South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#316
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#231
Pace71.5#113
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#290
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#326
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.2% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 4.1% 8.8% 2.3%
.500 or above in Conference 16.7% 23.5% 14.0%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.6% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 39.4% 31.2% 42.6%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
First Round1.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Home) - 28.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 72 - 14
Quad 46 - 88 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 59   @ North Carolina St. L 66-97 4%     0 - 1 -19.2 -6.5 -10.7
  Nov 08, 2024 82   @ Virginia Tech L 74-93 5%     0 - 2 -8.9 +4.1 -12.4
  Nov 13, 2024 62   @ Wake Forest L 80-85 4%     0 - 3 +6.6 +10.2 -3.4
  Nov 15, 2024 156   UNC Wilmington L 71-77 28%    
  Nov 22, 2024 190   @ East Tennessee St. L 68-78 18%    
  Nov 23, 2024 297   Queens L 77-79 45%    
  Nov 26, 2024 45   @ Iowa L 71-93 2%    
  Nov 30, 2024 268   @ Coastal Carolina L 68-74 29%    
  Dec 07, 2024 263   @ Western Carolina L 67-73 28%    
  Dec 14, 2024 64   @ South Carolina L 61-81 3%    
  Dec 18, 2024 310   South Carolina St. W 75-73 58%    
  Dec 21, 2024 185   Youngstown St. L 72-76 35%    
  Jan 02, 2025 163   @ Winthrop L 65-77 15%    
  Jan 08, 2025 264   Presbyterian L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 254   Radford L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 15, 2025 211   @ UNC Asheville L 70-79 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 217   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-80 23%    
  Jan 22, 2025 125   High Point L 74-82 23%    
  Jan 25, 2025 167   @ Longwood L 67-78 16%    
  Jan 29, 2025 303   Charleston Southern W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 01, 2025 254   @ Radford L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 05, 2025 264   @ Presbyterian L 73-79 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 163   Winthrop L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 12, 2025 211   UNC Asheville L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 217   Gardner-Webb L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 303   @ Charleston Southern L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 26, 2025 125   @ High Point L 71-85 11%    
  Mar 01, 2025 167   Longwood L 70-75 33%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.1 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.4 4.0 0.6 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.7 5.4 0.9 0.0 16.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.1 8.2 5.7 1.2 0.1 21.7 8th
9th 1.8 5.6 8.5 7.8 3.9 0.8 0.0 28.4 9th
Total 1.8 5.7 9.9 13.2 15.0 15.0 13.2 9.7 6.9 4.5 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-3 78.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
12-4 52.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 20.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.3% 21.3% 21.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.6% 13.1% 13.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-5 1.6% 10.3% 10.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.4
10-6 2.7% 7.7% 7.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5
9-7 4.5% 4.6% 4.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.3
8-8 6.9% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.7
7-9 9.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.5
6-10 13.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.0
5-11 15.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.9
4-12 15.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.9
3-13 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
2-14 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
1-15 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
0-16 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%