Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#236
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#314
Pace74.1#74
Improvement+2.2#38

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#165
First Shot+0.6#163
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#210
Layup/Dunks+3.7#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#213
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#158
Freethrows-3.3#332
Improvement+1.8#47

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#321
First Shot-4.5#316
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#190
Layups/Dunks+1.8#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.3#364
Freethrows+2.0#71
Improvement+0.3#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.6% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 20.8% 29.1% 12.5%
.500 or above in Conference 51.6% 65.1% 38.2%
Conference Champion 4.0% 6.5% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 1.9% 6.7%
First Four1.8% 1.8% 1.9%
First Round4.5% 5.8% 3.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Home) - 50.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 94 @Grand Canyon L 71-90 12%     0 - 1 -10.9 +0.1 -9.7
  Fri, Nov 7 25 @Ohio St. L 68-94 3%     0 - 2 -8.5 +0.9 -8.5
  Wed, Nov 12 267 @Western Michigan L 71-83 44%     0 - 3 -14.9 -9.1 -4.9
  Tue, Nov 18 117 @Utah L 77-85 16%     0 - 4 -1.8 +10.5 -12.7
  Fri, Nov 21 46 @Saint Louis L 60-91 5%     0 - 5 -16.9 -5.6 -11.2
  Tue, Nov 25 350 Chicago St. W 90-77 83%     1 - 5 -1.8 +11.6 -13.0
  Wed, Dec 3 141 @Oakland L 92-101 20%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -4.5 +8.9 -12.6
  Sat, Dec 6 181 Northern Kentucky W 79-78 50%    
  Wed, Dec 10 203 Eastern Michigan W 76-75 54%    
  Sun, Dec 14 313 Detroit Mercy W 83-76 75%    
  Sun, Dec 21 56 @Notre Dame L 67-84 6%    
  Mon, Dec 29 221 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-84 37%    
  Thu, Jan 1 264 Green Bay W 79-75 66%    
  Sun, Jan 4 308 Cleveland St. W 88-81 73%    
  Wed, Jan 7 178 @Youngstown St. L 75-81 30%    
  Sun, Jan 11 183 @Robert Morris L 74-80 30%    
  Sun, Jan 18 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-81 57%    
  Wed, Jan 21 313 @Detroit Mercy W 80-79 53%    
  Sun, Jan 25 354 @IU Indianapolis W 97-91 70%    
  Wed, Jan 28 141 Oakland L 84-87 40%    
  Sat, Jan 31 183 Robert Morris W 77-76 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 178 Youngstown St. L 78-79 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 160 @Wright St. L 73-80 27%    
  Thu, Feb 12 264 @Green Bay L 76-78 44%    
  Sun, Feb 15 354 IU Indianapolis W 100-88 85%    
  Wed, Feb 18 181 @Northern Kentucky L 75-81 31%    
  Sun, Feb 22 308 @Cleveland St. W 85-84 53%    
  Wed, Feb 25 160 Wright St. L 76-77 46%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.1 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 4.4 5.9 2.3 0.2 13.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.2 4.4 6.0 2.4 0.2 14.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.8 5.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.1 3.3 1.5 0.2 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.1 4.1 6.5 9.1 11.8 13.3 13.0 11.7 9.5 7.3 4.9 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 90.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-4 70.6% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 43.3% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 16.8% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
13-7 3.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 16.7% 16.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 22.1% 22.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.4% 24.3% 24.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-5 3.1% 20.0% 20.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 2.5
14-6 4.9% 17.7% 17.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 4.0
13-7 7.3% 10.6% 10.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 6.5
12-8 9.5% 8.2% 8.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 8.8
11-9 11.7% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.1
10-10 13.0% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.5
9-11 13.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.0
8-12 11.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-13 9.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.0
6-14 6.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.5
5-15 4.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
4-16 2.1% 2.1
3-17 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.9 94.7 0.0%