Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.8 133
Expected Predictive Rating -0.1 161
Pace 75.1 31
Improvement -0.5 212

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 168 C+ B- C C- C-
Defense C+ 111 B C+ D+ C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 88 C+ 59% 134 +2.6 95
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 94 D+ 35% 289 +0.8 131
Three Pointers 33% 330 B+ 38% 25 -1.7 244
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 227 C+ +1.9 106
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 119
Second Chance C+ 32.4% 129 B- 1.10 73 B- 0.36 89
Turnovers C 17.3% 204
Freethrows C 0.30 194 D+ 69% 286 C- 0.21 218
Total Offense C -0.3 168

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 321 B 52% 46 +5.3 33
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 108 B 34% 57 +0.0 189
Three Pointers 45% 70 C+ 33% 149 -1.5 259
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.3 227 B +1.9 106
1st FG Attempt 0.94 59 B +3.8 58
Second Chance C+ 28.8% 102 C- 1.06 238 C+ 0.30 160
Turnovers D+ 15.7% 252
Freethrows C+ 0.29 141 B- 70% 87 C+ 0.20 112
Total Defense C+ +2.1 111

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.4 30 18.0 291
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 159 0.16 136
Improvement +4.2 #14 -4.8 #353

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 1% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 60% 25% 70%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Away) - 23.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 51 - 10
Quad 21 - 42 - 14
Quad 32 - 44 - 18
Quad 49 - 012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 347 Maryland Eastern Shore W 56 - 52 OT 94% +0  54% 1 - 0 D- -11 F -24 F C+ D- A+ +13 A- C A-
 Fri, Nov 7 350 Bryant W 74 - 45 94% +19  99% 2 - 0 B+ +13 F -13 C F F A+ +24 A+ A C
 Mon, Nov 10 270 SE Louisiana W 70 - 60 85% +0  37% 3 - 0 C +1 F -12 D A F A +12 B A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 36 @Georgia L 87 - 92 8% -3  22% 3 - 1 B+ +12 B- +5 B+ C+ B A- +8 A D+ B
 Tue, Nov 18 271 Georgia Southern W 68 - 66 85% -1  43% 4 - 1 D+ -7 F -18 F C F A +11 A D- B+
 Sun, Nov 23 318 West Georgia W 82 - 66 91% +3  61% 5 - 1 C+ +3 D+ -3 C+ A D- B +6 B- B+ F+
 Fri, Nov 28 97 DePaul L 61 - 75 37% -1  38% 5 - 2 D -9 D- -7 F A- B+ C- -3 C C D
 Sat, Nov 29 182 Drake L 74 - 84 62% -5  6% 5 - 3 D- -11 C+ +2 C+ C+ A+ F -14 C- F F
 Wed, Dec 3 79 Mississippi St. L 73 - 85 42% -8  8% 5 - 4 D -8 D+ -4 D+ D+ A+ C- -3 B- F B-
 Sat, Dec 6 189 Monmouth W 79 - 67 74% +2  70% 6 - 4 B- +7 C+ +2 B- C D B +5 A C- F
 Tue, Dec 16 178 Marist W 87 - 76 72% +8  73% 7 - 4 B- +7 A+ +17 A+ A D- F+ -10 C- F F+
 Sat, Dec 20 319 Lafayette W 95 - 81 91% +7  90% 8 - 4 C +1 A +14 B- A+ B- F -13 F A F
 Sun, Dec 28 327 Florida A&M W 89 - 65 92% +17  99% 9 - 4 B +10 B- +4 A+ A+ F B +5 B B- F
