Mercer
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#261
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#260
Pace75.4#27
Improvement-1.8#259

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#313
First Shot-3.9#288
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#266
Layup/Dunks+1.1#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#290
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#245
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-4.9#348

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#180
First Shot-0.6#201
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#141
Layups/Dunks+0.5#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#180
Freethrows-0.7#235
Improvement+3.1#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 60 - 6
Quad 33 - 113 - 17
Quad 49 - 212 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2024 116   @ DePaul L 64-95 14%     0 - 1 -25.1 -12.0 -10.5
  Nov 16, 2024 129   @ South Alabama L 66-75 17%     0 - 2 -4.4 -2.6 -1.9
  Nov 21, 2024 68   @ South Carolina L 72-84 7%     0 - 3 -1.2 +7.5 -9.0
  Nov 25, 2024 200   Jacksonville W 90-89 OT 36%     1 - 3 -1.0 +8.8 -9.9
  Nov 26, 2024 160   Miami (OH) L 72-75 29%     1 - 4 -3.0 -5.2 +2.4
  Dec 04, 2024 349   West Georgia W 86-72 82%     2 - 4 -1.5 +11.4 -12.0
  Dec 08, 2024 350   @ Stetson W 89-83 OT 67%     3 - 4 -4.3 -1.3 -3.7
  Dec 15, 2024 361   Chicago St. W 75-63 90%     4 - 4 -7.7 -5.6 -2.0
  Dec 18, 2024 208   @ Queens L 66-73 29%     4 - 5 -6.8 -14.1 +7.9
  Dec 21, 2024 161   @ Winthrop L 97-102 21%     4 - 6 -2.3 +5.8 -7.1
  Dec 28, 2024 252   @ Georgia St. W 71-68 37%     5 - 6 +0.8 -6.3 +7.1
  Jan 01, 2025 117   Chattanooga W 99-94 OT 29%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +5.2 +5.2 -0.9
  Jan 04, 2025 299   @ VMI W 70-67 48%     7 - 6 2 - 0 -2.2 -9.7 +7.3
  Jan 08, 2025 152   East Tennessee St. L 68-70 38%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -4.4 -2.7 -1.7
  Jan 12, 2025 338   @ Western Carolina L 82-85 62%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -11.8 -0.2 -11.4
  Jan 15, 2025 121   Samford L 74-75 31%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -1.4 -4.4 +3.0
  Jan 18, 2025 134   @ Wofford L 49-69 17%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -15.5 -20.2 +3.0
  Jan 22, 2025 156   @ UNC Greensboro W 79-78 21%     8 - 10 3 - 4 +4.0 +4.4 -0.5
  Jan 25, 2025 135   Furman L 74-79 34%     8 - 11 3 - 5 -6.2 +3.7 -10.2
  Jan 29, 2025 357   The Citadel W 80-46 86%     9 - 11 4 - 5 +16.5 +0.1 +16.8
  Feb 01, 2025 117   @ Chattanooga L 84-93 15%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -3.2 +3.7 -6.3
  Feb 05, 2025 121   @ Samford L 79-100 16%     9 - 13 4 - 7 -15.9 -2.1 -11.5
  Feb 08, 2025 134   Wofford L 66-77 33%     9 - 14 4 - 8 -12.0 -11.8 +0.1
  Feb 12, 2025 135   @ Furman L 72-96 18%     9 - 15 4 - 9 -19.7 +0.9 -20.8
  Feb 15, 2025 299   VMI L 71-80 69%     9 - 16 4 - 10 -19.7 -6.0 -13.7
  Feb 19, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 62-52 73%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -2.0 -13.9 +12.2
  Feb 22, 2025 156   UNC Greensboro L 61-78 38%     10 - 17 5 - 11 -19.5 -9.4 -11.0
  Feb 26, 2025 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 58-59 20%     10 - 18 5 - 12 +2.1 -11.3 +13.4
  Mar 01, 2025 338   Western Carolina W 81-69 80%     11 - 18 6 - 12 -2.3 +0.3 -3.0
  Mar 07, 2025 338   Western Carolina W 67-66 72%     12 - 18 -10.6 -8.3 -2.2
  Mar 08, 2025 117   Chattanooga L 61-76 21%     12 - 19 -12.0 -14.7 +2.7
Projected Record 12 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%