Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#159
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#259
Pace67.8#230
Improvement-0.9#249

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#196
First Shot-2.2#238
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#119
Layup/Dunks-2.0#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#173
Freethrows-2.0#299
Improvement-0.2#199

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#147
First Shot+2.7#88
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#301
Layups/Dunks-6.9#355
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.5#4
Freethrows+0.2#167
Improvement-0.7#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.5% 18.9% 12.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 72.5% 77.8% 52.8%
.500 or above in Conference 84.8% 89.0% 69.2%
Conference Champion 19.1% 22.0% 8.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 1.5%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 2.2%
First Round16.9% 18.4% 11.4%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 78.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 74 - 10
Quad 413 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 76 @California L 67-77 15%     0 - 1 +0.6 -0.9 +1.4
  Tue, Nov 11 163 Toledo L 71-81 62%     0 - 2 -13.6 -3.5 -10.6
  Sat, Nov 15 288 Radford W 92-59 74%     1 - 2 +25.9 +12.4 +12.4
  Sun, Nov 16 121 Kent St. L 72-76 OT 38%     1 - 3 -1.2 -5.9 +4.9
  Tue, Nov 25 347 @Stetson W 79-62 80%     2 - 3 +7.9 +8.5 +0.8
  Fri, Nov 28 55 @Butler L 69-94 11%     2 - 4 -11.9 -3.6 -6.6
  Wed, Dec 3 162 @Youngstown St. L 68-69 39%     2 - 5 0 - 1 +1.4 -0.8 +2.2
  Sun, Dec 7 273 Green Bay W 75-67 79%    
  Sat, Dec 13 172 @Marshall L 74-76 42%    
  Tue, Dec 16 112 Miami (OH) L 75-76 46%    
  Mon, Dec 22 205 Eastern Michigan W 72-67 69%    
  Mon, Dec 29 146 Oakland W 81-79 57%    
  Thu, Jan 1 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-72 72%    
  Sun, Jan 4 356 @IU Indianapolis W 89-79 83%    
  Fri, Jan 9 293 @Detroit Mercy W 74-70 64%    
  Sun, Jan 11 146 @Oakland L 78-82 35%    
  Thu, Jan 15 162 Youngstown St. W 72-69 61%    
  Wed, Jan 21 323 Cleveland St. W 82-70 86%    
  Sat, Jan 24 192 Northern Kentucky W 75-70 66%    
  Fri, Jan 30 219 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-74 51%    
  Sun, Feb 1 273 @Green Bay W 72-70 59%    
  Wed, Feb 4 186 @Robert Morris L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 238 Purdue Fort Wayne W 79-72 73%    
  Thu, Feb 12 293 Detroit Mercy W 77-67 81%    
  Sun, Feb 15 323 @Cleveland St. W 79-73 71%    
  Thu, Feb 19 356 IU Indianapolis W 92-76 93%    
  Sun, Feb 22 186 Robert Morris W 72-68 65%    
  Wed, Feb 25 238 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 76-75 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 192 @Northern Kentucky L 72-73 45%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.1 5.4 3.8 1.4 0.3 19.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.9 6.6 4.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 18.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.9 6.8 3.4 0.7 0.1 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 5.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.6 4.1 6.5 9.1 11.6 13.6 14.3 12.9 10.5 7.0 4.0 1.4 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 99.8% 1.4    1.4 0.1
17-3 93.3% 3.8    3.2 0.5 0.0
16-4 77.4% 5.4    3.7 1.5 0.1
15-5 48.5% 5.1    2.4 2.1 0.6 0.0
14-6 19.9% 2.6    0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.1% 19.1 11.7 5.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.3% 56.4% 56.4% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
18-2 1.4% 44.6% 44.6% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8
17-3 4.0% 38.5% 38.5% 13.4 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 2.5
16-4 7.0% 33.9% 33.9% 13.9 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 4.6
15-5 10.5% 29.0% 29.0% 14.2 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.0 0.1 7.5
14-6 12.9% 22.7% 22.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.3 10.0
13-7 14.3% 18.0% 18.0% 14.9 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.5 11.7
12-8 13.6% 13.6% 13.6% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.7 11.7
11-9 11.6% 9.7% 9.7% 15.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 10.5
10-10 9.1% 7.9% 7.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 8.4
9-11 6.5% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.2
8-12 4.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 4.0
7-13 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.5
6-14 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
5-15 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 14.5 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.4 5.8 3.3 82.5 0.0%