Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.3 36
Expected Predictive Rating +14.1 39
Pace 81.2 4
Improvement -4.7 344

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ #33 B B+ B+ B B
Defense B #41 B+ C+ B+ B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 88 65% 49 +5.0 29
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 322 44% 42 -2.0 279
Three Pointers 45% 112 33% 207 +1.4 131
1st FG Attempt 1.11 60 +4.5 60
Second Chance 37.6% 19 1.06 134 0.40 41
Turnovers 14.3% 38
Freethrows 0.34 86 75% 81 0.25 64
Total Offense +8.4 33

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 156 50% 22 +2.5 97
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 139 36% 113 +0.0 192
Three Pointers 39% 248 31% 77 +2.5 80
1st FG Attempt 0.92 44 +5.0 44
Second Chance 32.0% 241 0.91 37 0.29 118
Turnovers 19.9% 35
Freethrows 0.25 28 69% 44 0.17 22
Total Defense +5.8 41

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.2 39 -0.1 155
Shot Type Accuracy +3.1 78 -4.8 36
Possession Length 14.3 4 17.8 268
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.35 1 0.18 217
Improvement -3.0 #322 -1.7 #283

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 1% 1% 0%
Top 6 Seed 8% 13% 3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 80% 88% 70%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 80% 88% 70%
Average Seed 8.6 8.2 9.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 56% 73% 36%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four11% 7% 15%
First Round75% 85% 64%
Second Round39% 46% 31%
Sweet Sixteen10% 12% 7%
Elite Eight3% 4% 2%
Final Four1% 1% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Away) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 35 - 8
Quad 26 - 211 - 10
Quad 32 - 113 - 11
Quad 49 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 283 Bellarmine W 104 - 59 98% +18  93% 1 - 0 A+ +35 B+ +9 B- D- A+ A+ +23 A+ A- A+
 Wed, Nov 5 348 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 29 99% +27  100% 2 - 0 A+ +50 B+ +9 F A+ B A+ +37 A+ B A+
 Sun, Nov 9 292 Morehead St. W 120 - 81 98% +21  99% 3 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +23 A+ A+ A- C+ +1 A F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 131 Georgia Tech W 92 - 87 92% +3  71% 4 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +2 C- A C- C+ +1 C+ B C+
 Mon, Nov 17 328 Florida A&M W 87 - 57 99% +20  98% 5 - 0 A- +16 C -0 F A+ B- A+ +14 C+ B A+
 Fri, Nov 21 83 Xavier W 78 - 77 77% +4  72% 6 - 0 B- +8 C+ +3 D+ A- B+ B +5 A D D+
 Sun, Nov 23 38 Clemson L 94 - 97 OT 51% +0  46% 6 - 1 B +11 A +13 A+ B- C+ C -2 B- F C+
 Sat, Nov 29 320 Tennessee Tech W 123 - 81 99% +23  99% 7 - 1 A+ +29 A+ +17 A+ D+ A- B +4 B B- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 93 @Florida St. W 107 - 73 72% +19  94% 8 - 1 A+ +42 A+ +25 A+ A+ B A+ +14 A- A- C
 Sat, Dec 13 45 Cincinnati W 84 - 65 60% +1  44% 9 - 1 A+ +31 A +12 B- A+ C A+ +17 A+ B+ B
 Thu, Dec 18 263 Western Carolina W 112 - 82 97% +16  99% 10 - 1 A +21 A+ +15 A+ C+ B- C+ +2 F C B
 Mon, Dec 22 317 West Georgia W 103 - 74 99% +16  99% 11 - 1 A- +16 B- +4 D- A+ B+ B+ +8 B+ C+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 207 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 74 96% +1  41% 12 - 1 B +9 B +6 C+ A- C+ C+ +2 B- C C+
