Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.8 231
Expected Predictive Rating -5.5 250
Pace 66.4 242
Improvement -3.3 312

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #271 C- D+ C- D D+
Defense C #173 C C+ C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 161 58% 171 +0.4 163
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 57 36% 229 +2.2 69
Three Pointers 33% 326 34% 196 -4.0 314
1st FG Attempt 0.99 216 -1.4 218
Second Chance 27.7% 259 0.94 293 0.26 289
Turnovers 17.5% 218
Freethrows 0.26 320 73% 174 0.19 305
Total Offense -3.7 271

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 81 56% 119 -1.3 220
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 150 41% 287 -0.9 263
Three Pointers 36% 315 33% 160 +2.6 73
1st FG Attempt 1.01 169 +0.4 170
Second Chance 29.2% 119 0.99 120 0.29 106
Turnovers 16.3% 212
Freethrows 0.31 202 74% 286 0.23 226
Total Defense -0.1 173

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.8 294 +0.2 202
Shot Type Accuracy -0.6 194 -0.6 159
Possession Length 18.5 298 16.9 126
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 222 0.21 312
Improvement -0.8 #236 -2.4 #303

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 1% 1% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 9% 3% 27%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Home) - 74.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 41 - 6
Quad 32 - 73 - 14
Quad 48 - 611 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 276 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 71% +8  81% 1 - 0 B+ +13 D- -6 F A D A+ +19 A B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 99 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 13% -11  8% 1 - 1 C- -4 D -5 F D+ B+ C+ +1 C B F
 Fri, Nov 14 332 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 83% -3  21% 1 - 2 F -21 F -10 F C B+ F+ -10 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 271 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 47% -1  45% 2 - 2 B- +7 D -6 C D- F A +13 A+ C- C+
 Fri, Nov 21 143 Oakland W 97 - 91 42% +1  58% 3 - 2 C+ +4 A +12 A+ F C- D- -8 F C+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 11 @Louisville L 46 - 87 2% -20  3% 3 - 3 F -18 F -18 F D+ D+ C- -2 D+ B D-
 Wed, Nov 26 45 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 5% +9  98% 4 - 3 A +23 B- +5 C A+ F A+ +18 A+ A B
 Fri, Nov 28 315 NJIT W 73 - 55 79% +3  52% 5 - 3 B- +6 D+ -3 A D F A- +9 A F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 75 @Butler L 68 - 84 10% -7  8% 5 - 4 D+ -5 C +0 C- C C- D -7 D F B-
 Wed, Dec 10 242 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 41% -12  3% 5 - 5 F+ -17 D- -8 C+ F A- F+ -10 B F D+
 Fri, Dec 19 72 @Akron L 72 - 93 9% -15  1% 5 - 6 0 - 1 D -10 C- -1 F C+ A D- -9 C+ F+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 150 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 24% -1  30% 5 - 7 C- -2 F+ -9 D- F B- B+ +6 C A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 183 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 52% +2  66% 6 - 7 1 - 1 C +2 C- -1 D+ D+ A B- +3 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 199 Ohio L 67 - 68 57% +9  87% 6 - 8 1 - 2 D+ -7 F+ -8 B- F C C+ +2 D A+ A
 Tue, Jan 6 310 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 58% +13  73% 7 - 8 2 - 2 A- +16 A +14 A+ A- F B+ +7 C+ A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 295 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 53% -1  41% 7 - 9 2 - 3 F -22 F -15 D+ F F+ D- -8 F D A-
 Tue, Jan 13 314 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 78% +3  49% 8 - 9 3 - 3 B- +6 D -5 C- F A- A +10 B A+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 158 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 26% -6  16% 8 - 10 3 - 4 C- -3 A +12 A D+ A F -15 F F+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 147 Kent St. L 75 - 76 2OT 44% -3  11% 8 - 11 3 - 5 C- -3 F -11 F D+ A B+ +7 C- A+ A-
