Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#351
Expected Predictive Rating-14.6#347
Pace69.7#178
Improvement+2.8#31

Offense
Total Offense-10.5#363
First Shot-7.4#352
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#339
Layup/Dunks-1.2#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-11.1#363
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement-0.2#198

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#242
First Shot-2.3#245
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#191
Layups/Dunks-4.9#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#246
Freethrows+1.6#88
Improvement+3.0#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 7.9% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.1% 12.7% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 48.1% 57.5% 45.7%
Conference Champion 5.6% 7.9% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.8% 9.7% 16.2%
First Four5.7% 7.7% 5.1%
First Round2.1% 3.3% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Away) - 20.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 48 - 128 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 160 @Temple L 65-83 8%     0 - 1 -15.4 -6.9 -9.5
  Sat, Nov 8 60 @Syracuse L 43-83 2%     0 - 2 -27.8 -23.3 -3.6
  Mon, Nov 10 342 @Niagara L 57-68 33%     0 - 3 -19.4 -8.4 -12.9
  Sat, Nov 15 332 @New Haven L 52-65 30%     0 - 4 -20.3 -18.9 -2.1
  Sun, Nov 23 32 @Miami (FL) L 41-97 1%     0 - 5 -39.6 -22.9 -16.2
  Sat, Nov 29 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57-71 16%     0 - 6 -16.4 -14.9 -2.3
  Wed, Dec 3 197 Navy L 59-66 24%     0 - 7 -12.3 -16.5 +4.3
  Sat, Dec 6 296 Delaware W 75-72 OT 41%     1 - 7 -7.5 -9.6 +1.8
  Sat, Dec 13 287 @Longwood L 67-76 20%    
  Thu, Dec 18 178 @Saint Joseph's L 62-76 9%    
  Mon, Dec 29 123 @Rutgers L 59-77 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. W 72-64 76%    
  Sat, Jan 10 218 Norfolk St. L 62-68 29%    
  Mon, Jan 12 313 @Howard L 67-74 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 358 Morgan St. W 75-71 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 350 @NC Central L 65-68 38%    
  Mon, Jan 26 349 @South Carolina St. L 68-71 38%    
  Sat, Jan 31 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 62-60 58%    
  Sat, Feb 7 364 @Coppin St. W 69-67 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 218 @Norfolk St. L 59-71 14%    
  Mon, Feb 16 313 Howard L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 358 @Morgan St. L 72-74 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 350 NC Central W 68-65 59%    
  Mon, Mar 2 349 South Carolina St. W 71-68 59%    
  Thu, Mar 5 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 59-63 36%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.6 1st
2nd 0.2 2.6 5.0 3.5 1.0 0.1 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.7 7.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 15.1 3rd
4th 0.2 4.2 8.6 3.1 0.2 16.2 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 8.6 3.2 0.2 15.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 3.0 7.7 3.2 0.2 14.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.7 3.0 0.2 12.7 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 2.5 3.0 1.5 0.1 8.2 8th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.0 6.5 10.4 14.5 16.4 15.9 13.2 9.2 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 89.9% 0.9    0.8 0.1
11-3 64.4% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1
10-4 31.1% 1.8    0.6 0.9 0.3
9-5 7.8% 0.7    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 2.7 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 37.5% 37.5% 16.0 0.1 0.2
12-2 1.0% 34.0% 34.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 0.7
11-3 2.8% 22.2% 22.2% 16.0 0.6 2.2
10-4 5.7% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 1.0 4.8
9-5 9.2% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.9 8.3
8-6 13.2% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.9 12.3
7-7 15.9% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.8 15.1
6-8 16.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.6 15.8
5-9 14.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 14.3
4-10 10.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.2
3-11 6.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 6.5
2-12 3.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.0
1-13 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.7 94.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%