Preseason Rankings
Radford
Big South
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#150
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.7#357
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#131
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#190
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.7% 18.5% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.5 14.3
.500 or above 79.5% 81.7% 55.5%
.500 or above in Conference 82.5% 83.6% 70.2%
Conference Champion 22.2% 23.3% 11.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.3% 4.2%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
First Round17.9% 18.6% 10.1%
Second Round1.6% 1.7% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 91.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 414 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 339   Western Illinois W 71-56 92%    
  Nov 11, 2025 25   @ North Carolina L 62-80 5%    
  Nov 15, 2025 191   Wright St. W 70-68 58%    
  Nov 16, 2025 232   Cleveland St. W 67-63 66%    
  Nov 18, 2025 70   @ South Carolina L 59-70 16%    
  Nov 21, 2025 118   UNC Wilmington W 67-66 53%    
  Nov 24, 2025 44   @ SMU L 62-77 10%    
  Dec 03, 2025 281   Southern Miss W 74-64 81%    
  Dec 07, 2025 344   St. Francis (PA) W 74-59 90%    
  Dec 14, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 75-54 96%    
  Dec 18, 2025 229   @ William & Mary W 73-72 53%    
  Dec 21, 2025 296   VMI W 73-62 82%    
  Dec 31, 2025 336   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 07, 2026 267   Presbyterian W 69-60 78%    
  Jan 10, 2026 184   UNC Asheville W 72-67 66%    
  Jan 14, 2026 307   @ Gardner-Webb W 71-65 68%    
  Jan 17, 2026 204   Longwood W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 21, 2026 161   @ Winthrop L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 24, 2026 108   High Point L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 29, 2026 318   @ Charleston Southern W 69-63 70%    
  Jan 31, 2026 267   @ Presbyterian W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 04, 2026 161   Winthrop W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 07, 2026 108   @ High Point L 65-72 29%    
  Feb 14, 2026 318   Charleston Southern W 72-60 84%    
  Feb 19, 2026 307   Gardner-Webb W 74-62 83%    
  Feb 21, 2026 184   @ UNC Asheville L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 26, 2026 336   South Carolina Upstate W 80-66 87%    
  Feb 28, 2026 204   @ Longwood L 69-70 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.7 6.4 6.1 3.8 1.1 22.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.9 7.4 3.8 0.9 22.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.1 7.1 5.1 1.3 0.1 18.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.9 5.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.6 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.7 4.9 7.2 9.2 11.7 13.5 13.6 12.5 10.2 6.9 3.8 1.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
15-1 100.0% 3.8    3.6 0.2
14-2 87.3% 6.1    4.7 1.3 0.0
13-3 62.4% 6.4    3.7 2.5 0.2
12-4 30.0% 3.7    1.3 1.7 0.7 0.1
11-5 8.0% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 22.2% 22.2 14.6 6.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.1% 61.6% 60.9% 0.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.0%
15-1 3.8% 48.4% 48.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9
14-2 6.9% 42.8% 42.8% 12.6 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.0
13-3 10.2% 32.5% 32.5% 13.3 0.0 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.9
12-4 12.5% 23.9% 23.9% 13.8 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 9.5
11-5 13.6% 17.5% 17.5% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 11.2
10-6 13.5% 11.8% 11.8% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 12.0
9-7 11.7% 8.0% 8.0% 16.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 10.8
8-8 9.2% 6.0% 6.0% 17.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 8.6
7-9 7.2% 4.2% 4.2% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.9
6-10 4.9% 3.1% 3.1% 18.9 0.0 0.2 4.8
5-11 2.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.7
4-12 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-13 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.6 4.5 2.7 1.8 82.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.0 100.0