 Tue, Jan 27 296 @Central Michigan L 65 - 100 54% -9  30% 8 - 12 3 - 6 F -40 F -19 D+ F F F -18 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 183 @Massachusetts L 67 - 70 30% -4  1% 8 - 13 3 - 7 C -1 D+ -3 C F+ F C+ +1 B A- F
 Tue, Feb 3 72 Akron L 64 - 66 21% +0  36% 8 - 14 3 - 8 C+ +3 F -11 C+ D+ F A+ +13 A+ B+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 161 @Appalachian St. L 60 - 65 27% -3  7% 8 - 15 C- -2 D- -7 F A A B- +4 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 147 @Kent St. L 91 - 95 23% +2  54% 8 - 16 3 - 9 C -0 A+ +16 A+ C D- F -16 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 295 Western Michigan W 77 - 70 74%
 Tue, Feb 17 296 Central Michigan W 75 - 68 74%
 Sat, Feb 21 165 @Toledo L 71 - 77 28%
 Tue, Feb 24 87 Miami (OH) L 73 - 80 24%
 Tue, Mar 3 202 @Buffalo L 71 - 75 34%
 Fri, Mar 6 158 Bowling Green L 69 - 70 48%
Totals 11 - 19 6 - 12 -4 D+ -4 C- D+ C- C +0 C C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- C C 39% 27% 33% D+ C- D+ D+ D+ C- D C D C C+ D+ C C 42% 21% 36% C- C C+ C+ C+ C- C D+ C-
1.03 58% 36% 34% -1 -1 0.99 28% 0.9 .26 18% .26 73% .19 1.09 56% 41% 33% -1 0 1.01 29% 1.0 .29 16% .31 74% .19
Nov
3		 Georgia St. D- F C F F 49% 30% 21% D F A+ C A D F F F A+ A+ B C+ A+ 36% 26% 38% D A D+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+
1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11 0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16
Nov
10		 Pittsburgh D F D F+ F 45% 28% 26% D+ F C D- D+ B+ A- A+ A+ C+ A- F A+ C 48% 22% 30% C C A+ F B F F A+ C
0.95 46% 33% 29% -9 0 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 14% .35 86% .30 1.12 50% 75% 25% 0 0 1.04 26% 1.2 .31 12% .37 52% .20
Nov
14		 IU Indianapolis F D- F D F 33% 28% 39% F F B- D- C B+ F+ C D- F+ D+ B F F 48% 16% 36% F F C- F F A+ D F D-
1.06 53% 25% 32% -7 -1 0.86 40% 1.1 .44 17% .32 76% .24 1.15 63% 33% 45% +8 +1 1.20 29% 1.7 .48 23% .21 77% .17
Nov
18		 Detroit Mercy D B- D- C+ C+ 41% 22% 37% D+ C C- F+ D- F A F C A A- D A+ A+ 24% 48% 28% A+ A+ B- F+ C- C+ D F F
1.03 63% 30% 35% +1 0 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 19% .44 60% .26 0.89 46% 42% 0% -15 -5 0.63 30% 1.1 .33 17% .31 94% .29
Nov
21		 Oakland A A A+ A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% C+ A+ F B- F C- C A+ B D- C F F F 51% 12% 37% F+ F B D C+ D- B B+ B+
1.31 73% 82% 45% +22 0 1.45 17% 1.0 .17 16% .24 87% .21 1.22 57% 57% 41% +6 +2 1.17 27% 1.2 .32 11% .30 70% .21
Nov
24		 Louisville F F F F F 33% 42% 25% D- F C F D+ D+ B C B- C- B F F D+ 40% 10% 50% C+ D+ B- B- B D- C A B-
0.69 44% 20% 17% -19 -3 0.58 25% 0.7 .18 19% .31 71% .22 1.30 57% 60% 46% +11 +2 1.27 32% 0.9 .30 12% .32 68% .22
Nov
26		 Cincinnati B- F A+ C- C 26% 24% 50% D+ C C+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ B A+ A+ 42% 6% 52% F A+ A+ C+ A B C+ F C-
0.98 20% 67% 32% -5 -1 0.89 25% 1.9 .46 26% .45 86% .39 0.85 52% 33% 23% -11 +2 0.84 22% 1.0 .22 18% .26 79% .21
Nov
28		 NJIT D+ A+ C- A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% F+ A C- F+ D F F D- F A- A+ C- A A 27% 29% 44% B+ A D F F A+ A F B
1.10 72% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.16 31% 0.9 .28 20% .22 67% .15 0.83 33% 38% 25% -12 -2 0.73 30% 1.4 .42 29% .23 82% .19
Dec
2		 Butler C F F A+ D 59% 16% 25% A C- C- B- C C- B- A+ A D A+ F F D- 51% 17% 32% C- D D+ F F B- C+ F C-
1.03 47% 0% 54% -5 +2 0.96 26% 1.0 .26 18% .24 92% .22 1.27 42% 50% 60% +6 +1 1.17 39% 1.6 .64 17% .34 79% .27
Dec
10		 Purdue Fort Wayne D- B- A+ D+ C 44% 9% 47% B C+ F A+ F A- C+ F F F+ C B+ A+ A- 59% 20% 20% D- B D F F D+ F F F
0.98 65% 50% 33% +4 +2 1.13 16% 1.4 .22 17% .27 47% .13 1.21 59% 30% 20% -6 +2 0.94 25% 2.3 .57 14% .40 83% .33
Dec
19		 Akron C- F F+ D- F 55% 13% 32% A- F C C C+ A A+ F A D- D F A+ B 65% 12% 23% F C+ F C+ F+ F B- F C
1.01 38% 29% 29% -14 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28 1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19
Dec
