Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.6 243
Results Rating -6.0 258
Consistency 0.15 194
Pace 75.1 30
Improvement +4.5 39

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 212 C- C- C- B C+
Defense D+ 262 D+ D+ C+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 254 D+ 55% 265 -2.7 283
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 244 C 38% 191 -1.3 252
Three Pointers 47% 59 C 34% 198 +2.7 88
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 164 C- -1.5 227
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 216
Second Chance C- 28.6% 231 D+ 0.98 266 C- 0.28 246
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 258
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 223
Turnovers C- 17.6% 240
Freethrows B+ 0.36 30 C 72% 193 B 0.26 49
Total Offense C- -1.6 212

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 35% 341 C 10.6% 155
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 12% 348 C+ 4.7% 169
Three Pointers D+ 80% 269 D+ 1.2% 269
Total D 48% 315 C+ 5.2% 132


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 77 C 59% 202 +2.8 281
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 283 C 38% 197 -1.2 95
Three Pointers 40% 215 D 37% 312 +1.4 261
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 303 D+ +2.1 272
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 277
Second Chance D+ 32.6% 277 C- 1.07 254 D+ 0.35 282
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 169
Other Turnovers B 8.3% 62
Turnovers C+ 17.9% 104
Freethrows C- 0.33 259 C 73% 189 C- 0.24 259
Total Defense D+ -3.0 262

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 221 C- 9.7% 220
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 305 C+ 6.0% 102
Three Pointers D 88% 297 C- 0.8% 186
Total D+ 60% 272 C 5.5% 178

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 58 17.0 125
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 71 0.19 265
Consistency 0.11 60 0.12 171
Improvement +1.1 135 +3.4 36

