Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.8 247
Results Rating -6.7 268
Consistency 0.19 334
Pace 66.5 235
Improvement -4.3 331

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 308 D+ D+ C- D D
Defense C 152 C+ C+ C- C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 175 C 58% 171 +0.2 173
2 Pt. Jumpers 57% 27 D 34% 302 +1.8 82
Three Pointers 33% 337 C- 33% 214 -4.5 327
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 305 C- -1.5 228
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 259
Second Chance D+ 26.8% 281 C- 1.00 228 D+ 0.27 278
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 199
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 278
Turnovers C- 17.7% 245
Freethrows D 0.26 327 C+ 73% 171 D 0.19 304
Total Offense D -5.4 308

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 185 D 13.5% 323
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 171 D+ 6.7% 294
Three Pointers C- 82% 241 C 0.8% 175
Total D+ 51% 275 D- 7.4% 337


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 100 C+ 56% 117 +1.0 214
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 145 D+ 41% 279 +0.8 258
Three Pointers 37% 297 B- 32% 106 -2.9 58
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 194 C+ -1.2 134
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 142
Second Chance C+ 29.3% 144 C 1.02 163 C+ 0.30 148
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 271
Other Turnovers C 7.5% 149
Turnovers C- 15.7% 240
Freethrows C- 0.31 208 C- 73% 217 C- 0.23 222
Total Defense C +0.5 152

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 282 C 11.4% 153
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 13% 8 B+ 8.1% 39
Three Pointers D+ 87% 277 C- 0.7% 210
Total C 54% 157 B- 6.7% 89

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 296 17.0 119
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 237 0.22 328
Consistency 0.12 199 0.15 345
Improvement -3.1 319 -1.2 249

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 259 246 232
Results Rating Rank 277 271 253
Conference Record 4 - 14 4 - 14 5 - 13
Conference Finish 12 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 55% 0% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Bowling Green (Home) - 45.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 51 - 7
Quad 31 - 82 - 14
Quad 47 - 69 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 304 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 74% +8  81% 1 - 0 B +10 D- -7 F A D- A+ +18 A B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 95 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 11% -11  8% 1 - 1 C- -3 D -5 F D+ B+ C+ +1 C+ B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 327 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 80% -3  21% 1 - 2 F -21 F -10 F C+ B F -10 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 229 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 35% -1  45% 2 - 2 B +9 D -5 C D F A+ +14 A+ D+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 171 Oakland W 97 - 91 46% +1  58% 3 - 2 C+ +2 A- +10 A+ F C- F+ -8 F C+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 13 @Louisville L 46 - 87 2% -20  3% 3 - 3 F -19 F -18 F D D+ D+ -3 D+ B F+
 Wed, Nov 26 37 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 3% +9  98% 4 - 3 A+ +25 B- +5 C A+ F A+ +20 A+ A+ B+
 Fri, Nov 28 333 NJIT W 73 - 55 82% +3  52% 5 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -4 A- D- F A- +8 A F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 84 @Butler L 68 - 84 9% -7  8% 5 - 4 D+ -6 C +0 C- C D+ D- -7 D F B
