Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.4 152
Results Rating +3.8 111
Consistency 0.11 10
Pace 74.8 35
Improvement -2.6 276

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 125 C- B- D+ A- C+
Defense C- 214 C C C- D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 245 D+ 55% 271 -2.5 277
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 241 C- 37% 223 -1.6 264
Three Pointers 46% 66 C 34% 159 +3.1 77
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 154 C- -1.3 223
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 207
Second Chance B- 34.2% 74 C+ 1.07 119 B- 0.36 72
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.3% 268
Other Turnovers D+ 8.2% 298
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 294
Freethrows A- 0.38 9 B- 74% 124 A- 0.28 11
Total Offense C+ +1.7 125

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 60 D+ 13.0% 305
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 240 B- 3.7% 87
Three Pointers C 84% 194 C 0.8% 170
Total B 61% 62 C 5.7% 207


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 197 C 58% 180 -0.1 175
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 258 B- 36% 95 -1.4 74
Three Pointers 44% 97 C- 35% 242 +2.1 290
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 228 C +0.3 195
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 199
Second Chance C 30.5% 191 C+ 1.00 135 C 0.31 167
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 236
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 164
Turnovers C- 16.1% 221
Freethrows D+ 0.34 291 C 72% 180 D+ 0.25 283
Total Defense C- -1.3 214

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 133 D+ 9.0% 250
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 94 C 4.9% 170
Three Pointers D 88% 312 C 1.0% 135
Total C- 57% 217 C- 4.8% 240

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 68 16.8 91
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 187 0.20 295
Consistency 0.14 295 0.15 336
Improvement -2.0 288 -0.6 215

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 167 151 132
Results Rating Rank 133 116 101
Conference Record 13 - 5 14 - 4 14 - 4
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.2 13.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round5% 6% 4%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Western Michigan (Home) - 82.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 310 - 310 - 8
Quad 411 - 122 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 150 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 61% -8  9% 0 - 1 D -9 C+ +2 D- A C F+ -10 F C- D
 Fri, Nov 7 163 Cornell W 110 - 102 64% +8  98% 1 - 1 C+ +5 A +14 A+ A C F -10 F D- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 106 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 47% +8  95% 2 - 1 B +10 B+ +9 A+ B- C- C+ +1 A+ D F
 Sat, Nov 15 319 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 83% +2  72% 3 - 1 C- -3 B+ +9 D A C+ F -12 F+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 16 161 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 52% -2  19% 4 - 1 C+ +4 D -5 F A F A +9 B- B- D+
