Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -12.4 347
Expected Predictive Rating -12.5 344
Pace 61.1 351
Improvement -3.5 313

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 353 D D+ F F+ D+
Defense D+ 283 C- D C- D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 197 D+ 54% 271 -1.7 244
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 73 C+ 39% 135 +2.4 64
Three Pointers 36% 289 F+ 28% 355 -5.6 335
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 283 D -4.1 313
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 324
Second Chance C- 28.9% 226 D 0.90 326 D+ 0.26 287
Turnovers F 22.9% 365
Freethrows F 0.23 360 C 73% 178 F+ 0.16 352
Total Offense F+ -9.0 353

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 171 D+ 61% 255 -1.3 224
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 285 B- 35% 80 +1.8 55
Three Pointers 44% 93 C 34% 178 -1.4 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 283 C -4.1 313
1st FG Attempt 1.04 210 C- -0.9 210
Second Chance C- 32.0% 239 D 1.13 318 D 0.36 302
Turnovers C- 15.9% 240
Freethrows D+ 0.33 271 D+ 74% 282 D+ 0.25 281
Total Defense D+ -3.5 283

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 20.1 361 16.8 102
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 357 0.20 265
Improvement -0.9 #249 -2.6 #303

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 11% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 75% 94% 71%
Conference Champion 4% 20% 1%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 1%
First Four7% 11% 6%
First Round3% 5% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Howard (Away) - 14.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 410 - 1310 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 133 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 6% -0  39% 0 - 1 C +1 F -20 F+ D+ F A+ +20 A+ D+ B-
 Wed, Nov 5 36 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1% -27  0% 0 - 2 F -48 F -41 F D- F D+ -4 A+ F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 15 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 1% -15  0% 0 - 3 C+ +2 F -12 D- D F+ A+ +13 A+ C- D
 Fri, Nov 14 61 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2% -18  0% 0 - 4 F -27 F -23 F+ F F D- -8 C- F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 266 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 18% +3  69% 1 - 4 C- -2 D+ -4 B+ C- F C+ +2 A- F A-
 Fri, Nov 21 345 @Canisius L 57 - 60 38% -3  7% 1 - 5 D- -12 F+ -9 F C F D+ -4 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 361 Binghamton W 63 - 52 65% +9  97% 2 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -9 D- C+ F B +5 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 246 Hampton L 68 - 74 32% -10  7% 2 - 6 D- -14 C +1 F+ B A+ F -15 F+ D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 251 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 16% -5  38% 2 - 7 D- -14 F+ -9 C- F+ D+ D- -8 F C C-
 Sat, Dec 6 261 @American L 60 - 78 18% -10  22% 2 - 8 F -21 F+ -9 A+ F F F -14 F D+ D
 Tue, Dec 9 23 @Virginia L 60 - 84 1% -16  0% 2 - 9 C- -5 D+ -3 B C F C- -3 D+ A F
 Fri, Dec 12 285 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 22% +2  54% 2 - 10 D+ -7 C+ +2 D- A B+ F+ -9 D+ F C-
 Sun, Dec 14 56 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 2% -10  4% 2 - 11 F+ -16 F -12 D- D- D- D -7 F A- D
 Wed, Dec 17 332 @Wagner L 64 - 78 34% -6  0% 2 - 12 F -22 F -11 B F F F -12 C F F
 Mon, Dec 22 30 @Texas L 71 - 94 1% -11  0% 2 - 13 D+ -5 C -0 B- B- F D+ -5 F+ A+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 353 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 66% +6  81% 3 - 13 1 - 0 C +0 F -15 F D- D- A+ +16 A A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 238 Howard W 69 - 57 31% -2  33% 4 - 13 2 - 0 C+ +5 F -10 C- F+ F A+ +14 A- B- A+
 Mon, Jan 12 307 @Norfolk St. W 74 - 70 26% +0  41% 5 - 13 3 - 0 C- -2 B- +5 D D+ B+ D -7 A F F