 Sat, Jan 3 28 Auburn W 104 - 100 OT 58% +1  60% 13 - 1 1 - 0 A- +16 A+ +15 A+ B A+ C +0 B B+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 4 @Florida L 77 - 92 13% -6  13% 13 - 2 1 - 1 B+ +11 B+ +7 C A- A B +5 B B- B-
 Sat, Jan 10 90 @South Carolina W 75 - 70 71% -1  33% 14 - 2 2 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 B F A- A- +8 B A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 65 Mississippi L 95 - 97 OT 80% -0  52% 14 - 3 2 - 2 C+ +3 A+ +15 A B- A+ F -12 F+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 19 Arkansas W 90 - 76 47% +10  97% 15 - 3 3 - 2 A+ +29 B- +5 A B D A+ +22 A+ D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 20 48 @Missouri W 74 - 72 50% +2  65% 16 - 3 4 - 2 A- +16 B +6 C C B+ A +10 A- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 30 @Texas L 67 - 87 37% -3  49% 16 - 4 4 - 3 C- -2 C +1 C- A- F D+ -4 D- F B+
 Wed, Jan 28 18 Tennessee L 85 - 86 OT 47% +1  49% 16 - 5 4 - 4 B+ +14 A+ +19 A+ F+ A+ D+ -5 B+ D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 31 Texas A&M L 77 - 92 60% -11  0% 16 - 6 4 - 5 C- -3 C- -1 D C+ A+ C -1 C+ D- B+
 Sat, Feb 7 57 @LSU W 83 - 71 56% +1  52% 17 - 6 5 - 5 A+ +25 A+ +17 A+ A+ C- A- +8 A+ C+ A+
 Wed, Feb 11 4 Florida L 66 - 86 28% -13  0% 17 - 7 5 - 6 C +0 D+ -4 C+ C- C+ B +5 D- A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 14 54 @Oklahoma W 85 - 84 54%
 Tue, Feb 17 24 @Kentucky L 80 - 85 32%
 Sat, Feb 21 30 Texas W 87 - 84 59%
 Wed, Feb 25 14 @Vanderbilt L 83 - 90 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 90 South Carolina W 86 - 74 87%
 Tue, Mar 3 17 Alabama L 94 - 95 47%
 Sat, Mar 7 79 @Mississippi St. W 84 - 80 65%
Totals 21 - 10 9 - 9 +14 B+ +8 B B+ B+ B +6 B+ C+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ B+ C- B- 42% 13% 45% B B B+ C+ B+ B+ B- B- B B B+ C+ B- B+ 39% 22% 39% C B+ C- B C+ B+ B+ B B+
1.21 65% 44% 33% +3 +1 1.11 38% 1.1 .40 14% .34 75% .25 1.00 50% 36% 31% -5 0 0.92 32% 0.9 .29 20% .25 69% .23
Nov
3		 Bellarmine B+ B+ A+ D C- 52% 2% 46% A+ B- D- C- D- A+ C- A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ 45% 2% 53% F A+ B- A+ A- A+ A+ D- A+
1.36 72% 100% 32% +7 +3 1.23 28% 1.1 .31 8% .30 90% .27 0.77 54% 0% 29% -7 +3 0.94 17% 0.7 .11 29% .11 83% .09
Nov
5		 Maryland Eastern Shore B+ B- F F F 40% 2% 58% A F A+ B- A+ B A+ A A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 28% 30% 43% A- A+ F A+ B A+ F+ A+ B-
1.27 63% 0% 20% -11 +3 0.85 54% 1.2 .65 14% .45 83% .38 0.39 45% 8% 6% -30 -2 0.38 40% 0.5 .21 42% .30 46% .14
Nov
9		 Morehead St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 48% 5% 48% A- A+ B+ A+ A+ A- B B- B C+ A+ B C+ A+ 44% 22% 35% F+ A F F F B- C- A C+
1.50 72% 0% 45% +13 +3 1.33 43% 1.4 .59 11% .37 73% .27 1.01 38% 33% 32% -11 0 0.80 43% 1.3 .55 20% .31 65% .20
Nov
14		 Georgia Tech C+ A F F D+ 41% 17% 43% B+ C- A+ C A C- A+ B- A+ C+ A+ C F B- 49% 19% 32% F+ C+ D A+ B C+ F A D
1.10 68% 11% 26% -5 +1 0.93 42% 1.1 .44 17% .63 73% .46 1.04 45% 36% 47% 0 +1 1.03 37% 0.8 .31 18% .41 61% .25
Nov
17		 Florida A&M C A+ A+ F F 46% 10% 44% B F A+ C- A+ B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A F+ C+ B- 39% 20% 41% D C+ F A+ B A+ C+ A B