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 253 241 217
Results Rating Rank 283 256 235
Conference Record 9 - 7 9 - 7 9 - 7
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 7% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 n/a
.500 or above 4% 7% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four3% 4% 0%
First Round3% 5% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 413 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 364 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 94% +5  87% 1 - 0 F+ -17 B- +5 C+ A B+ F -22 F+ F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 27 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3% -11  5% 1 - 1 C+ +3 D+ -4 D- C- B- A +10 A+ C+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 157 Wright St. L 59 - 92 32% -13  2% 1 - 2 F -33 F -20 F F F F -12 F D- C
 Sun, Nov 16 322 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 71% +9  87% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -15 F D+ D- C+ +1 D+ B- B-
 Tue, Nov 18 98 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 11% -15  0% 1 - 4 F -20 F -14 F D F D -6 F+ F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 106 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 29% -8  3% 1 - 5 D+ -7 C- -2 B+ D F D -5 F F+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 41 @SMU L 72 - 89 4% -11  0% 1 - 6 C -1 D- -6 F B- A A- +7 A F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 225 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 58% -6  10% 1 - 7 D- -14 D- -6 F D+ B+ D- -7 B C- C
 Sun, Dec 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 89% +17  97% 2 - 7 A- +15 B- +4 C A C+ A +11 B A- C+
 Sun, Dec 14 362 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 93% +12  98% 3 - 7 B +9 A +12 A+ C D+ D- -7 F C- A+
 Thu, Dec 18 139 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 20% -3  33% 3 - 8 D -9 D+ -2 D- B- C D+ -5 B F D-
 Sun, Dec 21 358 VMI W 97 - 90 91% +2  63% 4 - 8 D- -12 B +6 A- A- D- F -18 F F B+
 Wed, Dec 31 307 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 54% +4  71% 5 - 8 1 - 0 C +1 D+ -2 C- C- F+ B- +3 B+ F+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 271 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 67% +6  85% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B +10 A +12 A F A C+ +1 B C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 246 UNC Asheville L 72 - 91 62% -9  0% 6 - 9 2 - 1 F -27 F -10 F F A+ F -16 F A- C+
 Wed, Jan 14 360 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 80 83% +5  71% 7 - 9 3 - 1 D+ -6 B +6 D D- A- F -12 D F F
 Sat, Jan 17 253 Longwood W 85 - 83 64% +11  98% 8 - 9 4 - 1 D+ -6 B +7 A- F+ B+ F -13 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 21 145 @Winthrop L 75 - 76 21% +2  67% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C+ +3 C+ +2 A+ D- F C+ +1 F B+ B
 Fri, Jan 23 94 High Point L 83 - 93 24% -1  35% 8 - 11 4 - 3 D+ -7 C+ +2 A D- D- F+ -9 F A- F
 Thu, Jan 29 250 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 75 40% +8  85% 9 - 11 5 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 C B F A- +7 A C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 31 271 @Presbyterian W 93 - 84 2OT 44% +0  44% 10 - 11 6 - 3 B- +6 C+ +3 D- C- A C+ +2 F A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 145 Winthrop L 78 - 80 40% -3  11% 10 - 12 6 - 4 C- -4 C- -1 C- D+ C C- -3 F A+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 94 @High Point L 77 - 86 11% -3  11% 10 - 13 6 - 5 C -0 D -6 F+ B- D B+ +7 B+ B+ A-
 Sat, Feb 14 250 Charleston Southern W 90 - 80 63% +14  93% 11 - 13 7 - 5 C+ +2 C+ +2 A B- F C -1 D B- C+
 Thu, Feb 19 360 Gardner-Webb W 82 - 70 93% +12  88% 12 - 13 8 - 5 D -9 C- -2 D- C+ F+ D -6 F+ F C+
 Sat, Feb 21 246 @UNC Asheville L 73 - 74 OT 39% -1  26% 12 - 14 8 - 6 C- -3 D+ -4 D- D C- C+ +1 D+ B F
 Thu, Feb 26 307 South Carolina Upstate W 71 - 59 75% +3  53% 13 - 14 9 - 6 C +0 D -4 C- C+ D B +5 B- B- A-
