Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#303
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#281
Pace69.7#170
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#287
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#289
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.5% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 6.1% 10.3% 2.8%
.500 or above in Conference 24.6% 31.1% 19.5%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.1% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 29.6% 23.5% 34.4%
First Four1.3% 1.6% 1.1%
First Round1.9% 2.8% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Neutral) - 44.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 82 - 15
Quad 46 - 69 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 44   @ Clemson L 64-91 4%     0 - 1 -13.6 -2.8 -10.8
  Nov 07, 2024 140   @ North Florida L 66-90 14%     0 - 2 -19.8 -12.8 -5.2
  Nov 15, 2024 269   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-78 44%    
  Nov 19, 2024 48   @ LSU L 64-84 3%    
  Nov 23, 2024 148   Furman L 71-76 31%    
  Nov 27, 2024 96   @ Georgia Tech L 70-86 8%    
  Nov 30, 2024 33   @ Miami (FL) L 64-86 2%    
  Dec 03, 2024 314   Tennessee Martin W 79-75 65%    
  Dec 06, 2024 130   @ Davidson L 65-77 14%    
  Dec 09, 2024 310   @ South Carolina St. L 71-74 42%    
  Dec 19, 2024 177   @ North Alabama L 69-78 20%    
  Dec 22, 2024 68   @ Georgia L 65-83 5%    
  Jan 02, 2025 217   Gardner-Webb L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 167   @ Longwood L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 08, 2025 125   High Point L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 15, 2025 163   @ Winthrop L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 254   Radford W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 22, 2025 264   @ Presbyterian L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 25, 2025 211   UNC Asheville L 72-74 45%    
  Jan 29, 2025 316   @ South Carolina Upstate L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 01, 2025 167   Longwood L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 05, 2025 163   Winthrop L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 217   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 12, 2025 264   Presbyterian W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 211   @ UNC Asheville L 69-77 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 125   @ High Point L 70-83 13%    
  Feb 22, 2025 316   South Carolina Upstate W 76-72 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 254   @ Radford L 69-75 32%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.0 0.6 0.1 5.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.1 0.6 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.6 3.9 0.7 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.7 5.2 0.9 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.8 5.6 1.1 0.0 16.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.3 7.3 5.1 1.1 0.0 19.1 8th
9th 1.1 3.6 6.3 5.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 20.4 9th
Total 1.1 3.7 7.5 10.3 13.0 14.3 13.7 11.8 9.0 6.6 4.3 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 98.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 82.7% 0.5    0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 48.3% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1
11-5 20.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.2% 36.5% 36.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.7% 25.0% 25.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-4 1.3% 13.9% 13.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
11-5 2.6% 12.1% 12.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.3
10-6 4.3% 8.4% 8.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.9
9-7 6.6% 5.9% 5.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 6.2
8-8 9.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.7
7-9 11.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.4
6-10 13.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.6
5-11 14.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.2
4-12 13.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 13.0
3-13 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.3
2-14 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
1-15 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
0-16 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.6 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%