1.14 82% 60% 5% -6 +2 0.94 53% 0.9 .47 17% .55 83% .46 0.75 44% 44% 32% -5 0 0.91 36% 0.5 .17 33% .27 57% .16
Nov
21		 Xavier C+ A+ D F C- 28% 26% 46% D D+ C A+ A- B+ C+ B- C+ B A C+ B- A 25% 29% 45% B+ A D- C D D+ D A C
1.07 75% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.96 27% 1.2 .32 15% .29 72% .21 1.06 50% 38% 32% -3 -2 0.91 31% 1.0 .31 11% .29 63% .19
Nov
23		 Clemson A A+ B C- A+ 28% 25% 48% C- A+ C- A+ B- C+ A+ A- A+ C B- C+ F C 37% 30% 33% A+ B- F+ D- F C+ F+ D+ F+
1.13 82% 40% 31% +5 -1 1.10 21% 1.3 .26 18% .38 81% .31 1.17 57% 41% 42% +5 -1 1.09 36% 1.2 .43 16% .41 76% .31
Nov
29		 Tennessee Tech A+ B A+ A+ A+ 36% 6% 58% B+ A+ C+ D- D+ A- A F+ B B C- A- A+ B+ 54% 22% 25% F+ B A F B- F+ C D+ C-
1.42 65% 75% 51% +20 +2 1.45 33% 1.1 .36 12% .38 69% .26 0.93 57% 29% 19% -8 +1 0.88 21% 1.2 .26 16% .29 76% .22
Dec
2		 Florida St. A+ A+ A+ C+ A 45% 5% 50% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B B B B+ A+ A C- B- A 46% 14% 40% C- A- B+ B+ A- C B- A+ A
1.37 73% 67% 34% +9 +2 1.24 52% 1.4 .72 18% .33 76% .25 0.93 46% 38% 30% -8 +1 0.89 28% 1.0 .28 14% .27 50% .13
Dec
13		 Cincinnati A A+ C F B- 37% 25% 38% C B- B A+ A+ C A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C+ A+ B- A- B+ B D- A+ C
1.10 74% 38% 20% -2 -1 0.96 28% 1.7 .47 20% .42 77% .32 0.85 56% 25% 23% -11 -1 0.79 30% 0.9 .26 18% .34 57% .19
Dec
18		 Western Carolina A+ B A+ A+ A+ 49% 16% 35% B+ A+ C+ C- C+ B- A+ C+ A+ C+ D- F+ D- F 38% 26% 36% B F A+ F C B B- A+ B
1.39 64% 63% 56% +18 +1 1.41 31% 1.0 .31 14% .58 78% .45 1.02 64% 47% 38% +7 -1 1.14 18% 1.8 .32 20% .26 59% .15
Dec
22		 West Georgia B- D- C D- F 55% 8% 37% B+ D- A+ B A+ B+ A+ D- A- B+ A+ A+ F B+ 34% 33% 33% C- B+ A F C+ A- B- F D
1.23 53% 40% 30% -5 +3 0.98 46% 1.1 .50 12% .45 67% .30 0.88 33% 25% 40% -10 -2 0.79 23% 1.3 .30 20% .24 94% .23
Dec
29		 LIU Brooklyn B C- B C+ C+ 35% 14% 51% C C+ A- B- A- C+ A+ B- A+ C+ B- C A B+ 60% 19% 21% F B- D+ B C C+ F B- F
1.19 56% 43% 35% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.1 .46 17% .47 72% .34 0.99 53% 40% 27% -5 +2 0.96 38% 0.9 .33 21% .41 63% .25
Jan
3		 Auburn A+ B- A+ B+ A+ 41% 14% 45% B+ A+ C- A+ B A+ A+ D+ A+ C C+ F A+ B 47% 14% 40% D+ B F A+ B+ B F A D-
1.26 58% 75% 38% +8 +1 1.21 27% 1.3 .35 13% .49 71% .35 1.21 59% 75% 26% +1 +1 1.07 48% 0.7 .35 16% .52 67% .35
Jan
6		 Florida B+ F A+ F C 43% 30% 27% B- C B A+ A- A A- D B B B F A B 49% 16% 35% B- B D- A- B- B- C B- C+
0.99 37% 58% 24% -7 -1 0.86 24% 1.0 .24 12% .33 65% .22 1.18 57% 67% 25% -1 +1 1.04 48% 0.9 .41 17% .35 70% .25
Jan
10		 South Carolina B- A- A- D- B 40% 21% 40% B- B C+ F F A- A A- A+ A- C+ C+ B- B 37% 19% 44% C B B+ A+ A+ D+ D+ A C+
1.09 67% 45% 29% +2 0 1.06 30% 0.4 .11 12% .36 77% .28 1.02 58% 40% 30% -2 0 0.98 25% 0.6 .14 13% .35 71% .25
Jan
14		 Mississippi A+ F F+ A+ A- 36% 13% 51% A- A A+ F B- A+ A+ A A+ F B D- F F 23% 39% 38% B F+ D- F+ F C- C+ C+ B-
1.25 35% 29% 50% +3 +1 1.09 46% 0.8 .35 12% .51 76% .39 1.27 57% 46% 48% +11 -4 1.16 36% 1.3 .45 12% .28 74% .21
Jan
17		 Arkansas B- C A+ B- A- 43% 10% 47% A- A D+ A+ B D C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 51% 18% 31% D A+ D C D+ A+ A F+ B+