 Wed, Dec 10 258 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 41% -12  3% 5 - 5 F+ -17 D- -8 C+ F B F -11 B F D+
 Fri, Dec 19 71 @Akron L 72 - 93 7% -15  1% 5 - 6 0 - 1 D -10 C- -1 F B- A D- -8 C+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 157 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 22% -1  30% 5 - 7 C- -3 F+ -9 D- F C B+ +7 C A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 194 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 51% +2  66% 6 - 7 1 - 1 C +1 D+ -2 D+ D+ A B- +3 A+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 222 Ohio L 67 - 68 57% +9  87% 6 - 8 1 - 2 D+ -8 F+ -9 B- F C- C+ +1 D- A+ A
 Tue, Jan 6 291 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 49% +13  73% 7 - 8 2 - 2 A- +17 A+ +16 A+ A F B+ +6 B- A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 280 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 45% -1  41% 7 - 9 2 - 3 F -21 F -14 D+ F F+ D- -8 F D- A
 Tue, Jan 13 339 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 84% +3  49% 8 - 9 3 - 3 C+ +3 D- -6 D+ F B+ A- +8 B A D
 Sat, Jan 17 166 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 24% -6  16% 8 - 10 3 - 4 C- -4 A- +11 A C- A F -15 F F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 152 Kent St. L 75 - 76 2OT 42% -3  11% 8 - 11 3 - 5 C- -4 F -11 F D A A- +8 C- A+ A
 Tue, Jan 27 259 @Central Michigan L 65 - 100 41% -9  30% 8 - 12 3 - 6 F -38 F -17 D+ F F F -18 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 194 @Massachusetts L 67 - 70 29% -4  1% 8 - 13 3 - 7 C- -2 D+ -4 C F+ F C+ +2 B+ B+ F
 Tue, Feb 3 71 Akron L 64 - 66 17% +0  36% 8 - 14 3 - 8 C+ +3 F -11 C C- F A+ +14 A+ B B
 Sat, Feb 7 172 @Appalachian St. L 60 - 65 26% -3  7% 8 - 15 C- -3 D- -8 F A+ A B +4 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 152 @Kent St. L 91 - 95 22% +2  54% 8 - 16 3 - 9 C -1 A+ +15 A+ C D F -16 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 280 Western Michigan L 62 - 76 68% +2  69% 8 - 17 3 - 10 F -24 F -15 D F+ C+ F -10 B+ F F
 Tue, Feb 17 259 Central Michigan W 66 - 54 64% +9  95% 9 - 17 4 - 10 C+ +3 F -11 C+ D+ F A+ +15 A+ A- B+
 Sat, Feb 21 150 @Toledo L 75 - 94 22% -17  0% 9 - 18 4 - 11 F+ -16 D+ -2 F A- C F -13 F A+ D
 Tue, Feb 24 91 Miami (OH) L 64 - 74 22% -12  0% 9 - 19 4 - 12 D+ -7 F -12 F C- B B+ +6 A+ D- F
 Tue, Mar 3 212 @Buffalo L 67 - 72 32% -7  9% 9 - 20 4 - 13 C- -5 D- -8 F D+ B- B- +3 B C D
 Fri, Mar 6 166 Bowling Green L 69 - 70 45%
Totals 9 - 21 4 - 14 -5 D -5 C C- D C +1 C- C+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C D C- C- 39% 57% 33% D D+ D+ C- D+ C- D C+ D C C+ D+ B- C+ 42% 21% 37% C C+ C+ C C+ C- C- C- C-
1.01 58% 34% 33% -1 -1 0.97 27% 1.0 .27 18% .26 73% .19 1.08 56% 41% 32% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.0 .30 16% .31 73% .19
Nov
3		 Georgia St. D- F C- F F 49% 30% 21% D F A+ C A D- F F F A+ A+ B+ C A+ 36% 26% 38% D- A D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A
1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11 0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16
Nov
10		 Pittsburgh D F D F+ F 45% 28% 26% D+ F C D D+ B+ A A+ A+ C+ A- F A+ C+ 48% 22% 30% C C+ A+ F B- F F A+ C
0.95 46% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 14% .35 86% .30 1.12 50% 75% 25% 0 0 1.04 26% 1.2 .31 12% .37 52% .20
Nov
