Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#293
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#267
Pace68.7#203
Improvement+3.6#13

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#263
First Shot-2.7#257
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#234
Layup/Dunks-3.6#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#350
Freethrows+1.3#102
Improvement+1.7#53

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#297
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#322
Layups/Dunks+1.4#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#324
Freethrows+1.6#89
Improvement+1.9#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.0% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 9.0% 17.6% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 35.4% 54.2% 27.8%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 1.5% 5.5%
First Four0.9% 1.2% 0.8%
First Round1.5% 2.6% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 28.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 49 - 710 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 204 @Illinois-Chicago L 71-91 23%     0 - 1 -19.6 -9.2 -8.1
  Fri, Nov 7 58 @Notre Dame L 70-102 4%     0 - 2 -19.5 -2.3 -14.6
  Sat, Nov 15 163 @Toledo L 83-90 18%     0 - 3 -4.6 +1.1 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 18 205 Eastern Michigan L 62-72 44%     0 - 4 -15.7 -12.4 -3.4
  Fri, Nov 21 12 @Michigan St. L 56-84 1%     0 - 5 -6.5 -3.0 -4.1
  Sun, Nov 23 134 @DePaul L 75-95 13%     0 - 6 -15.2 +8.5 -24.6
  Sat, Nov 29 342 @Niagara W 70-66 54%     1 - 6 -4.4 -0.4 -3.7
  Wed, Dec 3 356 IU Indianapolis W 92-78 81%     2 - 6 1 - 0 -2.8 +7.9 -10.9
  Sat, Dec 6 323 @Cleveland St. W 71-59 46%     3 - 6 2 - 0 +5.6 +0.4 +6.5
  Sun, Dec 14 238 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-80 29%    
  Mon, Dec 29 162 @Youngstown St. L 67-77 18%    
  Fri, Jan 2 186 Robert Morris L 70-73 40%    
  Fri, Jan 9 159 Wright St. L 70-74 36%    
  Sun, Jan 11 323 Cleveland St. W 80-75 68%    
  Thu, Jan 15 192 @Northern Kentucky L 70-78 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 356 @IU Indianapolis W 87-84 62%    
  Wed, Jan 21 238 Purdue Fort Wayne W 78-77 50%    
  Sat, Jan 24 146 Oakland L 79-84 32%    
  Fri, Jan 30 192 Northern Kentucky L 73-75 42%    
  Wed, Feb 4 219 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-80 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 273 @Green Bay L 70-75 34%    
  Thu, Feb 12 159 @Wright St. L 67-77 19%    
  Sun, Feb 15 162 Youngstown St. L 70-74 37%    
  Fri, Feb 20 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76-77 48%    
  Sun, Feb 22 273 Green Bay W 73-72 55%    
  Wed, Feb 25 186 @Robert Morris L 67-76 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 146 @Oakland L 76-87 16%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.5 1.9 1.9 0.5 0.1 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.7 0.7 0.1 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.0 1.2 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.4 1.8 0.1 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.5 6.3 2.7 0.2 14.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.4 6.8 3.2 0.3 0.0 17.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 5.8 6.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 18.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.2 3.5 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 11th
Total 0.2 1.4 3.5 7.0 10.4 13.3 14.8 14.0 12.3 9.3 6.1 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 97.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-4 82.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-5 55.1% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 23.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-7 4.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 25.0% 25.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.4% 18.3% 18.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-5 1.0% 12.9% 12.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-6 2.2% 8.5% 8.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.0
13-7 3.9% 7.7% 7.7% 15.5 0.2 0.1 3.6
12-8 6.1% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.1 0.3 5.8
11-9 9.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.9
10-10 12.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 12.0
9-11 14.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.9
8-12 14.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.7
7-13 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.3
6-14 10.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.4
5-15 7.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.0
4-16 3.5% 3.5
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%