 Wed, Dec 31 3 @Duke L 79 - 85 2% -0  45% 9 - 5 0 - 1 A +21 A+ +15 A+ F F+ B +6 B+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 132 Boston College W 65 - 53 61% +2  64% 10 - 5 1 - 1 B +11 D- -7 B- F+ F A+ +18 A+ B- D+
 Tue, Jan 6 67 Syracuse L 72 - 82 37% -9  6% 10 - 6 1 - 2 C- -5 D- -7 D- C+ A+ B- +3 A+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 41 @Miami (FL) L 81 - 91 10% -10  0% 10 - 7 1 - 3 B- +6 B+ +8 B C+ C+ C- -2 C+ B F
 Wed, Jan 14 98 Pittsburgh L 66 - 89 49% -15  2% 10 - 8 1 - 4 F -21 D- -7 D+ B+ F F -15 F+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 17 27 @North Carolina St. W 78 - 74 7% +1  54% 11 - 8 2 - 4 A +22 B +6 A+ B+ D A+ +17 A+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 38 Clemson L 63 - 77 19% -6  15% 11 - 9 2 - 5 C- -3 C- -1 C+ C A+ C- -2 D+ A+ C
 Tue, Jan 27 56 @Virginia Tech L 65 - 71 15% -5  19% 11 - 10 2 - 6 B- +7 D+ -4 C+ D+ D+ A +11 A+ C F+
 Sat, Jan 31 26 North Carolina L 75 - 91 16% -12  1% 11 - 11 2 - 7 C- -4 C+ +2 B A D D+ -5 A D- F
 Wed, Feb 4 73 @California L 85 - 90 20% -6  8% 11 - 12 2 - 8 B- +6 B +7 B A- A+ C -1 F A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 74 @Stanford L 72 - 95 20% -7  6% 11 - 13 2 - 9 D- -12 C- -1 D+ A- B- F+ -11 F F C+
 Wed, Feb 11 63 Wake Forest L 67 - 83 36% -8  10% 11 - 14 2 - 10 D -11 C- -2 D+ C+ A+ F+ -10 F C+ C-
 Sat, Feb 14 83 @Notre Dame L 70 - 78 23%
 Wed, Feb 18 23 Virginia L 67 - 79 14%
 Sat, Feb 21 11 @Louisville L 71 - 92 3%
 Sat, Feb 28 95 Florida St. L 80 - 81 49%
 Wed, Mar 4 73 California L 75 - 78 40%
 Sat, Mar 7 38 @Clemson L 63 - 78 8%
Totals 12 - 19 3 - 15 +2 F +0 D+ C+ C- B +2 B+ D+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ D+ B+ C+ 42% 25% 33% C- C+ C+ B- B- C C D+ C- C+ B B C+ B 33% 23% 45% B- B C+ C- C+ D+ C+ B- C+
1.08 59% 35% 38% +2 0 1.05 32% 1.1 .36 17% .30 69% .21 1.06 52% 34% 33% -3 -1 0.94 29% 1.1 .30 16% .29 70% .21
Nov
3		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F A+ F F 37% 12% 51% B- F D A+ C+ D- C- F F A+ A- C A+ A- 33% 28% 39% B- A- B- D C A- C+ A+ B+
0.80 37% 67% 19% -16 +1 0.73 28% 1.4 .40 19% .32 50% .16 0.74 47% 38% 22% -10 -1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 27% .22 55% .12
Nov
7		 Bryant F B F A+ C+ 39% 25% 37% F+ C F C+ F F F F F A+ B- B+ A+ A+ 23% 13% 64% B A+ A A A C C- A- C+
1.00 64% 21% 43% +3 0 1.07 20% 1.0 .20 18% .16 60% .10 0.61 50% 29% 12% -24 0 0.53 20% 0.8 .16 22% .28 69% .19
Nov
10		 SE Louisiana F D D- B- D 36% 31% 33% D D C- A+ A F A C- A- A A+ C B- B- 26% 31% 43% A- B B A+ A+ A+ B+ F C+
0.92 53% 31% 36% -3 -2 0.93 30% 1.6 .47 26% .46 73% .34 0.79 43% 35% 30% -7 -2 0.83 23% 0.4 .10 26% .27 80% .21
Nov
14		 Georgia B- F+ C A+ B 49% 19% 32% B B+ B D+ C+ B A+ F A A- D A+ A A+ 41% 17% 43% B- A D C D+ B F B- F
1.04 45% 36% 47% 0 +1 1.03 37% 0.8 .31 18% .41 61% .25 1.10 68% 11% 26% -5 +1 0.93 42% 1.1 .44 17% .63 73% .46
