West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#42
Expected Predictive Rating+15.8#25
Pace67.1#234
Improvement+3.2#27

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#57
First Shot+6.5#34
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#277
Layup/Dunks-4.0#312
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.5#3
Freethrows+0.6#146
Improvement+1.6#57

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#29
First Shot+7.4#14
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#260
Layups/Dunks+6.9#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#263
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#113
Freethrows-0.4#224
Improvement+1.5#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.7%
Top 2 Seed 1.4% 1.4% 0.7%
Top 4 Seed 8.3% 8.4% 2.1%
Top 6 Seed 22.7% 22.8% 9.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 65.0% 65.1% 32.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 64.2% 64.3% 30.5%
Average Seed 7.5 7.5 8.3
.500 or above 87.7% 87.8% 56.6%
.500 or above in Conference 53.0% 53.1% 30.3%
Conference Champion 1.8% 1.8% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 3.5% 11.7%
First Four7.8% 7.8% 7.6%
First Round61.0% 61.1% 26.9%
Second Round34.6% 34.6% 13.8%
Sweet Sixteen12.7% 12.7% 3.4%
Elite Eight4.7% 4.7% 0.7%
Final Four1.7% 1.7% 0.7%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.7%

Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 99.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 10
Quad 25 - 311 - 13
Quad 33 - 014 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 259   Robert Morris W 87-59 96%     1 - 0 +19.5 +11.6 +7.5
  Nov 08, 2024 200   Massachusetts W 75-69 93%     2 - 0 +1.2 -3.0 +4.0
  Nov 15, 2024 32   @ Pittsburgh L 62-86 35%     2 - 1 -8.6 -5.9 -1.8
  Nov 20, 2024 257   Iona W 86-43 96%     3 - 1 +34.5 +12.3 +22.8
  Nov 27, 2024 3   Gonzaga W 86-78 OT 20%     4 - 1 +28.2 +12.9 +14.6
  Nov 28, 2024 50   Louisville L 70-79 OT 55%     4 - 2 +1.2 -0.9 +2.4
  Nov 29, 2024 21   Arizona W 83-76 OT 39%     5 - 2 +21.3 +14.1 +7.0
  Dec 06, 2024 90   Georgetown W 73-60 78%     6 - 2 +16.1 +5.3 +11.3
  Dec 10, 2024 258   NC Central W 79-45 96%     7 - 2 +25.5 +10.3 +19.4
  Dec 14, 2024 289   Bethune-Cookman W 84-61 96%     8 - 2 +13.2 +8.5 +4.5
  Dec 22, 2024 360   Mercyhurst W 81-52 99.7%   
  Dec 31, 2024 10   @ Kansas L 67-76 20%    
  Jan 04, 2025 85   Oklahoma St. W 78-70 77%    
  Jan 07, 2025 21   Arizona W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 12, 2025 73   @ Colorado W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 15, 2025 6   @ Houston L 59-70 16%    
  Jan 18, 2025 5   Iowa St. L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 21, 2025 61   Arizona St. W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 25, 2025 64   @ Kansas St. L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 29, 2025 6   Houston L 62-67 34%    
  Feb 02, 2025 27   @ Cincinnati L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 05, 2025 86   @ TCU W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 66   Utah W 76-70 71%    
  Feb 11, 2025 44   BYU W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 12   @ Baylor L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 19, 2025 27   Cincinnati W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 25   @ Texas Tech L 68-73 31%    
  Feb 25, 2025 86   TCU W 72-64 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 44   @ BYU L 72-75 41%    
  Mar 04, 2025 66   @ Utah L 72-73 50%    
  Mar 08, 2025 82   Central Florida W 75-67 75%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 1.3 0.2 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.1 0.8 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 5.1 2.4 0.2 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 7.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 3.2 1.4 0.1 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.7 6.3 9.0 11.6 13.4 13.6 12.3 10.2 7.4 4.8 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 88.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 79.0% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 47.3% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 18.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 20.3% 79.7% 1.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 14.2% 85.8% 2.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.3% 100.0% 14.9% 85.1% 2.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.8% 100.0% 8.9% 91.1% 3.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 4.8% 100.0% 7.9% 92.1% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 7.4% 99.9% 4.8% 95.1% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-8 10.2% 99.2% 3.6% 95.6% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.7 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.2%
11-9 12.3% 97.4% 1.6% 95.8% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.9 3.3 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 97.4%
10-10 13.6% 91.0% 1.3% 89.7% 8.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.2 3.7 2.3 0.8 0.0 1.2 90.9%
9-11 13.4% 68.2% 0.8% 67.4% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.7 3.6 0.2 4.3 67.9%
8-12 11.6% 33.2% 0.5% 32.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.5 0.4 7.8 32.9%
7-13 9.0% 7.0% 0.2% 6.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 8.4 6.8%
6-14 6.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 0.3%
5-15 3.7% 3.7
4-16 1.9% 1.9
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 65.0% 2.2% 62.8% 7.5 0.4 1.0 2.7 4.3 6.4 8.0 9.2 9.4 8.5 6.8 7.5 0.8 35.0 64.2%