NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#350
Expected Predictive Rating-16.0#352
Pace67.2#248
Improvement+1.9#58

Offense
Total Offense-8.5#357
First Shot-7.4#353
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#244
Layup/Dunks-3.9#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#250
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#303
Freethrows+1.8#85
Improvement-1.3#287

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#314
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#335
Layups/Dunks+3.1#75
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#310
Freethrows-1.8#284
Improvement+3.2#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 7.5% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.3% 9.0% 2.3%
.500 or above in Conference 51.1% 70.1% 51.1%
Conference Champion 6.0% 10.4% 6.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.5% 3.0% 13.5%
First Four6.3% 7.5% 6.3%
First Round2.6% 0.0% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 48 - 118 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 36 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     0 - 1 -33.2 -5.4 -25.9
  Fri, Nov 7 23 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     0 - 2 -1.1 +2.7 -6.0
  Sun, Nov 9 282 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 20%     0 - 3 -25.5 -14.8 -12.7
  Fri, Nov 14 22 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     0 - 4 -26.0 -11.1 -14.9
  Sat, Nov 22 70 @Dayton L 55-74 2%     0 - 5 -7.9 -8.2 -0.9
  Tue, Nov 25 274 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 18%     0 - 6 -17.9 -4.6 -13.6
  Wed, Dec 3 177 @James Madison L 62-67 10%     0 - 7 -3.4 -6.6 +2.8
  Sat, Dec 6 299 N.C. A&T L 54-69 43%     0 - 8 -25.6 -23.5 -1.8
  Tue, Dec 9 21 @Kentucky L 57-88 0.2%   
  Sat, Dec 20 287 Longwood L 71-73 41%    
  Mon, Dec 29 96 @Penn St. L 62-83 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 218 Norfolk St. L 62-68 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 70-68 57%    
  Mon, Jan 12 358 @Morgan St. L 72-74 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 313 Howard L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Jan 24 351 Delaware St. W 68-65 62%    
  Mon, Jan 26 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 63-61 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 349 @South Carolina St. L 69-72 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 218 @Norfolk St. L 59-71 15%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 73-65 76%    
  Mon, Feb 16 358 Morgan St. W 75-71 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 313 @Howard L 68-75 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 351 @Delaware St. L 65-68 41%    
  Mon, Mar 2 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 60-64 37%    
  Thu, Mar 5 349 South Carolina St. W 72-69 60%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 6.0 1st
2nd 0.2 2.4 5.5 4.0 1.0 0.1 13.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.8 7.7 3.9 0.6 0.0 16.2 3rd
4th 0.2 3.9 8.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 16.0 4th
5th 0.1 3.5 8.4 3.4 0.2 15.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 7.6 3.2 0.2 14.0 6th
7th 0.5 2.7 5.3 2.7 0.2 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.8 1.3 0.1 7.3 8th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.8 5.6 9.5 14.2 15.9 16.2 13.6 10.4 6.4 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0
12-2 92.5% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
11-3 66.1% 2.1    1.2 0.8 0.1
10-4 28.2% 1.8    0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0
9-5 6.9% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.0 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 37.7% 37.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
12-2 1.1% 34.3% 34.3% 16.0 0.4 0.7
11-3 3.1% 22.5% 22.5% 16.0 0.7 2.4
10-4 6.4% 16.7% 16.7% 16.0 1.1 5.4
9-5 10.4% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 1.1 9.2
8-6 13.6% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 1.0 12.5
7-7 16.2% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.8 15.4
6-8 15.9% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.6 15.3
5-9 14.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 13.9
4-10 9.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 9.4
3-11 5.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.6
2-12 2.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.8
1-13 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.4 93.6 0.0%