14		 IU Indianapolis F F+ F D F 33% 28% 39% F F B- D+ C+ B F+ C+ D- F D+ B+ F F 48% 16% 36% F F D+ F F A+ D+ F+ D
1.06 53% 25% 32% -7 -1 0.86 40% 1.1 .44 17% .32 76% .24 1.15 63% 33% 45% +7 +1 1.20 29% 1.7 .48 23% .21 77% .17
Nov
18		 Detroit Mercy D B- F+ B- C+ 41% 22% 37% D+ C C- F D F A+ F C+ A+ A D+ A+ A+ 24% 48% 28% A+ A+ C+ F+ D+ B- D F F
1.03 63% 30% 35% +1 0 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 19% .44 60% .26 0.89 46% 42% 0% -15 -5 0.63 30% 1.1 .33 17% .31 94% .29
Nov
21		 Oakland A- A A+ A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% C+ A+ F C+ F C- C- A+ B F+ C F F F 51% 12% 37% F F B D C+ F+ C+ B+ B-
1.31 73% 82% 45% +21 0 1.45 17% 1.0 .17 16% .24 87% .21 1.22 57% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.17 27% 1.2 .32 11% .30 70% .21
Nov
24		 Louisville F F F F F 33% 42% 25% D- F C+ F D D+ B C B- D+ B F F D+ 40% 10% 50% C+ D+ B- B B F+ C- A+ B-
0.69 44% 20% 17% -19 -3 0.58 25% 0.7 .18 19% .31 71% .22 1.30 57% 60% 46% +11 +2 1.27 32% 0.9 .30 12% .32 68% .22
Nov
26		 Cincinnati B- F A+ C- C+ 26% 24% 50% C- C C+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ B A+ A+ 42% 6% 52% F A+ A+ B- A+ B+ C+ F C-
0.98 20% 67% 32% -5 -1 0.89 25% 1.9 .46 26% .45 86% .39 0.85 52% 33% 23% -11 +2 0.84 22% 1.0 .22 18% .26 79% .21
Nov
28		 NJIT D+ A+ D+ A+ A 37% 31% 33% F+ A- D+ F+ D- F F D- F A- A+ C A+ A 27% 29% 44% B A D- F F A+ A F B
1.10 72% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.16 31% 0.9 .28 20% .22 67% .15 0.83 33% 38% 25% -12 -2 0.73 30% 1.4 .42 29% .23 82% .19
Dec
2		 Butler C F F A+ D 59% 16% 25% A C- C- B- C D+ C+ A+ A D- A+ F F D- 51% 17% 32% C- D D- F F B B- F C-
1.03 47% 0% 54% -5 +2 0.96 26% 1.0 .26 18% .24 92% .22 1.27 42% 50% 60% +6 +1 1.17 39% 1.6 .64 17% .34 79% .27
Dec
10		 Purdue Fort Wayne D- B A+ D+ C 44% 9% 47% B C+ F A+ F B C F F F C- A- A+ B+ 59% 20% 20% D B D+ F F D+ F F F
0.98 65% 50% 33% +4 +2 1.13 16% 1.4 .22 17% .27 47% .13 1.21 59% 30% 20% -6 +2 0.94 25% 2.3 .57 14% .40 83% .33
Dec
19		 Akron C- F F+ F+ F 55% 13% 32% A- F B- C+ B- A A+ F A+ D- D F A+ B 65% 12% 23% F C+ F C- F F B F C+
1.01 38% 29% 29% -15 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28 1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19
Dec
22		 Wright St. F+ F+ F A- F+ 57% 19% 25% B+ D- F+ F F C D+ D D B+ D C A C+ 49% 18% 33% D- C C A+ A+ B F A+ F
0.94 50% 20% 38% -6 +2 0.92 23% 0.8 .17 16% .28 69% .19 1.03 64% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.5 .18 19% .58 63% .36
Dec
30		 Massachusetts D+ D+ C C D+ 53% 28% 19% C- D+ C- F+ D+ A A+ D A+ B- C- A+ A+ A+ 31% 31% 39% A A+ A- D+ B F B+ C B
1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42 1.01 61% 22% 26% -9 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Ohio F+ A- F A+ B+ 33% 33% 33% F B- C- F F C- A+ F A+ C+ F D+ B- F+ 28% 26% 46% B+ D- C A+ A+ A B- D+ C+
1.01 67% 27% 47% +5 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32 1.02 79% 46% 30% +5 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21
Jan
6		 Ball St. A+ C A+ A+ A+ 36% 17% 48% B- A+ A+ C- A F F B+ F B+ A C+ C+ B- 43% 20% 36% C B- B+ A+ A+ F+ C- F F+
1.29 60% 57% 55% +19 0 1.40 48% 1.0 .48 24% .14 83% .11 0.90 42% 33% 31% -9 0 0.84 21% 0.3 .06 12% .30 87% .26
Jan
10		 Western Michigan F B- D+ F D- 49% 6% 45% A- D+ F F F F+ F F F D- F B+ F F 31% 38% 31% A+ F F C+ D- A F C F
0.94 64% 33% 26% -3 +3 1.02 18% 0.7 .12 17% .18 60% .11 1.19 77% 31% 46% +9 -3 1.14 37% 1.0 .37 21% .52 74% .38
Jan
