IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.6	#64
Expected Predictive Rating	-0.3	#200

Pace	66.1	#275
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.7	#80

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.8	#53

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	1.1%	0.3%
Top 4 Seed	2.6%	5.5%	1.6%
Top 6 Seed	7.0%	13.9%	4.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid	26.5%	42.3%	21.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	25.7%	41.4%	20.6%
Average Seed	7.9	7.6	8.2

.500 or above	52.8%	72.4%	46.4%
.500 or above in Conference	28.9%	38.9%	25.6%
Conference Champion	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	15.6%	10.3%	17.3%

First Four	3.7%	4.7%	3.3%
First Round	24.6%	39.9%	19.5%
Second Round	13.6%	23.1%	10.5%
Sweet Sixteen	4.6%	8.5%	3.4%
Elite Eight	1.7%	3.3%	1.2%
Final Four	0.6%	1.1%	0.5%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
National Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 15
Quad 4	5 - 1	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	140	North Florida	L	71-74	83%	0 - 1			-4.8	-4.9	+0.1
Nov 08, 2024	310	South Carolina St.	W	86-64	95%	1 - 1			+11.2	+6.0	+4.8
Nov 12, 2024	134	Towson	W	80-54	82%	2 - 1			+24.6	+8.5	+16.5
Nov 16, 2024	24	@ Indiana	L	67-74	25%
Nov 21, 2024	249	Mercer	W	78-62	93%
Nov 25, 2024	41	Xavier	L	74-76	42%
Dec 03, 2024	144	@ Boston College	W	70-66	66%
Dec 07, 2024	154	East Carolina	W	72-61	84%
Dec 14, 2024	316	South Carolina Upstate	W	81-61	97%
Dec 17, 2024	44	Clemson	W	69-68	54%
Dec 22, 2024	254	Radford	W	78-62	92%
Dec 30, 2024	264	Presbyterian	W	80-63	94%
Jan 04, 2025	26	@ Mississippi St.	L	68-75	27%
Jan 08, 2025	7	Alabama	L	73-79	29%
Jan 11, 2025	3	Auburn	L	69-77	24%
Jan 15, 2025	83	@ Vanderbilt	L	72-74	45%
Jan 18, 2025	52	@ Oklahoma	L	67-71	37%
Jan 22, 2025	21	Florida	L	76-77	45%
Jan 25, 2025	26	Mississippi St.	L	71-72	46%
Jan 28, 2025	68	@ Georgia	L	70-73	42%
Feb 01, 2025	28	Texas A&M	L	68-69	46%
Feb 08, 2025	12	@ Kentucky	L	71-82	17%
Feb 12, 2025	61	Mississippi	W	70-67	60%
Feb 15, 2025	21	@ Florida	L	73-80	26%
Feb 18, 2025	48	@ LSU	L	70-74	36%
Feb 22, 2025	23	Texas	L	69-70	45%
Feb 25, 2025	71	@ Missouri	L	69-71	43%
Mar 01, 2025	19	Arkansas	L	70-72	43%
Mar 04, 2025	68	Georgia	W	73-70	61%
Mar 08, 2025	9	@ Tennessee	L	64-75	17%
Projected Record						15 - 15	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0			1.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0				1.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0					2.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.6	1.3	0.2	0.0						3.5	4th
5th										0.1	1.4	2.0	0.5	0.0							4.1	5th
6th									0.0	0.9	2.7	1.0	0.1								4.8	6th
7th									0.5	2.8	2.1	0.2	0.0								5.6	7th
8th								0.2	2.1	3.3	0.6	0.0									6.2	8th
9th							0.0	1.1	3.9	1.9	0.1										7.0	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	3.6	3.5	0.4	0.0										7.9	10th
11th					0.0	0.2	2.4	4.8	1.3	0.0											8.7	11th
12th					0.1	1.3	4.6	2.5	0.2	0.0											8.7	12th
13th				0.0	1.0	4.0	3.8	0.6	0.0												9.5	13th
14th			0.0	0.7	3.4	4.3	1.2	0.0													9.6	14th
15th		0.1	1.1	3.1	3.9	1.7	0.2	0.0													10.1	15th
16th	0.4	1.5	2.9	2.9	1.2	0.2	0.0													9.1	16th

Total	0.4	1.6	4.0	6.7	9.7	11.7	12.7	12.7	11.5	9.5	7.4	5.3	3.4	1.9	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	93.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	72.4%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	32.6%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	9.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	9.7%	90.3%	2.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
15-3	0.4%		100.0%	12.9%	87.1%	2.9		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0														100.0%
14-4	1.0%		100.0%	11.3%	88.7%	4.0		0.1	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
13-5	1.9%		99.5%	9.4%	90.0%	5.1		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0								0.0		99.4%
12-6	3.4%		97.7%	4.8%	92.9%	6.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.1		97.6%
11-7	5.3%		92.5%	3.1%	89.4%	7.5			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.1	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0					0.4		92.3%
10-8	7.4%		77.6%	1.9%	75.7%	8.4				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.3	1.3	1.0	0.5	0.0					1.6		77.2%
9-9	9.5%		54.9%	0.6%	54.3%	9.4					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.3	1.1	0.2					4.3		54.6%
8-10	11.5%		24.9%	0.6%	24.3%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	0.2	0.0				8.6		24.5%
7-11	12.7%		7.4%	0.2%	7.2%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0				11.8		7.2%
6-12	12.7%		1.0%	0.1%	0.9%	11.2										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					12.5		0.9%
5-13	11.7%																							11.7
4-14	9.7%																							9.7
3-15	6.7%																							6.7
2-16	4.0%																							4.0
1-17	1.6%																							1.6
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		26.5%	1.0%	25.5%	7.9		0.2	0.4	0.9	1.2	1.8	2.6	3.5	4.0	3.8	3.7	3.7	0.7	0.0				73.5		25.7%