Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
72 Akron 42.0%   12   17 - 5 10 - 1 +7.8      +6.1 55 +1.7 123 75.5 29 +6.6 84 +11.7 2
87 Miami (OH) 33.4%   21 - 0 11 - 0 +6.4      +5.8 60 +0.6 148 73.7 56 +17.8 21 +15.3 1
147 Kent St. 7.8%   16 - 7 9 - 3 +0.8      +1.5 127 -0.8 199 74.5 40 +3.5 105 +5.4 3
158 Bowling Green 4.8%   12 - 10 6 - 6 -0.2      -2.3 229 +2.1 110 70.4 132 -1.4 184 -1.9 6
165 Toledo 5.2%   11 - 12 7 - 5 -0.4      +2.3 112 -2.7 258 70.2 135 -1.7 197 -0.5 4
183 Massachusetts 2.9%   14 - 10 6 - 6 -1.4      -0.3 165 -1.1 210 74.5 45 -1.7 198 -3.5 7
199 Ohio 2.4%   11 - 12 7 - 5 -2.5      -0.6 176 -1.9 237 72.8 71 -1.9 201 -0.8 5
202 Buffalo 2.2%   13 - 10 5 - 7 -2.6      +1.5 130 -4.0 295 67.0 230 -1.6 191 -4.0 8
231 Eastern Michigan 0.4%   8 - 16 3 - 9 -3.8      -3.7 271 -0.1 173 66.4 242 -5.5 250 -8.5 10
295 Western Michigan 0.0%   7 - 15 2 - 9 -7.7      -1.4 204 -6.4 337 69.0 174 -7.2 280 -11.4 13
296 Central Michigan 0.1%   5 - 17 3 - 8 -7.7      -2.5 239 -5.2 319 67.4 219 -9.7 317 -8.8 11
310 Ball St. 0.0%   6 - 16 3 - 8 -9.0      -6.5 332 -2.5 253 61.9 341 -9.4 312 -7.7 9
314 Northern Illinois 0.0%   6 - 15 3 - 8 -9.1      -7.2 342 -1.9 233 70.2 136 -7.7 294 -9.2 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 11 231 Eastern Michigan 91 147 Kent St. 95   
Wed, Feb 11 310 Ball St. 53 202 Buffalo 63   
Wed, Feb 11 165 Toledo 90 295 Western Michigan 79   
Wed, Feb 11 158 Bowling Green 68 314 Northern Illinois 52   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Feb 13 72 Akron 90 183 Massachusetts 78 87%   
Fri, Feb 13 87 Miami (OH) 88 199 Ohio 76 86%   
Sat, Feb 14 158 Bowling Green 78 165 Toledo 75 62%   
Sat, Feb 14 231 Eastern Michigan 77 295 Western Michigan 70 75%   
Sat, Feb 14 296 Central Michigan 75 314 Northern Illinois 71 66%   
Sat, Feb 14 310 Ball St. 69 147 Kent St. 76 74%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Akron 1.5 50.5 48.3 1.2 0.0
Miami (OH) 1.3 75.4 23.9 0.7
Kent St. 3.0 0.8 7.5 87.8 3.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Bowling Green 5.4 0.0 3.2 25.7 27.3 22.2 14.5 6.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
Toledo 4.6 0.0 8.2 50.4 22.1 12.1 5.2 1.7 0.2 0.0
Massachusetts 6.2 0.8 13.4 20.3 23.0 23.3 16.3 2.5 0.4 0.0
Ohio 5.0 0.0 4.1 35.6 28.4 19.1 9.7 2.9 0.3 0.0
Buffalo 7.1 0.1 4.0 10.2 17.5 25.6 31.3 8.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
Eastern Michigan 9.5 0.1 0.3 1.6 4.8 13.1 32.5 25.0 13.8 6.4 2.5
Western Michigan 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.5 10.8 16.3 24.9 40.5
Central Michigan 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.1 9.5 26.3 22.7 18.4 13.2 5.9
Ball St. 10.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.2 6.8 20.5 22.8 20.6 17.0 9.0
Northern Illinois 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 4.9 17.9 21.7 23.4 21.8 8.5

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 16 - 2 23 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.8 4.9 18.8 39.2 36.2
Miami (OH) 16 - 2 26 - 2 0.1 0.9 4.3 13.3 27.1 34.2 20.1
Kent St. 13 - 5 20 - 9 0.1 1.4 8.1 22.9 34.5 25.9 7.2
Bowling Green 9 - 9 15 - 13 0.5 5.4 16.5 30.6 29.6 14.8 2.6
Toledo 10 - 8 14 - 15 0.7 5.4 17.9 32.6 29.0 12.5 1.9
Massachusetts 9 - 9 17 - 13 2.3 11.5 27.8 31.8 19.8 6.2 0.7
Ohio 10 - 8 14 - 15 1.8 11.7 27.6 32.6 19.7 6.0 0.6
Buffalo 8 - 10 16 - 13 1.0 7.3 23.5 35.4 24.6 7.7 0.6
Eastern Michigan 6 - 12 11 - 19 1.9 10.8 27.3 32.1 20.4 6.6 0.9
Western Michigan 4 - 14 9 - 20 9.6 30.0 32.7 19.6 6.5 1.5 0.2 0.0
Central Michigan 5 - 13 7 - 22 3.7 18.6 31.0 27.5 14.0 4.6 0.7 0.0
Ball St. 5 - 13 8 - 21 8.0 24.1 30.5 22.7 11.1 3.0 0.6 0.1
Northern Illinois 5 - 13 8 - 20 9.8 27.9 31.6 21.0 7.7 1.8 0.2 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 50.5% 24.4 25.7 0.4
Miami (OH) 75.4% 49.3 25.7 0.4
Kent St. 0.8% 0.0 0.4 0.4
Bowling Green
Toledo
Massachusetts
Ohio
Buffalo
Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan
Central Michigan
Ball St.
Northern Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 42.0% 42.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.0 10.5 26.4 4.9 0.2 58.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 33.4% 32.3% 1.1% 0.0 0.1 0.2 14.8 17.3 0.9 66.6 1.7%
Kent St. 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.1 1.3 3.4 2.7 0.4 92.2 0.0%
Bowling Green 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.2 1.4 2.1 1.1 0.1 95.2 0.0%
Toledo 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.2 0.5 94.8 0.0%
Massachusetts 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.3 97.1 0.0%
Ohio 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.7 97.7 0.0%
Buffalo 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 97.9 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 98.9 1.1
1st Round 99.8% 1.0 0.2 99.4 0.4
2nd Round 12.6% 0.1 87.4 12.6
Sweet Sixteen 2.1% 0.0 97.9 2.1
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 42.0% 0.0% 42.0% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 33.4% 1.1% 32.6% 4.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 7.8% 0.0% 7.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 4.8% 0.0% 4.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 5.2% 0.1% 5.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 2.9% 0.1% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 2.4% 0.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 2.2% 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%