 Sat, Feb 28 253 @Longwood L 74 - 90 41% -2  48% 13 - 15 9 - 7 F -18 D -5 C F B F -12 D- F B-
 Fri, Mar 6 271 Presbyterian W 75 - 73 56%
Totals 14 - 15 9 - 7 -5 C- -2 D- C- C+ D+ -3 C C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C C C- 36% 32% 47% C+ C- C- D+ C- C- B+ C B D+ C C D D+ 43% 17% 40% D D+ D+ C- D+ C+ C- C C-
1.06 55% 38% 34% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.0 .28 18% .36 72% .26 1.13 59% 38% 37% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.1 .35 18% .33 73% .26
Nov
3		 Western Illinois B- A+ A+ F C+ 41% 17% 41% C- C+ A B- A B+ A+ F A+ F B F C- F 37% 30% 33% C+ F+ F F F C+ F C F
1.29 82% 57% 24% +7 +1 1.17 43% 1.2 .53 11% .56 65% .36 1.21 47% 50% 33% -1 -1 0.98 47% 1.5 .72 18% .39 65% .25
Nov
11		 North Carolina D+ C F F D- 28% 25% 47% C+ D- B- D- C- B- A+ F A+ A C A+ B- A+ 37% 17% 46% C+ A+ D- A- C+ C+ F B+ F
0.91 53% 27% 25% -11 -1 0.78 27% 0.7 .20 13% .44 61% .27 1.09 63% 11% 33% -3 0 0.96 38% 0.9 .36 13% .70 63% .44
Nov
15		 Wright St. F F+ F F+ F 49% 14% 37% B+ F F+ F F F B+ F+ B- F A+ F F F 40% 24% 36% C+ F C- F+ D- C F B F
0.81 50% 29% 28% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.2 .05 21% .37 67% .24 1.27 40% 50% 61% +10 0 1.22 33% 1.3 .42 17% .45 70% .31
Nov
16		 Cleveland St. F F A+ F F 40% 19% 41% C F B- F D+ D- A+ F A- C+ C+ F D+ C- 39% 9% 52% F D+ D A+ B- B- F A+ F
1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30 1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45
Nov
18		 South Carolina F F D+ D- F 34% 18% 48% C+ F D D D F A+ D+ A+ D F F A+ F 33% 21% 46% B- F+ C- F F B+ A C A
0.82 29% 33% 29% -14 0 0.74 23% 0.9 .21 20% .44 68% .30 1.23 76% 82% 25% +9 0 1.19 30% 1.9 .57 17% .25 80% .20
Nov
21		 UNC Wilmington C- F+ F A+ B 24% 14% 61% B B+ C- F D F A B A D F+ C+ F+ F 49% 13% 38% F F F B- F+ A+ D+ A+ B-
1.04 50% 29% 40% +2 0 1.06 25% 0.9 .22 20% .34 79% .27 1.16 65% 33% 39% +6 +2 1.17 45% 1.0 .45 21% .38 57% .22
Nov
24		 SMU D- F F F F 29% 15% 56% B F F+ A+ B- A C A+ B A- C A+ C+ A+ 37% 16% 47% D- A B- F F A+ F D F
0.92 41% 22% 24% -15 0 0.71 21% 1.5 .32 14% .27 83% .22 1.14 61% 25% 35% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.4 .49 21% .52 78% .40
Dec
3		 Southern Miss D- F+ F D F 39% 9% 52% B F D+ C- D+ B+ A- A A+ D- B B- B- B- 33% 35% 33% B+ B F A- C- C F F F
1.00 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 15% .42 78% .33 1.09 53% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.87 38% 0.9 .32 19% .52 84% .44
Dec
7		 St. Francis (PA) B- C C+ B+ C- 35% 9% 56% C+ C C- A+ A C+ F C F A A+ D- C B 31% 23% 46% C+ B B- A+ A- C+ A+ D+ A+
1.28 63% 40% 40% +7 +1 1.19 32% 1.6 .52 17% .24 71% .17 0.81 38% 42% 33% -6 -1 0.88 24% 0.7 .17 20% .13 71% .09
Dec
14		 Coppin St. A A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 9% 58% C+ A+ C- B- C D+ D D D- D- C+ A+ F F 34% 18% 48% D- F C+ D- C- A+ D+ F F+
1.37 83% 60% 47% +21 +1 1.47 33% 1.2 .41 18% .33 71% .23 0.99 53% 11% 50% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.1 .30 29% .35 79% .27
Dec
18		 William & Mary D+ F A+ D+ F+ 28% 8% 63% C+ D- C+ B B- C B+ D+ B- D+ C- A+ A+ A- 60% 5% 35% F B F F F D- F F F
1.03 41% 60% 32% -5 +1 0.93 31% 1.2 .36 19% .34 68% .23 1.19 62% 0% 25% -5 +3 1.00 33% 1.3 .44 14% .45 87% .39
Dec
21		 VMI B C+ A+ A+ B+ 39% 11% 50% B A- C+ A+ A- D- A+ A- A+ F C- F F F 38% 19% 44% C+ F D- F F B+ F F F
1.33 65% 60% 45% +14 +1 1.32 40% 1.3 .52 19% .68 80% .54 1.23 56% 44% 38% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.9 .57 19% .47 89% .42
Dec
31		 South Carolina Upstate D+ C D+ C- C- 44% 19% 38% C C- D+ C+ C- F+ A+ C A B- A D+ A+ A+ 60% 9% 30% F B+ F D+ F+ C+ C+ D- C-
1.04 57% 33% 33% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.2 .33 19% .41 71% .29 0.95 44% 40% 25% -13 +3 0.83 36% 1.0 .36 19% .27 75% .20
Jan
7		 Presbyterian A C A+ A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F A D F F A C A+ A- C+ B+ B B- B 47% 32% 21% C+ B D+ C+ C- F C A+ A-
1.30 58% 54% 46% +13 -2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 11% .29 88% .26 0.99 50% 33% 30% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.0 .34 15% .34 50% .17
