Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+15.5#19
Expected Predictive Rating+14.1#33
Pace85.3#4
Improvement+1.1#104

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#20
First Shot+5.4#50
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#24
Layup/Dunks+5.2#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#155
Freethrows+1.6#90
Improvement+1.5#66

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#30
First Shot+7.0#19
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#230
Layups/Dunks+1.8#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#91
Freethrows+2.5#54
Improvement-0.4#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.4% 1.7% 0.5%
Top 2 Seed 5.0% 6.1% 1.8%
Top 4 Seed 23.6% 27.0% 13.4%
Top 6 Seed 48.3% 53.0% 34.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 85.4% 88.2% 77.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 84.3% 87.1% 76.0%
Average Seed 6.2 6.0 6.9
.500 or above 98.9% 99.5% 97.3%
.500 or above in Conference 76.7% 79.2% 69.1%
Conference Champion 10.7% 12.1% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 1.9%
First Four4.0% 3.7% 5.0%
First Round83.7% 86.6% 75.1%
Second Round59.9% 63.2% 49.8%
Sweet Sixteen27.6% 30.3% 19.2%
Elite Eight11.3% 12.5% 7.6%
Final Four4.5% 5.0% 3.0%
Championship Game1.7% 1.9% 0.8%
National Champion0.7% 0.8% 0.2%

Next Game: Cincinnati (Neutral) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 8
Quad 26 - 212 - 10
Quad 33 - 015 - 10
Quad 48 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 292 Bellarmine W 104-59 98%     1 - 0 +34.7 +13.7 +17.2
  Wed, Nov 5 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94-29 99%     2 - 0 +50.2 +11.3 +35.4
  Sun, Nov 9 325 Morehead St. W 120-81 99%     3 - 0 +26.3 +26.1 -4.6
  Fri, Nov 14 135 Georgia Tech W 92-87 93%     4 - 0 +3.8 +7.0 -4.0
  Mon, Nov 17 343 Florida A&M W 87-57 99%     5 - 0 +15.6 +0.9 +12.3
  Fri, Nov 21 77 Xavier W 78-77 78%     6 - 0 +8.5 +6.2 +2.2
  Sun, Nov 23 33 Clemson L 94-97 OT 58%     6 - 1 +10.3 +12.3 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 29 271 Tennessee Tech W 123-81 98%     7 - 1 +33.3 +22.7 +2.4
  Tue, Dec 2 101 @Florida St. W 107-73 77%     8 - 1 +41.9 +27.7 +10.6
  Sat, Dec 13 68 Cincinnati W 85-78 75%    
  Thu, Dec 18 289 Western Carolina W 97-71 99%    
  Mon, Dec 22 318 West Georgia W 96-69 99.5%   
  Mon, Dec 29 227 LIU Brooklyn W 96-74 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 26 Auburn W 88-84 65%    
  Tue, Jan 6 14 @Florida L 83-89 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 87 @South Carolina W 83-77 72%    
  Wed, Jan 14 57 Mississippi W 84-76 78%    
  Sat, Jan 17 20 Arkansas W 87-84 61%    
  Tue, Jan 20 37 @Missouri L 85-86 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 46 @Texas W 86-84 56%    
  Tue, Jan 27 17 Tennessee W 82-80 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 39 Texas A&M W 91-84 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 31 @LSU L 84-85 46%    
  Wed, Feb 11 14 Florida W 86-85 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 53 @Oklahoma W 87-85 58%    
  Tue, Feb 17 21 @Kentucky L 84-87 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 46 Texas W 89-81 75%    
  Wed, Feb 25 11 @Vanderbilt L 85-91 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 87 South Carolina W 86-74 87%    
  Tue, Mar 3 10 Alabama L 96-97 49%    
  Sat, Mar 7 78 @Mississippi St. W 87-82 68%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.3 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 10.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.5 3.0 0.8 0.1 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.5 4.2 0.8 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 5.2 1.3 0.1 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.9 2.3 0.1 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.3 3.2 3.9 0.4 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 4.4 1.2 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.4 3.1 2.3 0.2 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.2 0.0 4.2 11th
12th 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.2 3.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.5 0.0 2.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 16th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 3.8 6.6 9.2 11.8 13.8 14.3 13.0 10.3 6.9 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 94.6% 1.7    1.5 0.2 0.0
15-3 78.9% 3.2    2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0
14-4 47.8% 3.3    1.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.3% 1.7    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.7% 10.7 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 57.1% 42.9% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 100.0% 36.7% 63.3% 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.8% 100.0% 26.3% 73.7% 2.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 4.0% 100.0% 20.7% 79.3% 2.8 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 6.9% 100.0% 17.5% 82.5% 3.5 0.2 0.9 2.3 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-5 10.3% 100.0% 14.2% 85.8% 4.3 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.3 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 13.0% 99.9% 10.7% 89.2% 5.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 4.0 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 14.3% 99.4% 5.8% 93.7% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.0 4.3 3.4 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.4%
10-8 13.8% 97.6% 3.6% 94.0% 7.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.7 3.7 3.3 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.3 97.5%
9-9 11.8% 92.0% 2.3% 89.7% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.2 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.9 91.8%
8-10 9.2% 72.8% 1.5% 71.3% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.3 1.4 0.0 2.5 72.4%
7-11 6.6% 43.4% 1.1% 42.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 3.7 42.8%
6-12 3.8% 13.6% 0.4% 13.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.3 13.2%
5-13 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 1.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 1.0%
4-14 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 1.1 0.3%
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 85.4% 7.5% 78.0% 6.2 1.4 3.7 7.7 10.9 12.3 12.4 11.2 9.5 7.0 5.6 3.6 0.1 0.0 14.6 84.3%