Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#324
Expected Predictive Rating-9.2#308
Pace68.9#174
Improvement-3.0#315

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#319
First Shot-4.8#310
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#222
Layup/Dunks-3.3#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#306
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement-0.8#229

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#302
First Shot-4.6#320
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#171
Layups/Dunks-2.9#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#238
Freethrows-2.3#326
Improvement-2.3#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.8% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 9.2% 19.8% 5.7%
.500 or above in Conference 22.9% 42.0% 16.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 12.9% 5.1% 15.4%
First Four1.8% 3.1% 1.3%
First Round1.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Away) - 24.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 40 - 6
Quad 411 - 1211 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 106   @ DePaul L 78-80 OT 7%     0 - 1 +4.3 +1.5 +2.9
  Nov 07, 2024 265   Bucknell L 69-75 OT 45%     0 - 2 -14.7 -7.2 -7.2
  Nov 11, 2024 179   @ Marshall L 63-77 14%     0 - 3 -12.1 -8.7 -3.4
  Nov 13, 2024 353   @ Bellarmine W 71-69 53%     1 - 3 -8.7 -8.4 -0.3
  Nov 16, 2024 145   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-93 10%     1 - 4 -14.9 +1.9 -17.3
  Nov 22, 2024 268   South Dakota W 92-83 46%     2 - 4 +0.2 +3.7 -4.0
  Nov 25, 2024 213   Indiana St. W 87-77 34%     3 - 4 +4.5 +1.1 +2.5
  Dec 07, 2024 190   @ Southern Illinois L 70-73 15%     3 - 5 -1.5 +4.4 -6.1
  Dec 19, 2024 301   Tennessee St. W 77-75 53%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -8.6 -5.4 -3.4
  Dec 21, 2024 288   Tennessee Martin L 46-77 51%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -41.0 -27.6 -16.2
  Dec 31, 2024 259   Morehead St. L 68-70 44%     4 - 7 1 - 2 -10.2 -2.3 -8.1
  Jan 02, 2025 317   @ Tennessee Tech L 64-68 36%     4 - 8 1 - 3 -10.2 -16.9 +7.0
  Jan 09, 2025 269   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 66-77 27%     4 - 9 1 - 4 -14.4 -7.5 -6.7
  Jan 12, 2025 238   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 58-78 22%     4 - 10 1 - 5 -21.6 -8.1 -14.9
  Jan 16, 2025 341   Lindenwood W 80-73 67%     5 - 10 2 - 5 -7.3 +2.0 -9.3
  Jan 18, 2025 336   Western Illinois W 78-66 66%     6 - 10 3 - 5 -2.2 +9.9 -10.2
  Jan 23, 2025 263   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-72 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 344   @ Eastern Illinois L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 28, 2025 259   @ Morehead St. L 64-71 24%    
  Feb 01, 2025 317   Tennessee Tech W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 06, 2025 238   Arkansas Little Rock L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 269   Southeast Missouri St. L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 13, 2025 336   @ Western Illinois L 67-68 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 341   @ Lindenwood L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 20, 2025 344   Eastern Illinois W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 22, 2025 263   SIU Edwardsville L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 27, 2025 288   @ Tennessee Martin L 69-74 30%    
  Mar 01, 2025 301   @ Tennessee St. L 72-77 32%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.1 0.1 4.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.9 5.7 0.8 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 7.1 7.9 1.7 0.1 18.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 6.8 9.2 2.2 0.1 19.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 5.5 7.0 2.8 0.1 16.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.9 2.0 0.2 11.4 10th
11th 0.4 1.7 2.2 1.3 0.1 5.7 11th
Total 0.4 2.5 6.6 12.9 17.2 20.6 17.0 12.0 7.0 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 42.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 12.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.8% 19.0% 19.0% 16.0 0.2 0.6
12-8 3.0% 12.4% 12.4% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.6
11-9 7.0% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.4 6.6
10-10 12.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 11.6
9-11 17.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 16.6
8-12 20.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 20.3
7-13 17.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.2
6-14 12.9% 12.9
5-15 6.6% 6.6
4-16 2.5% 2.5
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%