Nov
18		 Georgia Southern F A F F F 40% 16% 44% C- F B D- C F A+ F A+ A A+ A D+ A+ 36% 5% 58% D A D- C- D- B+ A A+ A+
0.90 71% 29% 16% -9 +1 0.86 41% 0.9 .38 29% .56 67% .38 0.88 20% 33% 34% -14 +2 0.78 33% 1.1 .37 19% .25 53% .13
Nov
23		 West Georgia D+ B+ B D C+ 50% 18% 32% C C+ B+ A- A D- C- F D- B D+ C A+ C+ 25% 33% 42% B- B- A+ F B+ F+ C A+ B+
1.14 68% 44% 31% +5 +1 1.14 38% 1.2 .44 18% .32 58% .19 0.92 57% 37% 25% -6 -3 0.84 18% 1.4 .25 12% .27 53% .14
Nov
28		 DePaul D- C+ F F F 43% 26% 31% C+ F B- A A- B+ F+ A D+ C- B- F B C+ 41% 18% 41% D+ C B F C D B- F D+
0.91 57% 21% 12% -15 0 0.70 33% 1.2 .38 16% .25 79% .20 1.12 55% 56% 30% 0 0 1.02 27% 1.4 .37 15% .30 82% .25
Nov
29		 Drake C+ C+ F A+ C 40% 21% 40% B- C+ D+ A- C+ A+ C F F F C C+ C C+ 57% 11% 33% F C- D F F F F D+ F
1.14 62% 18% 43% +3 0 1.08 27% 1.1 .30 9% .30 39% .12 1.29 58% 40% 33% 0 +3 1.07 29% 1.7 .48 9% .46 74% .34
Dec
3		 Mississippi St. D+ F C B D 35% 29% 37% C+ D+ B F D+ A+ B- F C C- A F A B- 35% 23% 42% C B- A- F F B- F+ F F
0.97 32% 39% 35% -8 -1 0.83 31% 0.6 .20 7% .29 65% .19 1.13 50% 67% 27% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.8 .47 17% .35 77% .27
Dec
6		 Monmouth C+ C+ A- B+ B 48% 24% 28% C- B- C C- C D A+ A A+ B A+ A- C A 38% 28% 34% C+ A D+ C+ C- F A- A A
1.12 59% 45% 38% +4 0 1.11 33% 0.9 .30 21% .47 81% .38 0.95 39% 29% 33% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.0 .33 8% .23 67% .15
Dec
16		 Marist A+ A A A+ A+ 34% 44% 22% F A+ A+ C+ A D- D A- C F+ A B- F D 24% 35% 41% A C- F F F F+ C A+ A
1.27 71% 45% 73% +20 -3 1.36 42% 1.0 .42 22% .32 76% .24 1.11 46% 37% 41% +1 -3 0.98 32% 1.5 .49 15% .24 50% .12
Dec
20		 Lafayette A C- F+ A+ B+ 39% 31% 30% D B- B A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F D+ F C- F 30% 13% 57% C+ F B- A+ A F D- F F+
1.34 57% 29% 56% +7 -1 1.13 38% 1.5 .56 13% .48 87% .42 1.14 59% 57% 34% +3 0 1.09 23% 0.5 .11 11% .33 76% .25
Dec
28		 Florida A&M B- A B- A+ A+ 67% 16% 18% A A+ A+ A- A+ F A- C A- B B- C- A- B- 25% 27% 48% B+ B D+ A B- F B- A+ A+
1.20 70% 43% 63% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.1 .48 27% .41 77% .31 0.88 53% 38% 28% -6 -2 0.87 30% 0.6 .18 15% .25 38% .10
Dec
31		 Duke A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 29% 35% 35% D- A+ D+ F F F+ B- A+ A- B B F C+ B 30% 17% 52% A+ B+ F A+ A+ C+ F B F
1.10 80% 39% 56% +18 -3 1.33 19% 0.0 .00 24% .24 85% .20 1.18 57% 63% 33% +4 0 1.09 48% 0.7 .34 17% .58 69% .40
Jan
3		 Boston College D- A+ F D- B 44% 31% 24% D+ B- A- F F+ F A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 28% 23% 49% C+ A+ B- C+ B- D+ D C+ D+
0.92 70% 21% 27% -2 -1 0.96 35% 0.4 .13 20% .51 69% .35 0.75 33% 25% 15% -24 -1 0.53 27% 0.9 .25 14% .33 65% .21
Jan
6		 Syracuse D- C+ F F D- 45% 27% 27% C- D- D+ A+ C+ A+ A D A- B- C+ A+ F A 31% 35% 35% A+ A+ F+ F F A- F F F