22		 Wright St. F+ D- F A- F+ 57% 19% 25% B+ D- F+ F F B- D+ D+ D+ B+ D C+ A C+ 49% 18% 33% D- C C- A+ A+ B F A+ F
0.94 50% 20% 38% -6 +2 0.92 23% 0.8 .17 16% .28 69% .19 1.03 64% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.5 .18 19% .58 63% .36
Dec
30		 Massachusetts C- D+ C C D+ 53% 28% 19% C- D+ C- D- D+ A A+ C- A+ B- D+ A+ A A 31% 31% 39% A A+ A D+ B+ F A- C B+
1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42 1.01 61% 22% 26% -8 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Ohio F+ A- F A+ B+ 33% 33% 33% F B- C- F F C A+ F+ A+ C+ F C- B- D- 28% 26% 46% B D C+ A+ A+ A B- D+ C+
1.01 67% 27% 47% +6 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32 1.02 79% 46% 30% +6 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21
Jan
6		 Ball St. A C A+ A+ A+ 36% 17% 48% B- A+ A+ C- A- F F B F B+ A B- C+ B- 43% 20% 36% D+ C+ B+ A+ A+ F+ C F D-
1.29 60% 57% 55% +19 0 1.40 48% 1.0 .48 24% .14 83% .11 0.90 42% 33% 31% -9 0 0.84 21% 0.3 .06 12% .30 87% .26
Jan
10		 Western Michigan F B- D- F D- 49% 6% 45% A D+ F F F F+ F F F D- F A- F F 31% 38% 31% A+ F F+ C D A- F D+ F
0.94 64% 33% 26% -3 +3 1.02 18% 0.7 .12 17% .18 60% .11 1.19 77% 31% 46% +9 -3 1.14 37% 1.0 .37 21% .52 74% .38
Jan
13		 Northern Illinois D A+ C F C+ 36% 36% 28% F C- F D+ F A- F A F+ A F A+ A+ B 35% 16% 49% B B A+ A+ A+ D C+ A B
1.06 76% 38% 25% +3 -2 1.03 15% 1.0 .15 14% .24 80% .19 0.81 67% 13% 24% -8 0 0.86 23% 0.5 .11 19% .32 58% .19
Jan
17		 Bowling Green A B A+ B A+ 38% 24% 38% D A B F D+ A F+ A+ D+ F C+ B F F 51% 24% 24% B F D- F F+ D F+ D+ F+
1.19 63% 58% 37% +9 0 1.18 32% 0.8 .26 14% .24 86% .21 1.28 56% 33% 67% +10 0 1.22 32% 1.0 .32 15% .37 76% .28
Jan
24		 Kent St. F A F F F 33% 35% 32% F F C F+ D+ A F+ A+ C- B+ C- C D D 32% 26% 42% A- C- B+ A+ A+ A- F D F
0.96 71% 5% 25% -11 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22 0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37
Jan
27		 Central Michigan F C+ A+ F D+ 38% 21% 40% D D+ F A+ F F B- D C F C F F F 50% 20% 30% F F D+ A B- F F D F
0.86 61% 50% 26% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.6 .28 25% .37 67% .25 1.32 57% 73% 53% +15 +1 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 12% .39 73% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Massachusetts D+ A+ A- F C+ 30% 30% 41% F C D- F F+ F D+ A+ B+ C+ D+ F A+ A- 55% 16% 30% F B B A- A- F F D F
1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31 1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43
Feb
3		 Akron F A+ F A B 32% 32% 36% F C+ C D- D+ F C+ F D+ A+ A+ C A A+ 31% 9% 59% C- A+ A D B+ B C+ C- C+
0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19 0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18
Feb
7		 Appalachian St. D- F B- F F 30% 37% 33% F F F+ A+ A A F D F B- C+ F A+ B 56% 10% 33% F C+ D+ A+ A+ F F A+ F
0.93 44% 40% 17% -12 -3 0.72 23% 1.9 .44 9% .10 67% .07 1.01 56% 60% 19% -7 +3 0.94 32% 0.4 .12 11% .49 54% .26
Feb
11		 Kent St. A+ A+ A B A+ 33% 33% 33% F A+ A F C D- F A F F A+ F F F 28% 26% 47% A F C+ F F F F F F
1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14 1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 0.4 1.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 3.4 0.1 4.8 7th
8th 1.6 9.5 2.0 13.1 8th
9th 3.6 19.8 9.0 0.1 32.5 9th
10th 0.7 14.0 9.9 0.5 25.0 10th
11th 0.0 4.3 8.7 0.8 13.8 11th
12th 0.4 4.9 1.1 6.4 12th
13th 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 13th
Total 1.9 10.8 27.3 32.1 20.4 6.6 0.9 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.9% 4.7% 4.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.8
8-10 6.6% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.1 0.1 6.4
7-11 20.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 20.3
6-12 32.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 32.1
5-13 27.3% 27.3
4-14 10.8% 10.8
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.7 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 1.9%