IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.1	#194
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#121

Pace	68.4	#192
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.2	#155

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#256

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.5%	22.1%	13.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	13.6	14.3

.500 or above	63.5%	84.0%	60.0%
.500 or above in Conference	75.1%	87.2%	73.0%
Conference Champion	19.6%	30.5%	17.8%
Last Place in Conference	2.1%	0.8%	2.3%

First Four	1.4%	0.6%	1.6%
First Round	14.6%	22.2%	13.3%
Second Round	0.7%	1.3%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: California (Away) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 5	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2025	84	@ California	L	68-79	15%
Nov 11, 2025	195	Toledo	W	79-76	61%
Nov 15, 2025	160	Radford	L	69-71	44%
Nov 16, 2025	136	Kent St.	L	72-75	38%
Nov 25, 2025	354	@ Stetson	W	78-70	74%
Nov 28, 2025	69	@ Butler	L	67-80	13%
Dec 03, 2025	181	@ Youngstown St.	L	72-76	37%
Dec 07, 2025	319	Green Bay	W	80-70	80%
Dec 13, 2025	168	@ Marshall	L	71-75	35%
Dec 16, 2025	113	Miami (OH)	L	73-76	41%
Dec 22, 2025	256	Eastern Michigan	W	75-69	70%
Dec 29, 2025	217	Oakland	W	75-71	63%
Jan 01, 2026	219	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	77-73	63%
Jan 04, 2026	359	@ IU Indianapolis	W	83-74	78%
Jan 09, 2026	312	@ Detroit Mercy	W	77-74	61%
Jan 11, 2026	217	@ Oakland	L	72-74	42%
Jan 15, 2026	181	Youngstown St.	W	75-73	58%
Jan 21, 2026	222	Cleveland St.	W	74-70	64%
Jan 24, 2026	266	Northern Kentucky	W	73-67	70%
Jan 30, 2026	219	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	74-76	43%
Feb 01, 2026	319	@ Green Bay	W	77-73	62%
Feb 04, 2026	216	@ Robert Morris	L	72-74	42%
Feb 07, 2026	208	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	77-74	61%
Feb 12, 2026	312	Detroit Mercy	W	80-71	78%
Feb 15, 2026	222	@ Cleveland St.	L	71-73	44%
Feb 19, 2026	359	IU Indianapolis	W	86-71	89%
Feb 22, 2026	216	Robert Morris	W	75-71	62%
Feb 25, 2026	208	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	74-77	42%
Feb 28, 2026	266	@ Northern Kentucky	W	70-69	52%
Projected Record						16 - 13	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	1.8	3.9	5.0	4.3	2.8	1.3	0.2		19.6	1st
2nd												0.1	0.8	3.1	4.8	4.1	2.0	0.4	0.1				15.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.8	3.5	4.7	2.8	0.7	0.1						12.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	3.4	4.6	2.2	0.4	0.0							11.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	2.9	4.2	1.9	0.2	0.0								10.0	5th
6th								0.1	0.6	2.8	3.4	1.5	0.1	0.0									8.6	6th
7th							0.1	0.6	2.3	2.9	1.4	0.1	0.0										7.4	7th
8th						0.1	0.7	1.8	2.6	0.9	0.1												6.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.8	1.4	1.7	0.7	0.1													4.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.0														2.9	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0															1.1	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.1	2.0	3.0	4.5	6.3	7.4	8.7	10.1	11.0	10.6	9.8	8.7	7.0	4.7	2.8	1.3	0.2			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	1.3		1.3	0.0
18-2	97.7%	2.8		2.6	0.1
17-3	90.7%	4.3		3.5	0.7	0.0
16-4	70.6%	5.0		3.3	1.6	0.1
15-5	44.6%	3.9		1.8	1.6	0.5	0.0	0.0
14-6	18.6%	1.8		0.5	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-7	3.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	19.6%	19.6		13.3	4.9	1.2	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		63.3%	63.3%		11.3							0.0		0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.1
19-1	1.3%		55.3%	55.3%		12.1											0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.6
18-2	2.8%		42.8%	42.8%		12.8											0.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0	1.6
17-3	4.7%		40.1%	40.1%		13.4												0.0	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0	2.8
16-4	7.0%		29.6%	29.6%		13.9													0.2	0.7	0.8	0.4	0.1	5.0
15-5	8.7%		27.8%	27.8%		14.4												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	0.7	0.2	6.3
14-6	9.8%		19.3%	19.3%		15.3													0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.3	7.9
13-7	10.6%		14.1%	14.1%		16.4													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	9.1
12-8	11.0%		9.9%	9.9%		17.6														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	9.9
11-9	10.1%		7.9%	7.9%		17.9															0.1	0.3	0.6	9.3
10-10	8.7%		4.5%	4.5%		19.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	8.3
9-11	7.4%		2.6%	2.6%		16.8																0.0	0.2	7.2
8-12	6.3%		1.4%	1.4%		16.8																0.0	0.1	6.2
7-13	4.5%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	4.4
6-14	3.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
5-15	2.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
4-16	1.1%																							1.1
3-17	0.5%																							0.5
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.5%	14.5%	0.0%	14.9							0.0		0.0		0.0	0.3	1.5	2.8	4.2	3.6	2.9	85.5		0.0%