 Tue, Nov 18 288 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 84% +16  98% 5 - 1 C+ +5 D+ -4 D+ B- F A- +7 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 22 319 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 89% +14  96% 6 - 1 B- +7 D -5 B- D+ F A +10 B+ B A
 Wed, Dec 3 177 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 67% +3  82% 7 - 1 B- +8 A +14 A+ A C D- -7 F A+ D+
 Sun, Dec 14 216 @Portland L 78 - 88 52% -0  40% 7 - 2 D -10 D- -8 F+ B+ F C -1 F+ B+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 193 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 48% +5  84% 8 - 2 1 - 0 B +11 D- -8 D- C- D+ A+ +19 A+ A+ B-
 Mon, Dec 29 7 @Purdue L 60 - 101 3% -24  0% 8 - 3 F+ -17 F -12 F+ F+ D C- -2 D- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 341 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 92% +9  99% 9 - 3 2 - 0 D- -11 D- -7 F+ D+ D- D+ -5 F D A+
 Tue, Jan 6 165 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 65% +2  60% 10 - 3 3 - 0 C -1 A+ +20 A+ A+ A- F -21 D- F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 258 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 62% -1  27% 10 - 4 3 - 1 C- -5 B- +5 F A+ F F+ -9 B F F
 Tue, Jan 13 212 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 51% +7  91% 11 - 4 4 - 1 B- +6 B+ +9 B- A- C+ C- -3 C+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 16 151 Toledo W 87 - 84 61% -0  42% 12 - 4 5 - 1 C +0 B +6 C+ B- A+ D -5 C F C
 Tue, Jan 20 90 Miami (OH) L 101 - 107 OT 39% -6  16% 12 - 5 5 - 2 C- -3 A- +11 B- A+ D F -13 F A F
 Sat, Jan 24 248 @Eastern Michigan W 76 - 75 2OT 59% +3  76% 13 - 5 6 - 2 C -1 D -5 C+ F F B +4 A+ C+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 221 Ohio W 72 - 57 75% +4  79% 14 - 5 7 - 2 B +8 F+ -9 F A F A+ +17 A+ B+ D+
 Fri, Jan 30 71 @Akron L 52 - 69 15% -11  0% 14 - 6 7 - 3 D+ -6 F -19 F C- F+ A+ +13 B A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 151 @Toledo W 75 - 72 38% -6  6% 15 - 6 8 - 3 B- +6 C +1 F A- C B+ +5 C+ B+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 225 @Southern Miss L 65 - 66 54% -0  33% 15 - 7 C- -2 D+ -3 F+ C A- C+ +2 A- C- D
 Wed, Feb 11 248 Eastern Michigan W 95 - 91 78% -2  35% 16 - 7 9 - 3 C- -4 A+ +18 A- A+ B+ F -22 F D+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 292 @Ball St. W 75 - 68 68% +6  96% 17 - 7 10 - 3 C+ +3 C- -2 C D- D B +4 B B D
 Tue, Feb 17 165 @Bowling Green W 78 - 71 42% +3  61% 18 - 7 11 - 3 B +9 C+ +3 B- F A B+ +6 A C+ B-
 Tue, Feb 24 258 Central Michigan W 83 - 81 80% -9  2% 19 - 7 12 - 3 D+ -7 B +7 B A+ D- F -13 F F C+
 Fri, Feb 27 71 Akron L 70 - 92 31% -13  5% 19 - 8 12 - 4 F+ -17 D -6 B- F D+ F -11 F D A-
 Tue, Mar 3 341 @Northern Illinois W 102 - 76 82% +17  78% 20 - 8 13 - 4 A- +17 A+ +17 C A+ A C- -2 C B- C-
 Fri, Mar 6 280 Western Michigan W 86 - 76 83%
Totals 21 - 8 14 - 4 +0 C+ +2 D- C- C+ C- -1 C B- A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ C- C C- 36% 32% 46% C+ C- B- C+ B- D+ A- B- A- C- C B- C- C 38% 18% 44% C- C C C+ C C- D+ C D+
1.11 55% 37% 34% -1 0 1.00 34% 1.1 .36 19% .38 74% .28 1.10 58% 36% 35% 0 0 1.03 30% 1.0 .31 16% .34 72% .27
Nov
3		 Troy C+ F F A+ D- 35% 23% 42% C- D- A+ C A C A+ B+ A+ F+ C- C- F F 50% 9% 41% D F A+ F C- D F D+ F
