IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Queens
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.2	#280
Expected Predictive Rating	-2.8	#213

Pace	74.0	#65
Improvement	+1.7	#69

Offense
Total Offense	-1.4	#209

First Shot	-2.9	#258
After Offensive Rebound	+1.5	#104

Layup/Dunks	+0.3	#171
2 Pt Jumpshots	-4.2	#359
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.5	#100
Freethrows	-1.6	#274

Improvement	+4.5	#2

Defense
Total Defense	-4.8	#320

First Shot	-1.8	#230
After Offensive Rebounds	-3.0	#340

Layups/Dunks	-4.7	#335
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.4	#70
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.2	#140
Freethrows	+0.3	#168

Improvement	-2.8	#343

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.4%	3.0%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.3	15.6

.500 or above	30.4%	41.1%	19.0%
.500 or above in Conference	48.1%	53.2%	42.6%
Conference Champion	1.9%	2.4%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	4.8%	3.7%	6.0%

First Four	0.6%	0.6%	0.7%
First Round	2.1%	2.7%	1.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 51.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 10
Quad 4	12 - 6	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	308	Western Carolina	W	67-54	68%	1 - 0			+2.0	-15.7	+16.3
Nov 12, 2024	66	@ Utah	L	65-96	6%	1 - 1			-19.6	-7.3	-9.8
Nov 13, 2024	44	@ BYU	L	55-99	4%	1 - 2			-30.0	-15.5	-12.3
Nov 19, 2024	171	@ Appalachian St.	L	53-65	21%	1 - 3			-9.7	-11.7	+1.1
Nov 23, 2024	334	South Carolina Upstate	W	98-74	66%	2 - 3			+13.6	+13.3	-1.3
Nov 24, 2024	147	@ East Tennessee St.	L	67-82	18%	2 - 4			-11.4	-2.6	-9.1
Dec 03, 2024	181	Winthrop	L	78-86	42%	2 - 5			-12.0	-3.5	-7.9
Dec 07, 2024	350	@ VMI	W	81-78	62%	3 - 5			-6.3	+6.5	-12.7
Dec 14, 2024	240	@ Gardner-Webb	W	85-83	31%	4 - 5			+0.9	+13.7	-12.7
Dec 18, 2024	229	Mercer	W	79-78	52%
Dec 21, 2024	26	@ Mississippi	L	66-89	2%
Jan 02, 2025	336	Stetson	W	83-75	76%
Jan 04, 2025	180	Florida Gulf Coast	L	71-73	42%
Jan 09, 2025	107	@ Lipscomb	L	70-83	11%
Jan 11, 2025	261	@ Austin Peay	L	67-71	37%
Jan 16, 2025	336	@ Stetson	W	80-78	56%
Jan 18, 2025	180	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	68-76	23%
Jan 23, 2025	167	North Florida	L	83-86	40%
Jan 25, 2025	204	Jacksonville	L	74-75	46%
Jan 29, 2025	193	North Alabama	L	76-78	44%
Feb 01, 2025	348	West Georgia	W	80-71	79%
Feb 05, 2025	342	@ Central Arkansas	W	76-74	58%
Feb 08, 2025	107	Lipscomb	L	73-80	25%
Feb 13, 2025	333	@ Bellarmine	W	79-78	54%
Feb 15, 2025	218	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	76-82	28%
Feb 18, 2025	342	Central Arkansas	W	79-71	76%
Feb 20, 2025	261	Austin Peay	W	70-68	58%
Feb 24, 2025	348	@ West Georgia	W	77-74	60%
Feb 26, 2025	193	@ North Alabama	L	73-81	25%
Projected Record						13 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.0				4.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.9	2.8	1.2	0.2	0.0					6.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.4	4.0	1.9	0.2							8.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.6	5.4	2.7	0.3	0.0							11.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	3.0	6.1	3.6	0.5	0.0								13.6	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.9	6.7	4.2	0.7	0.0									14.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.9	6.4	4.2	0.7	0.0										14.5	8th
9th					0.2	2.2	4.5	2.9	0.5	0.0											10.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.4	3.1	2.1	0.3	0.0												7.3	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.9	1.9	1.3	0.3	0.0													4.5	11th
12th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0														2.3	12th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.7	2.0	4.1	7.1	10.1	12.9	14.9	13.9	12.5	9.3	6.2	3.6	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	96.9%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
15-3	70.4%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
14-4	38.6%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	10.4%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.9%	1.9		0.8	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
17-1	0.0%		15.0%	15.0%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
16-2	0.2%		18.8%	18.8%		13.8														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
15-3	0.7%		14.5%	14.5%		14.3														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.6
14-4	1.7%		12.7%	12.7%		14.6														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.5
13-5	3.6%		7.7%	7.7%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	3.3
12-6	6.2%		5.5%	5.5%		15.3															0.0	0.2	0.1	5.8
11-7	9.3%		4.5%	4.5%		15.5															0.0	0.2	0.2	8.8
10-8	12.5%		3.4%	3.4%		15.7																0.1	0.3	12.1
9-9	13.9%		1.8%	1.8%		15.9																0.0	0.2	13.7
8-10	14.9%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																0.0	0.2	14.7
7-11	12.9%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	12.8
6-12	10.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
5-13	7.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.0
4-14	4.1%																							4.1
3-15	2.0%																							2.0
2-16	0.7%																							0.7
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		2.4%	2.4%	0.0%	15.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.2	97.6		0.0%