Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#351
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#209
Pace68.0#219
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#350
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#347
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 3.5% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 13.1% 20.4% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 23.1% 30.0% 16.7%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.5% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 33.6% 26.4% 40.3%
First Four1.6% 2.4% 0.9%
First Round1.3% 2.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Neutral) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 5
Quad 49 - 149 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 52   @ Oklahoma L 60-93 2%     0 - 1 -20.6 -8.9 -10.2
  Nov 14, 2024 347   New Orleans L 74-75 48%    
  Nov 15, 2024 295   @ Robert Morris L 66-75 20%    
  Nov 17, 2024 359   Stonehill W 70-68 56%    
  Nov 21, 2024 278   @ Valparaiso L 66-76 19%    
  Nov 27, 2024 71   @ Missouri L 59-83 2%    
  Dec 07, 2024 61   @ Mississippi L 58-82 1%    
  Dec 14, 2024 362   IU Indianapolis W 72-67 67%    
  Dec 19, 2024 325   Tennessee Tech L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 21, 2024 312   Western Illinois L 65-67 44%    
  Jan 02, 2025 336   @ Eastern Illinois L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 04, 2025 293   @ SIU Edwardsville L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 09, 2025 306   Tennessee St. L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 314   Tennessee Martin L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 16, 2025 317   @ Southern Indiana L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 18, 2025 274   @ Morehead St. L 61-71 20%    
  Jan 23, 2025 321   Southeast Missouri St. L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 279   Arkansas Little Rock L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 30, 2025 293   SIU Edwardsville L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 01, 2025 336   Eastern Illinois W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 06, 2025 314   @ Tennessee Martin L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 306   @ Tennessee St. L 67-75 24%    
  Feb 13, 2025 274   Morehead St. L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 15, 2025 317   Southern Indiana L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 20, 2025 279   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 67-77 21%    
  Feb 22, 2025 321   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 68-75 29%    
  Feb 25, 2025 312   @ Western Illinois L 62-70 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 325   @ Tennessee Tech L 67-73 30%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.7 0.6 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 3.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.2 1.3 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.2 4.6 1.5 0.1 12.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.4 5.4 4.8 1.8 0.2 16.8 10th
11th 0.8 2.7 4.7 6.4 5.8 3.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 25.2 11th
Total 0.8 2.7 5.0 7.5 9.4 10.8 11.3 11.1 9.9 8.6 7.1 5.5 3.9 2.6 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 90.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 80.4% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 61.2% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1
14-6 29.8% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 7.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 47.1% 47.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 49.4% 49.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
16-4 0.6% 30.4% 30.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
15-5 1.1% 31.4% 31.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7
14-6 1.8% 18.4% 18.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.5
13-7 2.6% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.2
12-8 3.9% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.6
11-9 5.5% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.3
10-10 7.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 6.9
9-11 8.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.5
8-12 9.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.8
7-13 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-14 11.3% 11.3
5-15 10.8% 10.8
4-16 9.4% 9.4
3-17 7.5% 7.5
2-18 5.0% 5.0
1-19 2.7% 2.7
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.2 2.0 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%