IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

BYU
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+12.1	#32
Expected Predictive Rating	+6.4	#84

Pace	71.4	#118
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+7.7	#19

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.4	#66

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
#1 Seed	2.0%	2.0%	0.3%
Top 2 Seed	5.1%	5.2%	0.8%
Top 4 Seed	16.6%	16.8%	5.3%
Top 6 Seed	31.6%	32.0%	12.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid	62.5%	63.1%	36.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	61.3%	61.9%	35.2%
Average Seed	6.5	6.5	7.6

.500 or above	83.9%	84.5%	57.4%
.500 or above in Conference	56.8%	57.3%	33.9%
Conference Champion	3.4%	3.5%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	4.2%	4.1%	8.7%

First Four	5.0%	5.0%	4.6%
First Round	60.1%	60.7%	34.0%
Second Round	39.6%	40.0%	21.9%
Sweet Sixteen	18.4%	18.7%	8.7%
Elite Eight	8.1%	8.2%	2.0%
Final Four	3.3%	3.3%	0.3%
Championship Game	1.4%	1.4%	0.3%
National Champion	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 97.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	3 - 3	5 - 9
Quad 2	5 - 2	10 - 11
Quad 3	3 - 0	13 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 0	19 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	346	Central Arkansas	W	88-50	99%	1 - 0			+22.8	+9.5	+14.0
Nov 08, 2024	155	UC Riverside	W	86-80	91%	2 - 0			+3.6	+6.2	-2.9
Nov 13, 2024	297	Queens	W	99-55	97%	3 - 0			+34.0	+16.7	+15.1
Nov 16, 2024	282	Idaho	W	84-63	98%
Nov 28, 2024	61	Mississippi	W	75-72	62%
Dec 03, 2024	84	@ Providence	W	71-69	57%
Dec 11, 2024	234	Fresno St.	W	87-68	95%
Dec 14, 2024	196	Wyoming	W	81-67	90%
Dec 20, 2024	355	Florida A&M	W	88-59	99.6%
Dec 31, 2024	72	Arizona St.	W	78-71	75%
Jan 04, 2025	2	@ Houston	L	64-75	17%
Jan 07, 2025	14	Texas Tech	W	75-74	51%
Jan 11, 2025	53	@ TCU	L	77-78	49%
Jan 14, 2025	87	Oklahoma St.	W	80-71	77%
Jan 18, 2025	51	@ Utah	L	77-78	48%
Jan 21, 2025	76	@ Colorado	W	74-72	55%
Jan 25, 2025	22	Cincinnati	W	75-73	57%
Jan 28, 2025	13	Baylor	L	74-75	50%
Feb 01, 2025	66	@ Central Florida	W	75-74	53%
Feb 04, 2025	8	Arizona	L	79-81	42%
Feb 08, 2025	22	@ Cincinnati	L	72-76	37%
Feb 11, 2025	57	@ West Virginia	W	76-75	51%
Feb 15, 2025	42	Kansas St.	W	76-72	65%
Feb 18, 2025	5	Kansas	L	76-80	37%
Feb 22, 2025	8	@ Arizona	L	76-84	24%
Feb 26, 2025	72	@ Arizona St.	W	75-74	55%
Mar 01, 2025	57	West Virginia	W	78-72	70%
Mar 04, 2025	11	@ Iowa St.	L	69-76	27%
Mar 08, 2025	51	Utah	W	80-74	68%
Projected Record						18 - 11	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0		3.4	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	1.2	1.9	1.3	0.3	0.1	0.0			5.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.0	0.3	1.8	2.8	1.4	0.3	0.0					6.6	3rd
4th												0.3	1.8	3.4	1.9	0.3	0.0						7.8	4th
5th											0.2	1.6	3.7	2.2	0.4	0.0							8.2	5th
6th										0.0	1.2	3.9	3.1	0.6	0.0								8.8	6th
7th									0.0	0.5	3.4	3.7	0.9	0.1									8.6	7th
8th								0.0	0.3	2.3	4.5	1.5	0.1										8.7	8th
9th								0.1	1.5	4.1	2.1	0.2	0.0										8.1	9th
10th							0.0	0.6	3.4	2.9	0.5	0.0											7.4	10th
11th						0.0	0.4	2.4	3.1	0.9	0.0												6.8	11th
12th						0.2	1.5	2.9	1.4	0.1													6.0	12th
13th				0.0	0.1	0.9	2.2	1.5	0.2	0.0													4.9	13th
14th			0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	1.4	0.3	0.0														4.1	14th
15th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.2	1.2	0.2	0.0															3.3	15th
16th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0															2.2	16th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.5	4.1	5.8	7.8	10.0	10.8	11.8	11.3	10.0	8.4	6.4	4.3	2.8	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0		Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	96.4%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	90.4%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
17-3	72.2%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.0
16-4	40.6%	1.1		0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	13.2%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-6	2.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.4%	3.4		1.8	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0	0.0
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	38.2%	61.8%	1.2		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.6%		100.0%	22.5%	77.5%	1.5		0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0															100.0%
17-3	1.1%		100.0%	14.5%	85.5%	1.8		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0															100.0%
16-4	2.8%		100.0%	16.7%	83.3%	2.4		0.6	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0													100.0%
15-5	4.3%		100.0%	12.0%	88.0%	3.2		0.3	0.9	1.4	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0												100.0%
14-6	6.4%		99.9%	8.3%	91.6%	4.2		0.1	0.5	1.4	2.0	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0								0.0		99.9%
13-7	8.4%		99.7%	4.9%	94.8%	5.2		0.0	0.1	0.8	1.7	2.2	1.8	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.7%
12-8	10.0%		98.4%	3.4%	95.1%	6.3			0.1	0.3	0.9	1.9	2.3	2.2	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.1						0.2		98.4%
11-9	11.3%		94.6%	1.7%	92.8%	7.5				0.1	0.2	0.9	1.8	2.2	2.3	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.0					0.6		94.5%
10-10	11.8%		82.1%	1.2%	81.0%	8.5				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.3	2.1	2.2	1.8	1.1	0.1					2.1		81.9%
9-11	10.8%		53.8%	0.5%	53.3%	9.8					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.5	2.0	0.4	0.0				5.0		53.6%
8-12	10.0%		23.0%	0.3%	22.8%	10.7							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.2	0.4	0.0				7.7		22.8%
7-13	7.8%		5.1%	0.2%	5.0%	11.3									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0				7.4		5.0%
6-14	5.8%		0.7%	0.1%	0.6%	11.2											0.0	0.0	0.0					5.7		0.6%
5-15	4.1%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0															0.0			4.1
4-16	2.5%																							2.5
3-17	1.4%																							1.4
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		62.5%	3.1%	59.4%	6.5		2.0	3.2	5.0	6.5	7.2	7.8	7.4	6.9	5.9	4.9	4.8	1.1	0.0	0.0			37.5		61.3%