VMI
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.2#357
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#79
Pace85.1#3
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.0#357
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#351
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.9
.500 or above 1.1% 2.5% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 2.2% 3.7% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 72.7% 64.7% 76.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Tech (Neutral) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 81 - 11
Quad 45 - 105 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 328   @ Bellarmine W 76-71 23%     1 - 0 -1.5 -0.2 -1.2
  Nov 15, 2024 325   Tennessee Tech L 75-80 32%    
  Nov 18, 2024 35   @ Pittsburgh L 65-94 0.5%   
  Nov 22, 2024 130   @ Davidson L 67-86 4%    
  Nov 26, 2024 331   @ Loyola Maryland L 70-77 25%    
  Nov 29, 2024 153   @ George Washington L 74-92 5%    
  Dec 07, 2024 297   Queens L 82-86 35%    
  Dec 21, 2024 184   @ Richmond L 67-83 8%    
  Jan 01, 2025 190   @ East Tennessee St. L 70-86 9%    
  Jan 04, 2025 249   Mercer L 75-82 28%    
  Jan 09, 2025 141   @ Samford L 78-96 6%    
  Jan 11, 2025 179   @ Chattanooga L 70-86 8%    
  Jan 15, 2025 263   Western Carolina L 72-78 30%    
  Jan 18, 2025 292   @ The Citadel L 68-78 19%    
  Jan 22, 2025 148   Furman L 74-86 15%    
  Jan 25, 2025 174   UNC Greensboro L 69-80 18%    
  Jan 29, 2025 178   @ Wofford L 68-84 8%    
  Feb 01, 2025 263   @ Western Carolina L 69-81 16%    
  Feb 05, 2025 190   East Tennessee St. L 73-83 21%    
  Feb 08, 2025 292   The Citadel L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 12, 2025 174   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-83 9%    
  Feb 15, 2025 249   @ Mercer L 72-85 14%    
  Feb 19, 2025 178   Wofford L 71-81 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 148   @ Furman L 71-89 6%    
  Feb 27, 2025 141   Samford L 81-93 15%    
  Mar 01, 2025 179   Chattanooga L 73-83 19%    
Projected Record 5 - 21 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.0 2.9 0.9 0.1 8.8 8th
9th 0.4 2.3 5.8 6.6 4.0 1.1 0.1 20.3 9th
10th 11.3 17.9 16.8 10.5 4.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 62.1 10th
Total 11.3 18.3 19.1 16.5 12.8 8.5 5.8 3.5 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 26.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 6.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 5.3% 5.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.2% 4.2% 4.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.6% 2.3% 2.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.6
9-9 1.2% 2.6% 2.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.1
8-10 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 2.0
7-11 3.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.5
6-12 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-13 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.5
4-14 12.8% 12.8
3-15 16.5% 16.5
2-16 19.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.1
1-17 18.3% 18.3
0-18 11.3% 11.3
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.6%