Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#314
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#148
Pace79.8#14
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#317
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#291
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 12.9% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 38.0% 60.8% 34.2%
.500 or above in Conference 55.4% 69.2% 53.1%
Conference Champion 10.0% 15.3% 9.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 4.9% 10.4%
First Four4.6% 4.8% 4.6%
First Round6.1% 10.4% 5.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Away) - 14.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 412 - 1113 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 173   @ Illinois St. W 67-65 16%     1 - 0 +4.3 -10.6 +14.8
  Nov 11, 2024 177   @ North Alabama L 69-87 16%     1 - 1 -15.8 -5.0 -10.7
  Nov 16, 2024 167   @ Longwood L 70-81 14%    
  Nov 21, 2024 219   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-81 22%    
  Nov 22, 2024 337   Le Moyne W 78-76 59%    
  Nov 27, 2024 9   @ Tennessee L 62-90 1%    
  Dec 03, 2024 303   @ Charleston Southern L 75-79 35%    
  Dec 11, 2024 281   @ Alabama St. L 71-76 31%    
  Dec 19, 2024 274   @ Morehead St. L 68-73 31%    
  Dec 21, 2024 317   @ Southern Indiana L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 02, 2025 279   Arkansas Little Rock W 79-78 52%    
  Jan 04, 2025 321   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-76 62%    
  Jan 09, 2025 312   @ Western Illinois L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 11, 2025 351   @ Lindenwood W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 16, 2025 336   Eastern Illinois W 81-76 67%    
  Jan 18, 2025 293   SIU Edwardsville W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 21, 2025 306   @ Tennessee St. L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 325   Tennessee Tech W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 30, 2025 321   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 77-79 41%    
  Feb 01, 2025 279   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 76-81 33%    
  Feb 06, 2025 351   Lindenwood W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 312   Western Illinois W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 13, 2025 293   @ SIU Edwardsville L 72-77 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 336   @ Eastern Illinois L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 18, 2025 306   Tennessee St. W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 20, 2025 325   @ Tennessee Tech L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 27, 2025 317   Southern Indiana W 77-74 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 274   Morehead St. W 71-70 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.4 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 10.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.0 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.5 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.1 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.0 4.0 0.9 0.1 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.2 1.1 0.1 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.4 1.4 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.9 1.5 0.1 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.2 1.6 0.2 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.4 2.5 1.1 0.1 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 6.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.1 4.7 6.2 7.7 9.5 10.6 11.0 10.6 9.2 7.9 6.3 4.4 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 97.8% 0.7    0.7 0.0
17-3 95.1% 1.6    1.4 0.2
16-4 78.6% 2.6    1.8 0.7 0.1
15-5 54.8% 2.4    1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 26.3% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-7 7.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.0% 10.0 6.3 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 53.9% 53.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.7% 48.0% 48.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.7% 42.0% 42.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.0
16-4 3.3% 37.6% 37.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.0
15-5 4.4% 30.5% 30.5% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.1
14-6 6.3% 25.1% 25.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.7
13-7 7.9% 16.5% 16.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3 6.6
12-8 9.2% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 8.3
11-9 10.6% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6 10.0
10-10 11.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 10.8
9-11 10.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.4
8-12 9.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.5
7-13 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.7
6-14 6.2% 6.2
5-15 4.7% 4.7
4-16 3.1% 3.1
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 6.5 91.3 0.0%