DePaul
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.3 #99
Expected Predictive Rating +5.9 #91
Pace 68.0 #215
Improvement +4.5 #25

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #144 C C C+ C+ C-
Defense #58 B- B B C B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #229 1.18 #156 -0.7 #207
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #138 0.86 #50 +1.9 #84
Three Pointers 41% #185 1.02 #187 -0.1 #183
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #148 +1.1 #146
Freethrows 19.0 #116 71% #232 13.4 #146
Second Chance 28.6% #240 1.16 #47 0.33 #145
Turnovers 15.8% #139
Total Offense +0.6 #144

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #218 1.01 #26 +3.5 #72
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #43 0.73 #129 -1.8 #316
Three Pointers 36% #302 1.09 #272 +1.1 #136
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #91 +2.8 #91
Freethrows 18.5 #228 70% #80 13.0 #200
Second Chance 30.6% #182 0.91 #32 0.28 #88
Turnovers 18.8% #58
Total Defense +4.6 #58

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #240 -1.6% #59
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.9% #133 -3.9% #106
Possession Length 18.0 #241 17.5 #212
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #129 0.11 #26
Improvement +3.3 #30 +1.2 #108

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.5% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Average Seed 10.9 10.7 11.3
.500 or above 40.4% 55.9% 28.7%
.500 or above in Conference 10.4% 17.5% 5.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.9% 7.2% 18.9%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Home) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 10
Quad 25 - 65 - 15
Quad 34 - 19 - 16
Quad 46 - 116 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 357 Chicago St. W 92 - 62 97% +13  1 - 0 +13 +8 D+ B+ C +4 A D A+
 Fri, Nov 7 339 Stonehill W 72 - 64 96% +8  2 - 0 -6 -9 F D+ B +2 C+ C- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 201 Buffalo L 53 - 66 84% -12  2 - 1 -19 -24 F F F +5 A+ D+ C+
 Fri, Nov 14 60 Northwestern L 79 - 81 47% -3  2 - 2 +4 +10 B- A+ F -6 F A+ A
 Tue, Nov 18 363 Gardner-Webb W 93 - 62 99% +16  3 - 2 +9 -2 B- F F +7 B C A
 Sun, Nov 23 286 Detroit Mercy W 95 - 75 92% +6  4 - 2 +10 +21 A+ A+ A- -10 F B- A-
 Fri, Nov 28 113 Georgia Tech W 75 - 61 57% +1  5 - 2 +17 +9 A+ B C +9 A+ C- D
 Sat, Nov 29 43 LSU L 63 - 96 26% -23  5 - 3 -21 -4 C+ F F -17 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 334 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76 - 72 95% -1  6 - 3 -10 -8 F C A+ -2 F A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 9 360 Morgan St. W 92 - 49 98% +24  7 - 3 +24 +12 A+ C B- +13 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 103 @Wichita St. W 61 - 58 41% +1  8 - 3 +11 -2 A+ F F +13 A- A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 16 18 @St. John's L 66 - 79 9% -4  8 - 4 0 - 1 +7 +3 F B+ A+ +4 B- A+ C+
 Sun, Dec 21 7 Connecticut L 54 - 72 13% -5  8 - 5 0 - 2 -1 -8 C D C +7 A C A+
 Wed, Dec 31 33 @Villanova L 66 - 71 14% +2  8 - 6 0 - 3 +12 +4 C B C- +8 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 3 81 Xavier W 86 - 77 54% +3  9 - 6 1 - 3 +13 +17 A+ A- A -3 C- C C
 Tue, Jan 6 93 Georgetown W 56 - 50 60% +2  10 - 6 2 - 3 +9 -13 F D F +22 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 7 @Connecticut L 60 - 72 6% -15  10 - 7 2 - 4 +11 +5 A+ D- F +5 C+ A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 16 102 Marquette W 80 - 75 64% -1  11 - 7 3 - 4 +7 +15 C+ A+ A+ -8 F A+ D
 Tue, Jan 20 59 @Butler L 80 - 87 24% -8  11 - 8 3 - 5 +6 +10 F A+ C -5 F B- B-
 Sat, Jan 24 56 Seton Hall L 64 - 66 43%
 Wed, Jan 28 93 @Georgetown L 70 - 73 37%
 Sat, Jan 31 81 @Xavier L 72 - 77 32%
 Tue, Feb 3 18 St. John's L 70 - 79 20%
 Sat, Feb 7 65 @Providence L 78 - 84 28%
 Wed, Feb 11 44 Creighton L 72 - 75 39%
 Wed, Feb 18 56 @Seton Hall L 61 - 69 23%
 Sat, Feb 21 65 Providence L 80 - 81 49%
 Wed, Feb 25 44 @Creighton L 69 - 78 20%
 Sun, Mar 1 102 @Marquette L 72 - 74 41%
 Wed, Mar 4 33 Villanova L 65 - 71 30%
 Sat, Mar 7 59 Butler L 75 - 76 45%
Totals 15 - 16 7 - 13 +5 +1 C C C+ +5 B- B B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.3 1.1 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.5 5.6 1.7 0.1 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.5 5.4 8.9 2.7 0.2 17.8 7th
8th 0.3 5.2 10.1 3.6 0.2 19.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.7 10.0 4.2 0.3 19.7 9th
10th 0.2 3.0 6.3 3.2 0.3 13.0 10th
11th 1.3 2.8 1.6 0.2 5.9 11th
Total 1.6 6.3 12.9 19.2 20.4 17.7 11.5 6.5 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 35.7% 3.6% 32.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 33.3%
12-8 0.9% 25.5% 2.7% 22.8% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7 23.5%
11-9 2.7% 6.6% 1.5% 5.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5 5.2%
10-10 6.5% 2.5% 0.8% 1.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.3 1.7%
9-11 11.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 11.0 0.1 11.4 0.1%
8-12 17.7% 0.3% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 17.7
7-13 20.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.4
6-14 19.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 19.1
5-15 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 12.9
4-16 6.3% 6.3
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 10.9 99.1 0.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%