1.13 36% 29% 42% -5 0 0.92 44% 1.0 .46 16% .46 76% .35 1.20 59% 40% 46% +8 +2 1.22 21% 1.7 .34 14% .45 76% .34
Nov
7		 Cornell A A- C A+ A+ 31% 9% 59% C A+ A- A A C A+ D A+ F D+ F F F 26% 6% 69% B- F F B- D- A- F+ D+ F+
1.39 71% 40% 50% +18 +1 1.41 38% 1.3 .48 14% .48 67% .32 1.29 64% 67% 46% +15 +1 1.35 39% 1.1 .42 22% .35 77% .27
Nov
10		 UNC Wilmington B+ A+ F A+ A+ 23% 15% 63% B A+ D+ A+ B- C- A+ D A+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 51% 15% 34% F A+ C- D D F A D+ B+
1.19 82% 29% 43% +13 0 1.27 23% 1.4 .33 15% .39 71% .28 1.07 42% 44% 19% -15 +2 0.75 35% 1.2 .42 10% .28 72% .20
Nov
15		 Cleveland St. B+ B D- F F+ 46% 12% 42% B+ D B- A+ A C+ A+ D+ A+ F D B- F F 22% 12% 66% C F+ F C F B- F D- F
1.34 70% 33% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.4 .54 14% .71 74% .52 1.25 64% 33% 42% +9 0 1.20 47% 1.1 .50 20% .49 80% .39
Nov
16		 Wright St. D D D+ F F 46% 15% 38% B F A+ C A F A+ A A+ A F C- A+ B- 37% 28% 35% B+ B- A F B- D+ C+ A+ B
1.03 54% 38% 20% -10 +1 0.85 43% 1.1 .45 24% .47 81% .38 0.98 70% 40% 21% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.3 .32 15% .30 63% .19
Nov
18		 Eastern Kentucky D+ B- F D+ D 48% 12% 40% A D+ C- A- B- F A+ D+ A+ A- C+ D A A- 23% 13% 64% F+ B C- C C A+ F A+ F+
1.14 64% 33% 33% +2 +2 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 20% .56 70% .40 0.96 54% 43% 28% -6 0 0.89 33% 1.1 .35 23% .38 63% .24
Nov
22		 Cleveland St. D D+ F A+ C+ 30% 7% 63% B- B- B- F D+ F F+ D+ F+ A A+ F C A 48% 14% 39% F B+ A+ F B A F C+ F
1.16 59% 25% 44% +9 +1 1.23 40% 0.9 .34 24% .25 73% .19 0.91 43% 50% 35% -5 +2 0.95 13% 1.8 .22 23% .50 73% .37
Dec
3		 Austin Peay A B+ C+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% B A+ F+ A+ A C A+ C+ A+ D- B- D+ F F 41% 9% 50% F+ F C- A+ A+ D+ B+ B+ B+
1.31 68% 40% 54% +19 +1 1.44 23% 1.7 .38 18% .53 72% .38 1.14 52% 40% 46% +7 +2 1.20 30% 0.5 .16 15% .26 69% .18
Dec
14		 Portland D- C+ F F F 45% 18% 37% B- F+ B+ C B+ F A+ A+ A+ C D- F+ C- F+ 47% 18% 35% D+ F+ A- C+ B+ C C- A C+
0.96 59% 22% 22% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.1 .42 29% .49 86% .42 1.08 68% 45% 33% +6 +1 1.15 23% 1.1 .26 20% .32 67% .21
Dec
20		 Massachusetts D- F A+ F D- 33% 18% 49% C- D- D A C- D+ F B F+ A+ B A+ F A+ 40% 32% 28% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- F D F
0.98 50% 67% 25% -4 0 0.94 23% 1.3 .29 18% .29 76% .23 0.83 53% 0% 46% -9 -1 0.81 22% 0.8 .17 20% .42 71% .30
Dec
29		 Purdue F A F F D- 18% 36% 46% F+ F+ F+ F F+ D C+ A+ B C- D- F D F 25% 26% 49% A- D- A+ F A+ D+ C+ F D
0.79 70% 25% 27% -7 -3 0.80 15% 0.8 .13 20% .23 79% .18 1.33 71% 73% 39% +16 -2 1.32 21% 1.5 .32 11% .28 89% .25
Jan
3		 Northern Illinois D- B- A+ F F 38% 18% 44% D+ F+ B- F D+ D- A+ B+ A+ D+ D+ A- F F 29% 17% 55% B+ F F B D A+ F A- F
1.05 65% 50% 20% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.8 .30 19% .68 78% .52 1.00 58% 29% 43% +6 0 1.14 40% 0.7 .29 30% .59 60% .35
Jan
6		 Bowling Green A+ A B A+ A+ 42% 13% 45% B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A- C- A+ B+ F C A+ F D- 53% 9% 38% F+ D- F F F F+ F F F
1.36 68% 43% 42% +10 +1 1.25 34% 1.5 .52 14% .31 89% .28 1.32 56% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.15 44% 1.2 .52 13% .51 87% .44
