3.7%
Final Four2.3% 2.7% 1.4%
Championship Game1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.2%

Next Game: West Virginia (Home) - 70.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 8
Quad 25 - 39 - 11
Quad 36 - 115 - 12
Quad 45 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 254   Radford W 96-56 95%     1 - 0 +32.5 +16.8 +15.2
  Nov 08, 2024 136   Murray St. W 83-68 88%     2 - 0 +13.4 +9.6 +3.9
  Nov 11, 2024 217   Gardner-Webb W 83-64 94%     3 - 0 +13.0 +3.7 +8.6
  Nov 15, 2024 57   West Virginia W 76-71 70%    
  Nov 18, 2024 357   VMI W 94-65 99.5%   
  Nov 22, 2024 48   LSU W 76-74 56%    
  Nov 29, 2024 17   @ Ohio St. L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 04, 2024 26   @ Mississippi St. L 73-77 34%    
  Dec 07, 2024 82   @ Virginia Tech W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 11, 2024 225   Eastern Kentucky W 85-68 94%    
  Dec 21, 2024 123   Sam Houston St. W 82-71 85%    
  Jan 01, 2025 119   California W 81-70 84%    
  Jan 04, 2025 70   Stanford W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 07, 2025 6   @ Duke L 69-79 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 49   Louisville W 78-73 66%    
  Jan 15, 2025 80   @ Florida St. W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 18, 2025 44   Clemson W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 89   @ Syracuse W 79-76 58%    
  Jan 28, 2025 10   North Carolina L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 01, 2025 62   @ Wake Forest L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 03, 2025 78   Virginia W 66-59 72%    
  Feb 08, 2025 10   @ North Carolina L 74-82 24%    
  Feb 11, 2025 63   @ SMU L 78-79 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 33   Miami (FL) W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 18, 2025 89   Syracuse W 82-73 76%    
  Feb 22, 2025 81   @ Notre Dame W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 25, 2025 96   Georgia Tech W 84-75 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 49   @ Louisville L 75-76 45%    
  Mar 05, 2025 59   @ North Carolina St. L 74-75 48%    
  Mar 08, 2025 144   Boston College W 78-65 87%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.5 2.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.0 2.8 0.6 0.1 10.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.3 2.6 0.6 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.2 3.2 0.7 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 4.0 1.2 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.5 3.2 2.8 0.3 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 3.4 0.8 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.0 1.7 0.1 5.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 4.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.0 0.0 4.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.5 0.2 3.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.0 14th
15th 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.7 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.9 4.8 6.6 8.6 10.5 12.0 12.3 11.4 9.6 7.8 5.3 3.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 99.3% 0.5    0.4 0.0
18-2 90.2% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
17-3 62.6% 2.0    1.2 0.8 0.1
16-4 36.3% 1.9    0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 11.0% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.7 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 38.2% 61.8% 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.5% 100.0% 38.1% 61.9% 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.3% 100.0% 29.8% 70.2% 2.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 3.2% 100.0% 25.5% 74.5% 3.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 5.3% 99.9% 20.8% 79.1% 4.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 7.8% 99.0% 13.9% 85.1% 5.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.8%
14-6 9.6% 95.7% 10.2% 85.5% 6.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 95.2%
13-7 11.4% 90.0% 7.2% 82.8% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.1 89.2%
12-8 12.3% 75.7% 4.1% 71.6% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.0 1.4 0.1 3.0 74.6%
11-9 12.0% 56.7% 2.6% 54.2% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.2 55.6%
10-10 10.5% 33.5% 1.5% 32.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.3 7.0 32.5%
9-11 8.6% 13.5% 0.8% 12.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 7.5 12.8%
8-12 6.6% 3.1% 0.4% 2.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.4 2.8%
7-13 4.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 0.6%
6-14 2.9% 2.9
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 58.6% 6.5% 52.1% 7.1 1.3 2.2 3.7 4.9 5.9 5.9 6.6 6.9 7.5 6.7 6.1 1.0 0.0 41.4 55.8%