South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#334
Expected Predictive Rating-11.0#328
Pace77.4#22
Improvement-0.7#238

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#320
First Shot-2.4#245
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#319
Layup/Dunks+3.8#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#346
Freethrows-1.9#285
Improvement-3.2#357

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#332
First Shot-6.4#354
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#102
Layups/Dunks-2.8#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#252
Freethrows-1.5#280
Improvement+2.5#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.1% 9.1% 5.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 58.4% 53.2% 62.3%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 45 - 96 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 79   @ North Carolina St. L 66-97 4%     0 - 1 -20.9 -6.2 -12.7
  Nov 08, 2024 125   @ Virginia Tech L 74-93 8%     0 - 2 -13.8 +2.0 -15.2
  Nov 13, 2024 94   @ Wake Forest L 80-85 5%     0 - 3 +3.8 +11.5 -7.6
  Nov 15, 2024 142   UNC Wilmington L 85-89 21%     0 - 4 -6.0 +1.4 -6.9
  Nov 22, 2024 147   @ East Tennessee St. L 76-87 10%     0 - 5 -7.4 -0.2 -6.4
  Nov 23, 2024 280   Queens L 74-98 34%     0 - 6 -30.2 -8.6 -20.0
  Nov 26, 2024 43   @ Iowa L 77-110 2%     0 - 7 -18.9 -1.2 -13.7
  Nov 30, 2024 274   @ Coastal Carolina L 51-73 24%     0 - 8 -25.0 -20.8 -5.1
  Dec 07, 2024 308   @ Western Carolina W 74-68 30%     1 - 8 +1.0 -1.2 +2.0
  Dec 14, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 53-73 3%     1 - 9 -9.1 -12.4 +2.7
  Dec 18, 2024 262   South Carolina St. L 75-77 43%    
  Dec 21, 2024 211   Youngstown St. L 72-77 31%    
  Jan 02, 2025 181   @ Winthrop L 76-88 12%    
  Jan 08, 2025 250   Presbyterian L 75-77 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 202   Radford L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 15, 2025 182   @ UNC Asheville L 72-84 13%    
  Jan 18, 2025 240   @ Gardner-Webb L 75-84 20%    
  Jan 22, 2025 134   High Point L 74-83 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 220   @ Longwood L 70-81 17%    
  Jan 29, 2025 299   Charleston Southern L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 202   @ Radford L 67-79 15%    
  Feb 05, 2025 250   @ Presbyterian L 72-80 22%    
  Feb 08, 2025 181   Winthrop L 79-85 28%    
  Feb 12, 2025 182   UNC Asheville L 75-81 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 240   Gardner-Webb L 78-81 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 299   @ Charleston Southern L 74-80 29%    
  Feb 26, 2025 134   @ High Point L 71-86 9%    
  Mar 01, 2025 220   Longwood L 73-78 34%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.8 0.1 2.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.6 0.1 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.0 0.4 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.5 5.1 0.9 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.8 9.2 6.7 1.5 0.0 23.4 8th
9th 2.5 8.3 13.4 12.7 6.7 1.5 0.1 45.2 9th
Total 2.5 8.3 14.5 17.7 17.8 14.5 10.7 6.8 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 80.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 32.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 8.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.1% 3.6% 3.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.3% 8.0% 8.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3
10-6 0.8% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.1 0.7
9-7 2.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 1.9
8-8 3.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 3.8
7-9 6.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 6.7
6-10 10.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.6
5-11 14.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.4
4-12 17.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.8
3-13 17.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.7
2-14 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
1-15 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.3
0-16 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%