Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#152
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#177
Pace74.8#49
Improvement-2.6#325

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#84
First Shot+4.0#74
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#210
Layup/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#18
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement-1.3#288

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#280
First Shot-2.9#275
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#206
Layups/Dunks-1.1#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#287
Freethrows+1.2#100
Improvement-1.3#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.9% 21.6% 16.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.4 14.2
.500 or above 90.8% 98.0% 90.4%
.500 or above in Conference 89.0% 94.4% 88.7%
Conference Champion 17.3% 25.9% 16.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round16.8% 21.6% 16.6%
Second Round1.2% 2.7% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 8
Quad 415 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 82   @ Central Florida L 68-75 19%     0 - 1 +2.7 -0.8 +3.6
  Nov 12, 2024 289   Bethune-Cookman W 91-69 83%     1 - 1 +12.2 +11.3 -0.3
  Nov 16, 2024 281   Southern Indiana W 93-74 82%     2 - 1 +9.8 +17.6 -7.4
  Nov 20, 2024 31   @ Penn St. L 89-102 8%     2 - 2 +2.7 +21.1 -18.0
  Nov 25, 2024 153   Drexel W 87-81 50%     3 - 2 +6.3 +21.9 -15.1
  Nov 26, 2024 202   Radford L 56-69 58%     3 - 3 -14.8 -14.3 -1.6
  Nov 30, 2024 357   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 77-57 84%     4 - 3 +9.5 +5.5 +5.5
  Dec 05, 2024 320   @ Detroit Mercy L 78-79 72%     4 - 4 0 - 1 -6.8 +4.5 -11.3
  Dec 08, 2024 259   Robert Morris W 82-77 80%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -3.5 -1.5 -2.6
  Dec 11, 2024 353   IU Indianapolis W 78-76 93%     6 - 4 2 - 1 -13.8 -1.5 -12.3
  Dec 15, 2024 317   @ Eastern Michigan W 121-94 72%     7 - 4 +21.2 +23.4 -7.0
  Dec 22, 2024 20   @ Michigan L 71-88 5%    
  Dec 29, 2024 331   @ Green Bay W 87-79 76%    
  Jan 01, 2025 216   @ Northern Kentucky W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 211   Youngstown St. W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 08, 2025 141   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 84-82 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 320   Detroit Mercy W 83-71 87%    
  Jan 15, 2025 133   @ Wright St. L 80-84 35%    
  Jan 22, 2025 166   @ Oakland L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 353   @ IU Indianapolis W 83-73 83%    
  Jan 30, 2025 241   Cleveland St. W 79-72 75%    
  Feb 02, 2025 141   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 81-85 37%    
  Feb 05, 2025 133   Wright St. W 83-81 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 331   Green Bay W 90-76 89%    
  Feb 12, 2025 211   @ Youngstown St. L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 259   @ Robert Morris W 78-75 60%    
  Feb 21, 2025 166   Oakland W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 27, 2025 216   Northern Kentucky W 79-73 70%    
  Mar 01, 2025 241   @ Cleveland St. W 76-75 55%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 5.3 3.2 1.0 0.2 17.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.3 7.2 5.0 1.4 0.2 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.6 4.5 0.8 0.0 16.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.9 4.2 0.6 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.9 3.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.7 9.1 12.5 14.9 15.8 14.5 10.9 6.8 3.4 1.0 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
17-3 95.5% 3.2    2.8 0.4 0.0
16-4 78.4% 5.3    3.5 1.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 46.7% 5.1    2.1 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-6 15.1% 2.2    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.3% 17.3 10.1 5.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.2% 50.0% 50.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 1.0% 42.9% 42.9% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6
17-3 3.4% 38.2% 38.2% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.1
16-4 6.8% 31.8% 31.8% 13.5 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.1 4.6
15-5 10.9% 27.0% 27.0% 13.8 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 8.0
14-6 14.5% 21.5% 21.5% 14.2 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.9 0.0 11.4
13-7 15.8% 17.3% 17.3% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 13.1
12-8 14.9% 12.7% 12.7% 14.7 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 13.0
11-9 12.5% 9.5% 9.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 11.3
10-10 9.1% 7.1% 7.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 8.4
9-11 5.7% 5.0% 5.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.4
8-12 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.0
7-13 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
6-14 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
5-15 0.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 16.9% 16.9% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.5 6.5 5.0 1.1 83.1 0.0%