Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#186
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#155
Pace66.5#267
Improvement-0.3#215

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#195
First Shot-7.1#351
After Offensive Rebound+6.0#3
Layup/Dunks-4.3#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#179
Freethrows-4.3#348
Improvement-1.2#277

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#181
First Shot-1.4#223
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#131
Layups/Dunks-1.7#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#53
Freethrows-5.1#362
Improvement+0.8#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.2% 14.0% 9.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 84.4% 91.1% 75.5%
.500 or above in Conference 81.1% 84.8% 76.1%
Conference Champion 13.4% 15.5% 10.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.7%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round11.9% 13.8% 9.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Home) - 56.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 34 - 54 - 8
Quad 414 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 25 @Iowa L 69-101 5%     0 - 1 -14.4 +5.5 -20.5
  Thu, Nov 6 124 @Drake W 81-79 OT 25%     1 - 1 +7.4 +6.3 +1.0
  Thu, Nov 20 108 @St. Bonaventure L 61-75 20%     1 - 2 -6.9 -6.3 -0.9
  Sun, Nov 23 207 @Monmouth L 70-71 OT 43%     1 - 3 -0.8 -1.5 +0.7
  Wed, Nov 26 204 Illinois-Chicago W 88-74 65%     2 - 3 +8.4 +16.2 -7.3
  Fri, Nov 28 320 Southern Utah W 61-54 83%     3 - 3 -5.0 -11.6 +7.2
  Sun, Nov 30 347 Stetson W 80-62 89%     4 - 3 +2.9 +11.6 -6.0
  Thu, Dec 4 273 @Green Bay W 80-78 54%     5 - 3 1 - 0 -0.8 +7.0 -7.8
  Sat, Dec 6 219 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-74 46%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -2.7 -3.1 +0.5
  Sat, Dec 13 163 Toledo W 77-75 57%    
  Wed, Dec 17 162 Youngstown St. W 71-69 57%    
  Sat, Dec 20 357 @St. Francis (PA) W 77-68 80%    
  Mon, Dec 29 192 Northern Kentucky W 74-71 62%    
  Fri, Jan 2 293 @Detroit Mercy W 73-70 60%    
  Sun, Jan 4 146 @Oakland L 77-83 30%    
  Sun, Jan 11 238 Purdue Fort Wayne W 79-73 70%    
  Thu, Jan 15 356 @IU Indianapolis W 88-79 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 192 @Northern Kentucky L 71-74 41%    
  Thu, Jan 22 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Jan 24 273 Green Bay W 74-67 73%    
  Wed, Jan 28 356 IU Indianapolis W 91-76 91%    
  Sat, Jan 31 238 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-76 49%    
  Wed, Feb 4 159 Wright St. W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 162 @Youngstown St. L 68-72 35%    
  Thu, Feb 12 323 @Cleveland St. W 79-74 67%    
  Sun, Feb 15 146 Oakland W 80-79 51%    
  Sun, Feb 22 159 @Wright St. L 68-72 35%    
  Wed, Feb 25 293 Detroit Mercy W 76-67 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 323 Cleveland St. W 82-71 83%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.1 3.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 13.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.7 6.0 3.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.5 3.3 0.5 0.0 15.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.5 2.9 0.4 0.0 14.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.9 2.9 0.3 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.9 2.7 0.3 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 1.5 0.2 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.2 8.3 11.1 13.4 14.7 14.0 11.8 8.3 4.8 2.2 0.6 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 99.4% 0.6    0.6 0.0
17-3 95.9% 2.1    1.8 0.3 0.0
16-4 79.2% 3.8    2.7 1.1 0.1
15-5 49.6% 4.1    1.9 1.8 0.4 0.0
14-6 18.2% 2.1    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.4% 13.4 7.6 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 47.4% 47.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.6% 39.8% 39.8% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
17-3 2.2% 33.7% 33.7% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.5
16-4 4.8% 27.3% 27.3% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 3.5
15-5 8.3% 22.5% 22.5% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 6.4
14-6 11.8% 19.3% 19.3% 14.4 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 9.5
13-7 14.0% 14.1% 14.1% 14.6 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 12.0
12-8 14.7% 10.3% 10.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 13.2
11-9 13.4% 7.8% 7.8% 15.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 12.4
10-10 11.1% 6.0% 6.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 10.5
9-11 8.3% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.1 0.2 8.0
8-12 5.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 5.1
7-13 3.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
6-14 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
5-15 0.7% 0.7
4-16 0.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.2 4.5 1.7 87.9 0.0%