Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#262
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#243
Pace59.8#363
Improvement+1.5#82

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#289
First Shot-7.8#357
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#29
Layup/Dunks+0.5#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#343
Freethrows+0.5#154
Improvement-0.3#206

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#202
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#235
Layups/Dunks-4.1#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#127
Freethrows+0.8#128
Improvement+1.8#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.2% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 28.2% 41.1% 19.8%
.500 or above in Conference 49.7% 55.9% 45.7%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.9% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 3.3% 4.9%
First Four1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
First Round2.7% 3.6% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 39.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 197 Navy L 55-76 49%     0 - 1 -26.3 -14.8 -13.3
  Sat, Nov 8 117 East Tennessee St. W 68-64 29%     1 - 1 +4.2 +1.2 +3.4
  Mon, Nov 10 338 @Georgia St. W 63-61 60%     2 - 1 -6.1 -0.1 -5.7
  Wed, Nov 12 87 @South Carolina L 61-81 9%     2 - 2 -10.9 -2.7 -9.8
  Sun, Nov 16 278 @Sacramento St. L 62-64 41%     2 - 3 -5.1 -8.1 +2.9
  Tue, Nov 18 76 @California L 57-67 8%     2 - 4 +0.6 +1.0 -2.5
  Fri, Nov 21 27 @UCLA L 46-86 3%     2 - 5 -23.1 -17.2 -7.6
  Sun, Nov 30 363 The Citadel W 69-41 82%     3 - 5 +12.9 +6.3 +14.7
  Wed, Dec 3 247 @Wofford L 56-63 36%     3 - 6 -8.7 -11.7 +2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 325 Morehead St. W 80-72 75%     4 - 6 -4.7 +3.7 -8.1
  Wed, Dec 17 266 @East Carolina L 65-68 39%    
  Sun, Dec 21 308 @Manhattan L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Jan 3 274 South Carolina Upstate W 68-65 63%    
  Wed, Jan 7 288 @Radford L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 287 @Longwood L 68-69 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 203 UNC Asheville W 67-66 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 359 @Gardner-Webb W 73-67 70%    
  Wed, Jan 21 285 Charleston Southern W 70-66 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 118 Winthrop L 68-74 31%    
  Thu, Jan 29 97 @High Point L 65-79 11%    
  Sat, Jan 31 288 Radford W 73-68 66%    
  Sat, Feb 7 359 Gardner-Webb W 76-64 85%    
  Thu, Feb 12 285 @Charleston Southern L 67-69 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 203 @UNC Asheville L 64-70 30%    
  Thu, Feb 19 287 Longwood W 71-66 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 274 @South Carolina Upstate L 65-68 41%    
  Thu, Feb 26 97 High Point L 68-76 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 118 @Winthrop L 65-77 15%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.4 6.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 16.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.3 8.1 6.5 2.1 0.2 20.5 4th
5th 0.3 3.4 8.4 5.2 1.1 0.0 18.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.8 4.4 0.7 0.0 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 6.1 9.6 13.6 16.6 15.8 13.3 9.9 6.1 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 87.4% 0.3    0.3 0.1
13-3 54.5% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.0
12-4 22.8% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 18.4% 18.4% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.2% 18.1% 18.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
12-4 3.1% 12.6% 12.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.7
11-5 6.1% 8.7% 8.7% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 5.5
10-6 9.9% 5.4% 5.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.3
9-7 13.3% 3.5% 3.5% 15.7 0.1 0.3 12.8
8-8 15.8% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 15.4
7-9 16.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 16.3
6-10 13.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.5
5-11 9.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.6
4-12 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-13 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-14 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 96.8 0.0%