 Sat, Jan 17 364 Coppin St. W 70 - 67 83% -0  52% 6 - 13 4 - 0 F -20 D -5 F A+ D- F -14 D- F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 359 @Delaware St. L 57 - 65 50% -6  22% 6 - 14 4 - 1 F -20 F -11 F F D+ F+ -10 F C+ F
 Mon, Feb 2 339 @NC Central L 63 - 65 36% -4  5% 6 - 15 4 - 2 D -11 F+ -9 C A+ F C- -2 F A+ C
 Wed, Feb 4 358 @South Carolina St. L 54 - 63 49% -10  9% 6 - 16 4 - 3 F -21 F -21 D- D+ F C -1 F C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 353 @Morgan St. L 71 - 79 43% -2  13% 6 - 17 4 - 4 F -19 D- -7 F F B- F -12 D- D+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 238 @Howard L 60 - 71 15%
 Mon, Feb 16 307 Norfolk St. L 65 - 66 47%
 Sat, Feb 21 364 @Coppin St. W 69 - 65 65%
 Sat, Feb 28 358 South Carolina St. W 70 - 64 71%
 Mon, Mar 2 339 NC Central W 68 - 66 58%
 Thu, Mar 5 359 Delaware St. W 65 - 59 71%
Totals 9 - 20 7 - 7 -12 F -9 F D D+ C- -3 F+ C F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D+ C+ F+ D 38% 26% 36% D+ D C- D D+ F F C F+ D+ D+ B- C C 39% 17% 44% D+ C- C- D D C- D+ D+ D+
0.96 54% 39% 28% -4 -1 0.92 29% 0.9 .26 23% .23 73% .16 1.14 61% 35% 34% 0 0 1.04 32% 1.1 .36 16% .33 74% .17
Nov
3		 Georgia Tech F D- C+ F F+ 33% 28% 39% D+ F+ D+ D+ D+ F F+ F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% F+ A+ B+ F D+ B- C- A+ B+
0.74 47% 38% 22% -10 -1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 27% .22 55% .12 0.80 37% 67% 19% -16 +1 0.73 28% 1.4 .40 19% .32 50% .16
Nov
5		 Georgia F F+ F F F 28% 30% 43% F F A- F D- F B+ F D D+ C- A+ A+ A+ 40% 2% 58% F+ A+ F D- F C- F F F
0.39 45% 8% 6% -30 -2 0.38 40% 0.5 .21 42% .30 46% .14 1.27 63% 0% 20% -11 +3 0.85 54% 1.2 .65 14% .45 83% .38
Nov
11		 Nebraska F A+ F D D+ 12% 45% 43% F D- C F D F+ D A+ C- A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 10% 52% C- A+ C- C C- D D F D-
0.75 83% 23% 29% -7 -5 0.78 26% 0.5 .13 24% .18 78% .14 1.03 80% 0% 15% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.1 .32 10% .30 83% .25
Nov
14		 Creighton F D A+ F D- 27% 39% 34% F F+ F F F F F A+ D D- F B+ B C- 38% 12% 50% D- C- F C+ F C- A- B- A-
0.70 50% 53% 13% -7 -3 0.82 19% 0.7 .13 28% .13 83% .11 1.30 80% 33% 31% +6 +1 1.15 46% 1.0 .46 14% .20 73% .14
Nov
18		 Longwood D+ A+ D B A 33% 22% 44% D- B+ A+ F C- F F F F C+ B+ B+ A+ A 46% 27% 27% C A- F D- F A- F F F
1.03 89% 33% 38% +12 -1 1.24 44% 0.5 .23 30% .26 47% .12 1.02 50% 31% 23% -10 0 0.81 41% 1.1 .43 24% .55 88% .49
Nov
21		 Canisius F+ F C- B- F+ 19% 30% 51% F F C C C F D F+ D- D+ B- B+ F F 30% 23% 48% C+ F C- F F C- A- C- B+
0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17 1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15
Nov
22		 Binghamton F+ D- A+ D- F+ 48% 16% 36% C+ D- A+ F C+ F D+ F F B A+ B A+ A+ 54% 15% 31% F A+ F D+ F A+ F D+ F
1.06 52% 57% 31% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.9 .38 20% .29 50% .15 0.87 38% 33% 17% -19 +2 0.67 41% 0.9 .35 27% .51 77% .39
Nov
25		 Hampton C F D- B- F+ 40% 29% 31% D F+ D+ A+ B A+ B- A- B+ F D+ C F+ F 38% 28% 33% D+ F+ A+ F D+ F F D+ F
1.11 50% 31% 36% -4 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .35 11% .42 74% .31 1.21 60% 36% 38% +3 -1 1.05 24% 1.4 .34 13% .62 76% .47
Dec
2		 East Carolina F+ A A+ F B- 22% 42% 36% F C- D- D- F+ D+ F F F D- D+ A+ F F 43% 20% 38% D F D B C C- F C+ F
0.95 70% 53% 25% +4 -4 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 19% .15 57% .08 1.15 59% 25% 47% +5 0 1.13 36% 0.9 .32 17% .47 70% .33
Dec
6		 American F+ A+ B- A+ A+ 45% 35% 20% F+ A+ F C F F F D- F F A F F F 47% 4% 49% F F F A- D+ D A+ C A
0.96 83% 43% 50% +18 -1 1.35 11% 1.0 .11 30% .14 67% .09 1.25 44% 50% 50% +6 +3 1.19 35% 0.8 .26 14% .15 75% .11
Dec
9		 Virginia D+ D- A+ F C+ 56% 21% 23% A B D- A+ C F F A+ F C- B- A F C- 49% 5% 45% F D+ A+ D A F B+ C- B
0.90 45% 64% 25% -5 +1 0.94 21% 1.2 .24 22% .15 88% .13 1.25 56% 33% 44% +5 +3 1.18 28% 1.2 .34 10% .25 73% .18
Dec
12		 N.C. A&T C+ D- A+ F D 35% 32% 33% F+ D- B+ A A B+ D A C- F+ F A+ C- D+ 31% 22% 47% D+ D+ D- F F C- F F+ F
1.14 50% 61% 21% -2 -2 0.95 33% 1.2 .40 10% .27 76% .21 1.18 71% 20% 33% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.4 .47 19% .67 82% .55
