IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.5	#341
Expected Predictive Rating	-10.9	#326

Pace	70.9	#113
Improvement	+0.6	#156

Offense
Total Offense	-7.5	#345

First Shot	-6.2	#337
After Offensive Rebound	-1.3	#267

Layup/Dunks	+2.3	#99
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.8	#225
3 Pt Jumpshots	-7.6	#358
Freethrows	-0.1	#177

Improvement	+0.2	#164

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#291

First Shot	-4.5	#315
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.5	#137

Layups/Dunks	-2.5	#280
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.7	#12
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.8	#336
Freethrows	+0.0	#185

Improvement	+0.4	#164

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	1.2%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	1.4%	2.7%	0.4%
.500 or above in Conference	12.3%	21.1%	6.3%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	18.8%	10.4%	24.7%

First Four	0.7%	1.1%	0.4%
First Round	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 7
Quad 4	9 - 12	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf	Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	45	@ Oklahoma	L	60-93	2%	0 - 1		-19.0	-10.5	-7.0
Nov 14, 2024	343	New Orleans	L	74-82	51%	0 - 2		-19.7	-7.6	-11.8
Nov 15, 2024	216	@ Robert Morris	L	53-67	15%	0 - 3		-14.4	-13.0	-3.0
Nov 17, 2024	312	Stonehill	W	75-74	39%	1 - 3		-7.7	+1.1	-8.7
Nov 21, 2024	214	@ Valparaiso	L	64-77	14%	1 - 4		-13.1	-11.2	-1.5
Nov 27, 2024	29	@ Missouri	L	61-81	1%	1 - 5		-3.9	-8.1	+4.9
Dec 07, 2024	19	@ Mississippi	L	53-86	1%	1 - 6		-14.7	-7.1	-9.4
Dec 14, 2024	326	IU Indianapolis	W	81-63	56%	2 - 6		+5.0	+2.3	+3.4
Dec 19, 2024	317	Tennessee Tech	L	73-79	51%	2 - 7	0 - 1	-17.7	-7.5	-10.1
Dec 21, 2024	336	Western Illinois	W	71-65	60%	3 - 7	1 - 1	-8.2	-7.4	-0.6
Jan 02, 2025	344	@ Eastern Illinois	L	74-78 OT	40%	3 - 8	1 - 2	-13.0	-13.6	+1.3
Jan 04, 2025	263	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	47-58	21%	3 - 9	1 - 3	-14.0	-24.1	+9.8
Jan 09, 2025	301	Tennessee St.	W	72-62	46%	4 - 9	2 - 3	-0.6	-8.5	+7.4
Jan 11, 2025	288	Tennessee Martin	W	82-81	44%	5 - 9	3 - 3	-9.0	+5.0	-14.0
Jan 16, 2025	324	@ Southern Indiana	L	73-80	33%	5 - 10	3 - 4	-14.1	-2.7	-11.4
Jan 18, 2025	259	@ Morehead St.	L	65-82	20%	5 - 11	3 - 5	-19.7	-1.6	-19.6
Jan 23, 2025	269	Southeast Missouri St.	L	70-73	41%
Jan 25, 2025	238	Arkansas Little Rock	L	67-71	34%
Jan 30, 2025	263	SIU Edwardsville	L	67-70	40%
Feb 01, 2025	344	Eastern Illinois	W	70-67	62%
Feb 06, 2025	288	@ Tennessee Martin	L	68-75	25%
Feb 08, 2025	301	@ Tennessee St.	L	71-77	27%
Feb 13, 2025	259	Morehead St.	L	65-68	39%
Feb 15, 2025	324	Southern Indiana	W	72-71	55%
Feb 20, 2025	238	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	64-74	18%
Feb 22, 2025	269	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	68-76	22%
Feb 25, 2025	336	@ Western Illinois	L	66-69	38%
Mar 01, 2025	317	@ Tennessee Tech	L	69-74	30%
Projected Record						9 - 19	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0	Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	0.6	0.1								1.0	3rd
4th											0.7	1.4	0.4	0.0								2.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.8	1.0	0.1									4.5	5th
6th								0.0	1.0	4.3	3.1	0.3										8.6	6th
7th							0.0	1.3	6.0	6.2	1.1											14.6	7th
8th						0.0	1.4	7.2	8.5	2.2	0.0											19.3	8th
9th					0.1	1.6	7.6	9.2	2.8	0.2												21.4	9th
10th				0.0	1.6	6.4	7.4	2.7	0.2													18.3	10th
11th				1.0	3.5	3.2	1.5	0.2														9.3	11th

Total				1.0	5.1	11.1	17.9	20.6	18.6	13.3	7.6	3.1	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0							Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	7-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	100.0%	0.0	0.0
14-6	25.0%	0.0	0.0
13-7	17.2%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	1.5%	0.0				0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	0.0%																					0.0
14-6	0.0%																				0.0	0.0
13-7	0.3%	13.8%	13.8%		16.0																0.0	0.3
12-8	1.3%	6.9%	6.9%		16.0																0.1	1.2
11-9	3.1%	3.6%	3.6%		16.0																0.1	3.0
10-10	7.6%	1.4%	1.4%		16.0																0.1	7.5
9-11	13.3%	1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.1	13.2
8-12	18.6%	1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.2	18.4
7-13	20.6%	0.1%	0.1%		16.0																0.0	20.5
6-14	17.9%																					17.9
5-15	11.1%																					11.1
4-16	5.1%																					5.1
3-17	1.0%																					1.0
2-18
1-19
0-20

Total	100%	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	16.0																0.7	99.3	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.0%