VMI
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#350
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#326
Pace70.5#132
Improvement-0.9#250

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#340
First Shot-6.4#339
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#184
Layup/Dunks-7.5#355
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#181
Freethrows+1.7#84
Improvement+1.1#92

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#342
First Shot-4.7#323
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#279
Layups/Dunks-2.5#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#327
Freethrows+2.0#55
Improvement-2.0#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.9% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.0% 3.8% 1.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 50.5% 39.8% 51.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 11.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 45 - 96 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 333   @ Bellarmine W 76-71 32%     1 - 0 -2.4 -2.9 +0.5
  Nov 15, 2024 332   Tennessee Tech L 71-72 42%     1 - 1 -11.3 -9.7 -1.5
  Nov 16, 2024 299   Charleston Southern W 80-69 32%     2 - 1 +3.7 +1.1 +2.2
  Nov 18, 2024 32   @ Pittsburgh L 48-93 1%     2 - 2 -29.6 -16.6 -13.9
  Nov 22, 2024 124   @ Davidson L 66-93 6%     2 - 3 -21.7 -7.6 -13.6
  Nov 26, 2024 319   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-70 27%     2 - 4 -8.8 -2.9 -6.1
  Nov 29, 2024 144   @ George Washington L 64-77 8%     2 - 5 -9.3 -1.1 -9.6
  Dec 07, 2024 280   Queens L 78-81 38%     2 - 6 -12.2 +1.5 -13.7
  Dec 21, 2024 205   @ Richmond L 64-77 11%    
  Jan 01, 2025 147   @ East Tennessee St. L 64-80 7%    
  Jan 04, 2025 229   Mercer L 72-78 30%    
  Jan 09, 2025 109   @ Samford L 73-92 4%    
  Jan 11, 2025 178   @ Chattanooga L 67-81 9%    
  Jan 15, 2025 308   Western Carolina L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 345   @ The Citadel L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 22, 2025 126   Furman L 64-75 15%    
  Jan 25, 2025 157   UNC Greensboro L 64-73 20%    
  Jan 29, 2025 163   @ Wofford L 64-79 9%    
  Feb 01, 2025 308   @ Western Carolina L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 05, 2025 147   East Tennessee St. L 67-77 19%    
  Feb 08, 2025 345   The Citadel W 70-68 59%    
  Feb 12, 2025 157   @ UNC Greensboro L 61-76 9%    
  Feb 15, 2025 229   @ Mercer L 69-81 15%    
  Feb 19, 2025 163   Wofford L 67-76 22%    
  Feb 22, 2025 126   @ Furman L 61-78 6%    
  Feb 27, 2025 109   Samford L 76-89 12%    
  Mar 01, 2025 178   Chattanooga L 70-78 23%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.6 0.9 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.2 6.6 4.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 18.0 8th
9th 0.5 4.6 10.6 10.6 5.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 32.9 9th
10th 3.7 10.6 12.5 7.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 37.6 10th
Total 3.7 11.0 17.1 19.3 17.5 13.1 8.7 5.0 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.2% 0.2
10-8 0.5% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.5
9-9 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
8-10 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.5
7-11 5.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.0
6-12 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.7
5-13 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-14 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.5
3-15 19.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.3
2-16 17.1% 17.1
1-17 11.0% 11.0
0-18 3.7% 3.7
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.0%