Jan
10		 UNC Asheville F A- F F F 46% 8% 46% A- F F F+ F A+ A+ B A+ F F C F F 29% 29% 41% D F C+ A+ A- C+ F A- F
0.98 67% 25% 13% -12 +2 0.83 21% 0.8 .17 10% .48 72% .35 1.24 80% 40% 52% +18 -2 1.35 28% 0.7 .19 18% .48 62% .30
Jan
14		 Gardner-Webb B D- F A+ D- 49% 13% 38% B D B+ F D- A- A+ B- A+ F F A+ A+ D+ 52% 8% 40% F D B- F F F F F F
1.26 56% 14% 43% +1 +2 1.07 43% 0.7 .31 11% .46 76% .35 1.13 69% 0% 25% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 14% .43 81% .35
Jan
17		 Longwood B A+ F A A- 40% 16% 44% C A- D+ F F+ B+ A+ D- A+ F C F F F 34% 26% 40% B- F F F F B- C A B-
1.22 80% 25% 41% +11 +1 1.26 25% 0.6 .16 16% .53 65% .34 1.19 59% 46% 40% +6 -1 1.12 41% 1.4 .56 22% .33 67% .22
Jan
21		 Winthrop C+ B+ A- A A 48% 5% 48% A+ A+ D- D D- F A+ C+ A+ C+ B+ D F F 44% 10% 46% D+ F A+ D B+ B B- A+ A-
1.09 65% 50% 40% +8 +3 1.24 23% 1.0 .23 28% .48 75% .36 1.11 48% 40% 50% +7 +2 1.19 24% 1.1 .27 17% .34 63% .21
Jan
23		 High Point C+ B C+ A A- 43% 9% 47% B A C F D- D- C+ C C+ F+ D- A+ F F 37% 8% 55% C- F A+ F+ A- F F C F
1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23 1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38
Jan
29		 Charleston Southern C- F A A+ C 45% 31% 24% C- C C- A+ B F A+ A A+ A- C A+ A+ A+ 42% 6% 52% D- A D A C+ B- F B+ F
1.07 41% 47% 42% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 18% .51 79% .40 0.96 57% 0% 27% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.7 .23 20% .58 61% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Presbyterian C+ F A- B- D 38% 27% 35% F+ D- D+ B- C- A A+ C+ A C+ F A+ D- F 48% 31% 20% C+ F F+ A+ A A+ C- F D
1.13 42% 47% 36% -3 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 11% .40 69% .27 1.02 85% 18% 36% +7 -1 1.15 38% 0.5 .21 27% .35 76% .27
Feb
4		 Winthrop C- C D C- C- 37% 14% 49% B- C- A- F D+ C D B- D+ C- D F C- F 43% 13% 43% C- F A A+ A+ C C+ A B
1.09 57% 38% 32% -2 +1 1.00 37% 0.7 .27 17% .29 76% .22 1.12 61% 57% 35% +4 +1 1.13 26% 0.7 .17 15% .35 67% .23
Feb
7		 High Point D B- A+ F F 37% 8% 55% B- F+ C B B- D A+ F A B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 59% 4% 37% F B+ D A+ B+ A- F F F
0.97 63% 50% 21% -8 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30 1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47
Feb
14		 Charleston Southern C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 38% 26% 36% C- A C A- B- F C+ D C C A+ F F D+ 46% 3% 51% F D A- D B- C+ A+ A+ A+
1.17 60% 50% 42% +8 -1 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 17% .37 67% .25 1.04 44% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 22% 1.0 .22 19% .13 38% .05
Feb
19		 Gardner-Webb C- A F D F+ 31% 10% 58% C D- D+ A C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D D- F A F+ 53% 18% 29% D+ F+ C- F F C+ C+ A+ B
1.19 73% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 19% .43 92% .39 1.01 63% 44% 27% 0 +1 1.06 24% 1.6 .38 20% .25 57% .15
Feb
21		 UNC Asheville D+ F F A+ D- 38% 25% 37% D- D- C+ F D C- A+ D- A+ C+ C D C+ C- 43% 36% 21% D- D+ B B B F A+ A+ A+
1.03 35% 31% 47% -3 -1 0.94 32% 0.7 .22 17% .51 63% .32 1.04 58% 45% 33% +2 -2 1.04 26% 0.9 .24 11% .22 50% .11
Feb
26		 South Carolina Upstate D F A A+ C 33% 24% 42% D- C- D- A+ C+ D A+ C A+ B B+ F+ A+ B+ 50% 18% 32% F+ B- F A+ B- A- A+ C- A+
1.05 33% 45% 42% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .39 18% .43 71% .31 0.88 48% 44% 25% -8 +1 0.88 40% 0.6 .23 22% .13 71% .10
Feb
28		 Longwood D A C+ D+ C 35% 19% 46% D+ C F+ F F B C F D- F B A+ F D 41% 13% 46% F D- F D- F B- F F F
1.00 74% 40% 32% +4 0 1.11 21% 0.3 .05 16% .34 57% .19 1.22 53% 17% 43% +1 +1 1.07 39% 1.1 .42 22% .61 86% .52



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.3 3.7 96.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 15.9 96.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.0% 100.0% 15.9 7.5 92.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 36.8%
Lose Out 43.8%