IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.4	#189
Expected Predictive Rating	+1.7	#158

Pace	76.5	#33
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.5	#105

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#302

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.3%	17.0%	11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	14.0	14.5

.500 or above	71.9%	85.9%	66.2%
.500 or above in Conference	78.8%	86.1%	75.9%
Conference Champion	16.1%	21.8%	13.8%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.4%	1.1%

First Four	0.9%	0.5%	1.1%
First Round	12.9%	16.7%	11.3%
Second Round	1.0%	1.5%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Neutral) - 29.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 5	4 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 5	17 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	12	@ Kentucky	L	62-103	4%	0 - 1			-21.8	-6.6	-12.7
Nov 09, 2024	213	@ Miami (OH)	W	81-68	44%	1 - 1			+13.1	+6.9	+5.9
Nov 13, 2024	149	@ Toledo	L	77-86	30%	1 - 2			-5.0	+0.9	-5.6
Nov 21, 2024	107	Princeton	L	78-84	29%
Nov 30, 2024	286	Air Force	W	76-68	77%
Dec 05, 2024	186	@ Oakland	L	75-78	39%
Dec 07, 2024	341	@ Detroit Mercy	W	82-75	72%
Dec 11, 2024	200	Marshall	W	84-80	63%
Dec 18, 2024	185	Youngstown St.	W	81-78	60%
Dec 21, 2024	298	@ Eastern Michigan	W	76-73	59%
Dec 29, 2024	220	@ Cleveland St.	L	78-79	45%
Jan 02, 2025	290	Green Bay	W	86-78	77%
Jan 09, 2025	186	Oakland	W	78-75	60%
Jan 12, 2025	295	@ Robert Morris	W	81-78	59%
Jan 15, 2025	150	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	83-82	52%
Jan 18, 2025	180	@ Northern Kentucky	L	75-79	38%
Jan 22, 2025	240	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	86-81	68%
Jan 25, 2025	341	Detroit Mercy	W	85-72	86%
Jan 30, 2025	185	@ Youngstown St.	L	78-81	39%
Feb 02, 2025	295	Robert Morris	W	84-75	77%
Feb 05, 2025	150	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	80-85	32%
Feb 08, 2025	362	IU Indianapolis	W	86-69	92%
Feb 14, 2025	240	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	83-84	48%
Feb 16, 2025	290	@ Green Bay	W	83-81	58%
Feb 21, 2025	180	Northern Kentucky	W	78-76	58%
Feb 27, 2025	220	Cleveland St.	W	81-76	66%
Mar 01, 2025	362	@ IU Indianapolis	W	83-72	82%
Projected Record						15 - 12	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.2	3.1	4.5	3.9	2.2	0.8	0.2		16.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	2.4	4.9	4.8	2.2	0.6	0.1				15.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	2.9	5.5	3.9	1.1	0.1						14.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	2.9	5.3	3.3	0.6	0.1							12.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.7	5.1	2.8	0.5	0.0								11.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	2.4	4.4	2.4	0.3	0.0									10.1	6th
7th							0.1	0.5	2.1	3.4	1.9	0.3	0.0										8.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.5	1.8	2.3	1.2	0.2												6.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0												3.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0														1.7	10th
11th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0																0.4	11th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.2	2.1	3.8	5.6	7.5	9.7	11.2	11.8	11.9	10.7	9.1	6.8	4.4	2.2	0.8	0.2			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8	0.0
18-2	96.7%	2.2		2.0	0.2
17-3	87.5%	3.9		3.1	0.8	0.0
16-4	65.7%	4.5		2.7	1.5	0.3
15-5	34.7%	3.1		1.2	1.5	0.4	0.1
14-6	11.6%	1.2		0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.7%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	16.1%	16.1		10.2	4.4	1.2	0.3	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		67.2%	62.1%	5.2%	10.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		13.6%
19-1	0.8%		47.1%	47.1%		12.3												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.4
18-2	2.2%		43.0%	43.0%		12.9												0.0	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0		1.3
17-3	4.4%		37.6%	37.6%		13.4													0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1		2.8
16-4	6.8%		28.3%	28.3%		13.9													0.0	0.6	0.9	0.4	0.0	4.9
15-5	9.1%		23.2%	23.2%		14.3													0.0	0.3	0.9	0.8	0.1	7.0
14-6	10.7%		17.5%	17.5%		14.7														0.1	0.7	0.9	0.2	8.8
13-7	11.9%		13.6%	13.6%		15.1														0.0	0.2	0.9	0.4	10.3
12-8	11.8%		10.0%	10.0%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	10.6
11-9	11.2%		6.0%	6.0%		15.5															0.0	0.3	0.4	10.5
10-10	9.7%		4.7%	4.7%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	9.3
9-11	7.5%		2.9%	2.9%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	7.3
8-12	5.6%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	5.5
7-13	3.8%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
6-14	2.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
5-15	1.2%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	1.2
4-16	0.5%																							0.5
3-17	0.2%																							0.2
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		13.3%	13.3%	0.0%	14.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	2.3	3.8	4.1	2.3	86.7		0.0%