0.95 56% 20% 20% -12 0 0.78 27% 1.4 .37 12% .39 69% .27 1.09 60% 18% 41% -3 -2 0.92 38% 1.4 .51 20% .51 74% .38
Jan
10		 Miami (FL) B+ A C+ A A- 31% 45% 24% F B C+ C+ C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ D C 35% 19% 46% A- C+ A+ F B F F B F
1.09 67% 36% 42% +5 -4 1.04 26% 1.1 .29 19% .45 85% .38 1.22 78% 20% 38% +6 0 1.13 25% 1.4 .34 11% .48 66% .32
Jan
14		 Pittsburgh D- D- F C+ D 49% 16% 35% B+ D+ A+ D+ B+ F C F D+ F C D- F F 37% 20% 43% B- F+ C+ F F D- A F B-
0.97 50% 25% 35% -5 +1 0.94 38% 0.9 .32 22% .28 67% .19 1.31 60% 45% 43% +8 0 1.19 34% 1.5 .50 13% .20 83% .17
Jan
17		 North Carolina St. B C A+ A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% B- A+ C- A+ B+ D A+ F B A+ A+ A+ C- A+ 39% 11% 50% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ C
1.05 55% 57% 45% +9 +1 1.21 24% 1.4 .33 23% .49 50% .25 1.00 48% 0% 37% -6 +1 0.93 20% 1.0 .20 12% .38 64% .25
Jan
24		 Clemson C- F C- A+ B- 22% 37% 41% F C+ C+ D C A+ C+ D C C- D+ C+ F D 32% 19% 49% A- D+ C+ A+ A+ C A+ D A
0.95 36% 33% 40% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.9 .22 14% .30 71% .21 1.16 65% 40% 42% +9 0 1.19 28% 0.4 .13 15% .23 77% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Virginia Tech D+ B+ C F B- 43% 28% 28% C C+ C+ F D+ D+ A- C- B+ A A A+ A+ A+ 31% 25% 44% B+ A+ C C C F+ F C+ F+
0.93 65% 38% 23% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.8 .25 20% .30 71% .21 1.01 50% 15% 26% -13 -1 0.73 33% 1.1 .38 11% .42 73% .31
Jan
31		 North Carolina C+ D+ D A+ B+ 44% 40% 16% C- B C+ A+ A D A A+ A+ D+ D B+ A+ A 37% 23% 40% B A B- F D- F A+ F A+
1.04 50% 30% 63% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.3 .35 17% .28 82% .23 1.27 67% 33% 27% -2 0 0.97 33% 1.4 .47 3% .17 92% .16
Feb
4		 California B C A+ D+ B- 48% 10% 43% A- B D+ A+ A- A+ F F F C B C- F F 23% 32% 45% A F B+ A+ A+ B+ F A- F
1.10 57% 50% 30% -2 +2 1.02 24% 1.6 .38 10% .20 50% .10 1.17 55% 40% 57% +15 -3 1.28 22% 0.5 .11 18% .62 72% .44
Feb
7		 Stanford C- D F+ D+ D 52% 25% 23% B D+ B A A- B- D F F+ F+ F C F F 40% 15% 45% B+ F D+ F F C+ C+ F D
0.99 52% 29% 31% -7 0 0.89 31% 1.3 .41 18% .29 65% .18 1.31 71% 38% 42% +11 +1 1.25 38% 1.4 .52 17% .31 89% .28
Feb
11		 Wake Forest C- F F A+ C- 38% 27% 35% D D+ C B- C+ A+ F F F F+ C- D- F F 28% 13% 60% C F A- F C+ C- F A+ C-
1.03 33% 20% 53% -5 -1 0.91 30% 1.1 .33 12% .16 56% .09 1.27 62% 50% 46% +14 0 1.30 26% 1.4 .37 14% .39 64% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.6 13th
14th 0.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 4.0 14th
15th 0.2 6.1 4.9 0.1 11.3 15th
16th 0.2 6.6 14.9 1.4 23.1 16th
17th 3.9 19.5 7.2 0.1 30.7 17th
18th 15.9 12.3 0.6 28.8 18th
Total 20.0 38.6 29.2 10.3 1.8 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 1.8% 1.8
5-13 10.3% 10.3
4-14 29.2% 29.2
3-15 38.6% 38.6
2-16 20.0% 20.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 20.0%