Dec
14		 Virginia Tech F F A+ F D- 28% 20% 52% C D- C+ F D- D- C F D D F A+ F F 36% 21% 43% C F A+ F A- D A B+ A+
0.82 46% 78% 17% -9 -1 0.83 33% 0.7 .23 22% .24 58% .14 1.26 79% 18% 48% +12 0 1.26 18% 1.6 .29 12% .23 69% .16
Dec
17		 Wagner F A- A+ F+ B+ 42% 20% 38% D+ B D+ F F F F F F F B- D B- C 34% 19% 47% C C B+ F F F F A F
0.98 68% 67% 29% +8 0 1.18 27% 0.3 .07 23% .28 64% .18 1.20 50% 44% 32% -3 0 0.96 26% 2.0 .51 8% .47 61% .28
Dec
22		 Texas C C- B C+ C+ 50% 21% 29% A- B- D+ A+ B- F B C B D+ D- F D F+ 43% 17% 40% D+ F+ D+ A+ A+ D F C+ F
1.01 54% 40% 36% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 20% .37 71% .27 1.33 70% 63% 37% +11 +1 1.26 41% 0.8 .31 13% .68 74% .50
Jan
3		 Morgan St. F C F F F 55% 13% 32% B- F D+ D- D- D- B D C+ A+ A D+ A+ A 26% 32% 43% B A A+ A+ A+ B+ B- B+ B+
0.99 62% 0% 20% -10 +2 0.87 32% 1.1 .35 18% .49 67% .33 0.73 42% 40% 20% -12 -2 0.72 19% 0.6 .11 22% .31 69% .21
Jan
10		 Howard F D F B C- 46% 13% 41% C+ C- F A+ F+ F B+ A+ A A+ B+ A+ C A 54% 16% 30% D A- A- D B- A+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 52% 17% 37% -4 +1 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 24% .39 82% .32 0.77 44% 0% 33% -14 +2 0.78 28% 1.2 .33 30% .21 64% .14
Jan
12		 Norfolk St. B- B F C D 44% 14% 42% C+ D B- F+ D+ B+ A+ B+ A+ D C A- A+ A+ 44% 26% 31% D+ A D- F F F F D+ F
1.16 68% 0% 33% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .68 76% .51 1.10 53% 30% 17% -12 0 0.77 34% 2.0 .69 14% .60 70% .42
Jan
17		 Coppin St. D F D+ D- F 34% 27% 39% F+ F C+ A+ A+ D- C+ A+ A+ F D D C+ F+ 26% 26% 49% B- D- F A F A+ F F F
1.15 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 38% 1.5 .58 20% .39 95% .37 1.10 60% 40% 32% -1 -2 0.97 57% 0.8 .43 33% .51 95% .49
Jan
31		 Delaware St. F C- C F F 58% 29% 13% D+ F F A- F D+ D A+ B F+ D C F F 33% 40% 26% B F A+ F C+ F F A F
0.93 62% 38% 0% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.3 .17 20% .28 93% .26 1.06 57% 35% 64% +10 -3 1.17 14% 1.3 .18 15% .44 61% .27
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 NC Central F+ F D+ A+ C- 44% 21% 36% C C A- A A+ F F D- F C- F F D- F 43% 14% 43% F+ F C+ A+ A+ C C A+ B+
1.02 41% 38% 57% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.3 .58 36% .23 67% .15 1.05 74% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.25 27% 0.1 .03 18% .31 63% .20
Feb
4		 South Carolina St. F F+ F+ C F+ 49% 9% 43% B- D- D+ C D+ F F F F C F F B- F 21% 38% 41% B+ F B F+ C- D F F F
0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18 0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36
Feb
7		 Morgan St. D- D F F F 51% 22% 27% D+ F C+ F F B- F A+ C- F F+ A- C- D- 41% 29% 31% D D- C- D- D+ F F+ F+ F
1.06 56% 27% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 13% .36 86% .31 1.18 65% 29% 33% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 9% .41 80% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 2.3 1.7 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 2.5 7.5 0.3 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.8 12.0 3.5 16.2 3rd
4th 0.3 9.6 11.7 0.2 21.8 4th
5th 0.4 7.3 17.1 2.0 26.7 5th
6th 0.5 5.4 10.7 3.5 0.0 20.1 6th
7th 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.9 6.2 18.4 31.0 28.2 13.4 2.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 84.2% 1.7    0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
9-5 17.2% 2.3    0.0 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.1
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 2.0% 17.6% 17.6% 16.0 0.3 1.6
9-5 13.4% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 1.6 11.8
8-6 28.2% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 2.1 26.1
7-7 31.0% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 1.7 29.2
6-8 18.4% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.8 17.6
5-9 6.2% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 6.0
4-10 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 16.0 93.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 0.6%