13		 Northern Illinois D- A+ C F C 36% 36% 28% F D+ F D F B+ F A D- A- F A+ A+ B 35% 16% 49% B- B A A+ A D C+ A B
1.06 76% 38% 25% +3 -2 1.03 15% 1.0 .15 14% .24 80% .19 0.81 67% 13% 24% -8 0 0.86 23% 0.5 .11 19% .32 58% .19
Jan
17		 Bowling Green A- B A+ B A+ 38% 24% 38% D A B F C- A F A+ D+ F C B- F F 51% 24% 24% B+ F D- F F+ D+ F+ D+ F+
1.19 63% 58% 37% +8 0 1.18 32% 0.8 .26 14% .24 86% .21 1.28 56% 33% 67% +10 0 1.22 32% 1.0 .32 15% .37 76% .28
Jan
24		 Kent St. F A F F F 33% 35% 32% F F C F D A F A+ D A- C- C+ D+ D+ 32% 26% 42% A C- B+ A+ A+ A F D F
0.96 71% 5% 25% -12 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22 0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37
Jan
27		 Central Michigan F C+ A+ F D+ 38% 21% 40% D+ D+ F A+ F F B D C+ F C F F F 50% 20% 30% F F D+ A B- F F D F
0.86 61% 50% 26% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.6 .28 25% .37 67% .25 1.32 57% 73% 53% +15 +1 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 12% .39 73% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Massachusetts D+ A+ A- F C+ 30% 30% 41% F C D- F F+ F D+ A+ B C+ D+ F A+ A 55% 16% 30% F B+ B- A B+ F F D- F
1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31 1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43
Feb
3		 Akron F A+ F A B- 32% 32% 36% F C C+ D- C- F B- F C- A+ A+ C A A+ 31% 9% 59% C- A+ A F+ B B B- C B-
0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19 0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18
Feb
7		 Appalachian St. D- F C+ F F 30% 37% 33% F F D- A+ A+ A F D F B B- F A+ B 56% 10% 33% F C+ C- A+ A+ F F A+ F+
0.93 44% 40% 17% -12 -3 0.72 23% 1.9 .44 9% .10 67% .07 1.01 56% 60% 19% -7 +3 0.94 32% 0.4 .12 11% .49 54% .26
Feb
11		 Kent St. A+ A+ A B- A+ 33% 33% 33% F A+ A F C D F A F F A+ F F F 28% 26% 47% A F C+ F F F F F F
1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14 1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47
Feb
14		 Western Michigan F C F A+ D+ 38% 28% 34% F+ D F A F+ C+ F F F F A+ A+ F A 54% 19% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
0.96 60% 13% 44% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.3 .22 12% .16 56% .09 1.18 31% 22% 54% -10 +1 0.85 39% 1.3 .50 11% .40 83% .33
Feb
17		 Central Michigan F A+ B- C- B+ 36% 36% 29% F C+ C- D+ D+ F D+ A+ C+ A+ D+ C+ A+ A+ 31% 38% 31% A A+ D A+ A- B+ F A+ C
1.00 73% 40% 33% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 27% .31 80% .25 0.81 60% 39% 13% -9 -3 0.79 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 50% .19
Feb
21		 Toledo D+ A F F F+ 40% 26% 34% D- F F A+ A- C B+ A+ A+ F F F F F 54% 19% 27% F F A+ C+ A+ D F A+ D+
1.05 71% 14% 28% -4 -1 0.92 24% 1.9 .45 18% .29 88% .26 1.32 79% 70% 43% +21 +1 1.46 17% 1.0 .17 13% .35 64% .22
Feb
24		 Miami (OH) F C- F C+ F 26% 37% 37% F F D B C- B A+ F B+ B+ C+ F+ A+ A+ 29% 27% 44% A A+ D+ F D- F B A- A-
0.90 57% 15% 35% -8 -3 0.80 24% 1.0 .24 15% .38 65% .25 1.04 61% 47% 19% -7 -2 0.85 25% 1.4 .34 6% .28 68% .19
Mar
3		 Buffalo D- F+ B+ F F 58% 22% 20% C+ F F A+ D+ B- C+ A- B- B- C- C- B B- 32% 21% 47% B+ B A+ F C D D- D+ D-
1.01 52% 45% 20% -6 +1 0.92 21% 1.3 .27 17% .29 81% .23 1.08 60% 40% 32% -1 -1 1.00 16% 1.8 .29 14% .38 77% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 44.9 45.4 90.3 11th
12th 9.6 9.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 13th
Total 54.6 45.4 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 45.4% 45.4
4-14 54.6% 54.6
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 45.4%
Lose Out 54.6%