1.08 56% 50% 33% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.7 .42 20% .24 88% .21 0.91 48% 27% 26% -10 +1 0.84 38% 1.3 .48 22% .25 81% .20
Jan
20		 Missouri B D- B- B- C 29% 29% 42% D+ C A+ F C B+ A- A+ A+ A C+ A+ C- A 44% 17% 38% C A- C- A+ A+ C A+ F B+
1.09 47% 40% 36% -1 -2 0.96 44% 0.6 .26 15% .36 86% .31 1.06 61% 11% 35% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.7 .25 18% .21 92% .20
Jan
24		 Texas C B+ F F+ D+ 43% 18% 39% B+ C- A B- A- F A+ D A+ D+ F F B- F 33% 35% 31% A+ D- D- D- F B+ A+ C A+
1.02 63% 13% 29% -5 +1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .47 68% .32 1.32 82% 56% 31% +13 -2 1.24 44% 1.4 .60 18% .22 75% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Tennessee A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 36% 21% 43% C A+ D+ F F+ A+ B- B B D+ A- F+ D+ B- 32% 30% 38% A+ B+ F B+ D+ C- D- A+ C
1.23 70% 58% 38% +11 0 1.23 21% 0.6 .12 9% .32 70% .22 1.24 50% 47% 37% +2 -2 1.02 57% 0.9 .52 17% .44 60% .26
Jan
31		 Texas A&M C- D B- F+ D- 41% 19% 40% B- D B D+ C+ A+ F A F C B F D+ B- 45% 4% 51% D C+ D D D- B+ C+ F D-
1.00 50% 42% 28% -6 0 0.90 33% 0.8 .27 13% .15 80% .12 1.20 54% 100% 37% +3 +3 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 18% .32 95% .30
Feb
7		 LSU A+ A B- A A+ 40% 11% 49% A- A+ A+ A A+ C- A+ F B+ A- D A+ A+ A+ 39% 17% 43% C A+ F+ A C+ A+ F F+ F
1.26 67% 40% 41% +9 +1 1.22 44% 1.1 .50 17% .44 54% .24 1.08 67% 13% 25% -7 0 0.89 41% 1.0 .41 21% .46 83% .39
Feb
11		 Florida D+ B- F D C- 44% 11% 44% A+ C+ A- F C- C+ F B F+ B D C- F F+ 45% 13% 42% C+ D- A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ F A-
0.87 56% 0% 30% -8 +2 0.89 28% 0.4 .11 16% .17 73% .13 1.14 68% 43% 39% +8 +2 1.22 29% 1.0 .29 19% .24 80% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.6 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 0.5 2.0 4th
5th 0.6 3.2 0.1 3.9 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 1.8 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 7.7 0.4 9.7 7th
8th 0.3 7.7 5.9 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.1 3.9 12.0 1.1 17.1 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 12.0 6.3 0.1 20.6 10th
11th 0.0 1.9 9.9 9.6 1.2 22.7 11th
12th 0.2 1.8 1.3 0.1 3.3 12th
13th 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.5 4.1 13.5 25.9 28.9 18.7 7.2 1.3 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.3% 100.0% 5.4% 94.6% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 7.2% 99.3% 3.6% 95.7% 6.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.3%
10-8 18.7% 97.8% 3.3% 94.5% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.8 6.3 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.4 97.7%
9-9 28.9% 91.9% 1.8% 90.1% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 7.6 8.8 5.5 0.9 2.4 91.7%
8-10 25.9% 74.8% 0.8% 74.0% 9.8 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.1 7.5 5.4 6.5 74.6%
7-11 13.5% 48.2% 0.5% 47.7% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.7 4.3 7.0 48.0%
6-12 4.1% 19.0% 1.5% 17.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 3.3 17.8%
5-13 0.5% 2.2% 2.2% 11.0 0.0 0.4 2.2%
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 79.9% 1.8% 78.1% 8.6 20.1 79.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5% 100.0% 4.7 10.2 38.8 26.5 22.4 2.0
Lose Out 0.2%