South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#338
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#338
Pace78.6#11
Improvement-0.3#198

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#323
First Shot-3.5#282
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#314
Layup/Dunks+3.2#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#350
Freethrows-1.2#267
Improvement-1.6#273

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#333
First Shot-5.8#343
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#160
Layups/Dunks-2.3#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#262
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#229
Freethrows-1.9#307
Improvement+1.3#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.7% 2.3% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 78.6% 60.7% 81.2%
First Four0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 12.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 80 - 14
Quad 44 - 105 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 93   @ North Carolina St. L 66-97 4%     0 - 1 -22.2 -7.6 -12.6
  Nov 08, 2024 137   @ Virginia Tech L 74-93 8%     0 - 2 -14.6 +0.3 -14.3
  Nov 13, 2024 59   @ Wake Forest L 80-85 2%     0 - 3 +7.1 +12.7 -5.4
  Nov 15, 2024 141   UNC Wilmington L 85-89 17%     0 - 4 -5.2 +1.2 -6.0
  Nov 22, 2024 146   @ East Tennessee St. L 76-87 8%     0 - 5 -7.1 -0.5 -5.8
  Nov 23, 2024 210   Queens L 74-98 20%     0 - 6 -26.4 -6.1 -18.8
  Nov 26, 2024 50   @ Iowa L 77-110 2%     0 - 7 -19.6 -3.7 -11.9
  Nov 30, 2024 292   @ Coastal Carolina L 51-73 26%     0 - 8 -26.8 -23.2 -4.5
  Dec 07, 2024 342   @ Western Carolina W 74-68 40%     1 - 8 -2.8 -3.1 +0.1
  Dec 14, 2024 82   @ South Carolina L 53-73 4%     1 - 9 -10.4 -12.0 +1.0
  Dec 18, 2024 243   South Carolina St. L 70-85 34%     1 - 10 -22.2 -13.8 -6.7
  Dec 21, 2024 208   Youngstown St. L 64-72 27%     1 - 11 -13.1 -16.8 +4.8
  Jan 02, 2025 197   @ Winthrop L 76-95 12%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -17.9 -0.1 -17.2
  Jan 08, 2025 273   Presbyterian W 77-67 41%     2 - 12 1 - 1 +0.9 +1.8 -0.5
  Jan 11, 2025 204   Radford L 67-80 26%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -17.9 -3.4 -15.6
  Jan 15, 2025 187   @ UNC Asheville L 92-93 12%     2 - 14 1 - 3 +0.6 +5.1 -4.4
  Jan 18, 2025 239   @ Gardner-Webb L 68-97 18%     2 - 15 1 - 4 -30.6 -10.2 -18.6
  Jan 22, 2025 105   High Point L 76-88 13%    
  Jan 25, 2025 199   @ Longwood L 72-85 12%    
  Jan 29, 2025 279   Charleston Southern L 76-78 43%    
  Feb 01, 2025 204   @ Radford L 67-79 13%    
  Feb 05, 2025 273   @ Presbyterian L 70-78 23%    
  Feb 08, 2025 197   Winthrop L 81-88 26%    
  Feb 12, 2025 187   UNC Asheville L 78-86 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 239   Gardner-Webb L 78-82 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 279   @ Charleston Southern L 73-81 24%    
  Feb 26, 2025 105   @ High Point L 73-91 5%    
  Mar 01, 2025 199   Longwood L 75-82 27%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 3 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 0.2 1.3 5th
6th 0.4 2.1 1.2 0.1 3.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.8 3.0 0.2 7.9 7th
8th 0.5 4.2 10.1 7.3 1.2 0.0 23.3 8th
9th 8.4 20.3 21.8 10.8 2.0 0.1 63.3 9th
Total 8.4 20.8 26.0 21.8 13.4 6.5 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.1
8-8 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
7-9 2.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
6-10 6.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.5
5-11 13.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.4
4-12 21.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.7
3-13 26.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 26.0
2-14 20.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.8
1-15 8.4% 8.4
0-16
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.4%