Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#299
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#320
Pace70.0#150
Improvement+2.5#43

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#285
First Shot-5.0#317
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#120
Layup/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#318
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#232
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement+1.9#41

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#285
First Shot-6.0#348
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#27
Layups/Dunks-6.1#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#41
Freethrows+0.7#134
Improvement+0.6#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.3% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 1.1% 3.1% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 22.6% 29.6% 20.8%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 26.7% 21.1% 28.1%
First Four2.1% 2.6% 1.9%
First Round1.5% 2.2% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Away) - 20.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 32 - 93 - 15
Quad 46 - 78 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 30   @ Clemson L 64-91 3%     0 - 1 -11.3 -0.3 -10.9
  Nov 07, 2024 167   @ North Florida L 66-90 18%     0 - 2 -21.5 -14.6 -5.2
  Nov 15, 2024 233   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-86 37%     0 - 3 -13.8 -8.5 -4.2
  Nov 16, 2024 350   VMI L 69-80 68%     0 - 4 -23.3 -11.9 -11.0
  Nov 19, 2024 60   @ LSU L 68-77 5%     0 - 5 +3.1 +4.2 -1.4
  Nov 23, 2024 126   Furman L 46-67 26%     0 - 6 -21.8 -23.4 +0.3
  Nov 27, 2024 110   @ Georgia Tech L 67-91 10%     0 - 7 -17.1 -5.2 -10.4
  Nov 30, 2024 91   @ Miami (FL) W 83-79 7%     1 - 7 +13.0 +12.5 +0.7
  Dec 03, 2024 327   Tennessee Martin W 83-68 70%     2 - 7 +2.2 +8.7 -5.7
  Dec 06, 2024 124   @ Davidson L 72-73 12%     2 - 8 +4.3 +2.1 +2.2
  Dec 09, 2024 262   @ South Carolina St. L 63-82 32%     2 - 9 -21.6 -10.4 -11.2
  Dec 19, 2024 193   @ North Alabama L 68-77 21%    
  Dec 22, 2024 40   @ Georgia L 61-83 2%    
  Jan 02, 2025 240   Gardner-Webb L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 04, 2025 220   @ Longwood L 68-75 24%    
  Jan 08, 2025 134   High Point L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 15, 2025 181   @ Winthrop L 73-82 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 202   Radford L 69-71 41%    
  Jan 22, 2025 250   @ Presbyterian L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 182   UNC Asheville L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 29, 2025 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 220   Longwood L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 05, 2025 181   Winthrop L 76-79 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 240   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-78 29%    
  Feb 12, 2025 250   Presbyterian W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 182   @ UNC Asheville L 69-78 20%    
  Feb 19, 2025 134   @ High Point L 68-80 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 334   South Carolina Upstate W 80-74 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 202   @ Radford L 66-74 22%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.6 0.7 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.2 6.4 1.2 0.0 14.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 6.7 7.8 2.0 0.1 18.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.2 8.3 7.4 2.1 0.1 23.0 8th
9th 0.4 2.0 4.5 5.6 3.5 1.0 0.0 17.1 9th
Total 0.4 2.0 5.4 9.9 13.9 16.1 15.9 13.6 9.9 6.4 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-3 88.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
12-4 63.8% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
11-5 31.3% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 5.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 30.6% 30.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.2% 16.4% 16.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.8% 13.5% 13.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
11-5 1.8% 9.2% 9.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6
10-6 3.5% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.2
9-7 6.4% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.3 6.0
8-8 9.9% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.4 9.5
7-9 13.6% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 13.2
6-10 15.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 15.6
5-11 16.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 16.0
4-12 13.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.8
3-13 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.9
2-14 5.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.4
1-15 2.0% 2.0
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.2 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%