Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#287
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#280
Pace72.3#117
Improvement-2.1#311

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#255
First Shot-2.4#242
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#233
Layup/Dunks-3.4#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#317
Freethrows+6.3#1
Improvement-1.1#276

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#302
First Shot-4.4#316
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#153
Layups/Dunks-1.0#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#347
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement-1.0#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.1% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 22.3% 25.6% 9.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.6% 36.7% 26.7%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 7.5% 11.8%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
First Round1.5% 1.6% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Home) - 79.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 95 @Pittsburgh L 60-78 8%     0 - 1 -9.7 -9.1 -0.5
  Wed, Nov 12 177 James Madison W 82-72 40%     1 - 1 +5.6 +4.2 +1.4
  Sat, Nov 15 354 Binghamton W 90-82 81%     2 - 1 -8.2 +4.5 -13.1
  Tue, Nov 18 345 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82-83 2OT 77%     2 - 2 -15.8 -6.4 -9.2
  Sun, Nov 23 130 @Columbia L 70-95 13%     2 - 3 -19.9 -3.7 -15.4
  Fri, Nov 28 156 Siena L 63-70 26%     2 - 4 -7.3 -6.6 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 29 328 Maine W 65-61 61%     3 - 4 -5.9 -2.6 -2.9
  Sun, Nov 30 242 @American L 66-92 30%     3 - 5 -27.5 -8.7 -18.1
  Sat, Dec 6 358 @Morgan St. W 84-80 65%     4 - 5 -7.0 +0.0 -7.2
  Sat, Dec 13 351 Delaware St. W 76-67 80%    
  Wed, Dec 17 50 @Wake Forest L 67-88 3%    
  Sat, Dec 20 350 @NC Central W 73-71 59%    
  Wed, Dec 31 118 Winthrop L 77-84 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 97 @High Point L 74-89 8%    
  Wed, Jan 7 203 @UNC Asheville L 72-79 25%    
  Sat, Jan 10 262 Presbyterian W 69-68 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 288 @Radford L 79-82 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 359 Gardner-Webb W 84-74 82%    
  Sat, Jan 24 285 Charleston Southern W 78-75 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 274 @South Carolina Upstate L 74-78 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 97 High Point L 77-86 20%    
  Wed, Feb 4 359 @Gardner-Webb W 81-77 64%    
  Sat, Feb 7 118 @Winthrop L 74-87 12%    
  Thu, Feb 12 203 UNC Asheville L 75-76 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 274 South Carolina Upstate W 77-75 57%    
  Thu, Feb 19 262 @Presbyterian L 66-71 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 285 @Charleston Southern L 75-78 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 288 Radford W 82-79 60%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.7 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.3 4.8 1.2 0.1 15.5 4th
5th 0.4 3.8 8.3 5.0 0.9 0.0 18.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.9 8.1 4.5 0.7 0.0 17.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.4 7.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 16.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.5 4.7 2.1 0.2 11.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.4 9th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.7 10.0 13.9 16.0 16.2 13.5 9.7 6.1 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 92.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-3 68.0% 0.3    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 28.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 5.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 14.6% 14.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.5% 16.0% 16.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 1.5% 9.9% 9.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
11-5 3.2% 8.2% 8.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.9
10-6 6.1% 4.9% 4.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.8
9-7 9.7% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.4
8-8 13.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 13.1
7-9 16.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 15.9
6-10 16.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 15.9
5-11 13.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.8
4-12 10.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-13 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
2-14 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 98.0 0.0%