Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#203
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#135
Pace66.3#266
Improvement+1.6#60

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#230
First Shot-0.7#199
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#273
Layup/Dunks+0.6#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#279
Freethrows+0.2#174
Improvement+2.0#38

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#172
First Shot+0.3#157
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#236
Layups/Dunks+0.0#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#148
Freethrows+2.0#67
Improvement-0.4#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.5% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 13.9
.500 or above 43.2% 55.8% 32.5%
.500 or above in Conference 45.6% 50.8% 41.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 4.0% 5.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.1% 2.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 46.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 55 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 334 Georgia St. W 71-49 85%     1 - 0 +8.5 -4.4 +13.4
  Mon, Nov 10 92 @Pittsburgh L 66-78 15%     1 - 1 -3.6 -2.5 -1.2
  Fri, Nov 14 354 IU Indianapolis L 83-90 89%     1 - 2 -23.1 -8.9 -13.4
  Tue, Nov 18 313 @Detroit Mercy W 72-62 61%     2 - 2 +4.6 -3.7 +8.3
  Fri, Nov 21 141 Oakland W 97-91 46%     3 - 2 +4.5 +13.6 -9.5
  Mon, Nov 24 14 @Louisville L 46-87 2%     3 - 3 -20.1 -16.7 -5.3
  Wed, Nov 26 68 @Cincinnati W 64-56 10%     4 - 3 +19.4 +6.3 +13.6
  Fri, Nov 28 351 NJIT W 73-55 88%     5 - 3 +2.7 -0.7 +4.4
  Tue, Dec 2 44 @Butler L 68-84 7%     5 - 4 -1.7 +5.1 -7.7
  Wed, Dec 10 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-76 46%    
  Fri, Dec 19 54 @Akron L 71-86 7%    
  Mon, Dec 22 160 @Wright St. L 66-71 30%    
  Tue, Dec 30 175 Massachusetts W 74-72 56%    
  Sat, Jan 3 194 Ohio W 76-73 60%    
  Tue, Jan 6 316 @Ball St. W 69-66 60%    
  Sat, Jan 10 267 @Western Michigan W 72-71 51%    
  Tue, Jan 13 330 Northern Illinois W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 119 @Bowling Green L 65-74 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 122 Kent St. L 76-79 41%    
  Tue, Jan 27 309 @Central Michigan W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 175 @Massachusetts L 71-75 35%    
  Tue, Feb 3 54 Akron L 74-83 20%    
  Wed, Feb 11 122 @Kent St. L 73-82 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 267 Western Michigan W 74-68 71%    
  Tue, Feb 17 309 Central Michigan W 75-66 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 173 @Toledo L 72-77 35%    
  Tue, Feb 24 127 Miami (OH) L 73-75 42%    
  Tue, Mar 3 215 @Buffalo L 71-73 42%    
  Fri, Mar 6 119 Bowling Green L 68-71 40%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.1 2.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 3.8 1.5 0.1 8.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 5.0 2.1 0.2 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 5.6 3.0 0.4 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.6 4.6 0.6 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 5.2 4.9 1.0 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.4 1.5 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.3 2.3 4.6 1.7 0.2 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.4 1.7 0.1 7.0 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 4.5 7.6 10.9 13.9 14.5 14.2 11.7 8.6 5.9 3.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 73.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 62.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 31.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 18.9% 18.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 21.9% 21.9% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.2% 11.1% 11.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
13-5 3.1% 9.3% 9.3% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.8
12-6 5.9% 5.4% 5.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.6
11-7 8.6% 4.7% 4.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.2
10-8 11.7% 2.9% 2.9% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.4
9-9 14.2% 2.2% 2.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.9
8-10 14.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4
7-11 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
6-12 10.9% 10.9
5-13 7.6% 7.6
4-14 4.5% 4.5
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 97.9 0.0%