Jan
10		 Central Michigan B- D- F D F 38% 15% 47% C F A+ A A+ F D C D+ F+ C+ C- A B 34% 29% 37% B- B F F F F F C F+
1.17 52% 13% 31% -8 +1 0.87 50% 1.4 .68 21% .30 71% .21 1.20 55% 41% 27% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.4 .52 10% .35 70% .24
Jan
13		 Buffalo B+ B+ F A+ B- 44% 16% 40% C+ B- B- A A- C+ B- B- B C- C A+ F C+ 38% 22% 40% B- C+ A+ F B- F F B D-
1.24 68% 13% 45% +7 +1 1.18 36% 1.2 .42 17% .31 78% .24 1.15 57% 25% 41% +1 0 1.04 15% 1.7 .26 7% .41 70% .29
Jan
16		 Toledo B B+ C+ C- C+ 45% 11% 45% B C+ B+ D+ B- A+ A+ C+ A+ D B A+ F B 53% 13% 35% F C C F F C F A- F
1.21 67% 40% 33% +4 +2 1.13 41% 0.9 .38 13% .57 72% .41 1.17 52% 29% 42% 0 +2 1.05 29% 1.4 .41 15% .48 69% .33
Jan
20		 Miami (OH) A- B+ B D+ C+ 43% 13% 45% A- B- A+ B A+ D A+ A- A+ F F F B F 40% 15% 45% D+ F C A+ A F F A+ D-
1.23 67% 43% 32% +3 +1 1.11 44% 1.0 .44 19% .47 81% .38 1.30 84% 67% 32% +13 +1 1.31 24% 0.7 .16 7% .44 65% .29
Jan
24		 Eastern Michigan D C+ D+ B B- 32% 26% 42% D- C+ C F F F A+ A- A+ B F A+ A+ A+ 33% 35% 32% A- A+ D A C+ F C+ F D
0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37 0.96 71% 5% 25% -12 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22
Jan
27		 Ohio F+ F A+ F F 52% 7% 40% A F A+ C A F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 9% 49% F A+ B A- B+ D+ B C B-
1.00 41% 67% 24% -13 +3 0.81 46% 1.1 .49 28% .68 74% .50 0.79 36% 20% 23% -19 +2 0.68 24% 0.8 .20 14% .27 71% .19
Jan
30		 Akron F F+ F F F 42% 22% 36% C- F A+ F C- F+ A+ F B+ A+ B+ F B B- 29% 17% 54% B+ B A A+ A+ B+ B A+ A-
0.76 48% 27% 0% -25 0 0.52 45% 0.7 .30 22% .39 62% .24 1.01 53% 67% 32% +2 0 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .22 67% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Toledo C F F+ C- F 31% 24% 44% F+ F A- B- A- C A+ C+ A+ B+ B- F B B- 49% 21% 30% F+ C+ D A+ B+ C- C+ D C
1.10 41% 31% 33% -8 -1 0.85 42% 1.1 .44 18% .37 71% .27 1.06 54% 55% 31% 0 +1 1.04 32% 0.7 .22 15% .26 80% .21
Feb
7		 Southern Miss D+ F A+ F F 34% 16% 50% C F+ C+ C- C A- D F F C+ A+ B- B A- 38% 32% 30% C+ A- F A- C- D F D- F
1.00 41% 63% 28% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 14% .32 44% .14 1.02 44% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 17% .44 79% .35
Feb
11		 Eastern Michigan A+ F A+ A+ A 28% 26% 47% D- A- B- A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F F F D F 33% 33% 33% B+ F F A+ D+ C+ A F+ B+
1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47 1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14
Feb
14		 Ball St. C- F+ A+ B C- 40% 12% 48% B+ C D D- D- D A+ F A- B A A+ C+ A- 49% 9% 42% F B A- C B D F D+ F
1.03 50% 50% 38% +1 +1 1.06 29% 0.9 .26 21% .40 70% .28 0.94 42% 0% 32% -13 +2 0.81 20% 0.9 .18 14% .48 73% .35
Feb
17		 Bowling Green C+ F B A B- 29% 16% 56% C- B- C- F F A A+ D+ A+ B+ A- B- A+ A+ 59% 6% 35% F A B- C+ C+ B- F B F
1.08 46% 43% 40% +2 0 1.07 26% 0.3 .08 14% .64 70% .45 0.98 48% 33% 24% -12 +3 0.86 25% 0.8 .20 18% .60 69% .42
Feb
24		 Central Michigan B B B- B- B 39% 11% 50% C+ B A B+ A+ D- A+ A A+ F F A F F 26% 28% 47% B F C- F F C+ F C+ F
1.24 65% 40% 36% +5 +1 1.14 47% 1.3 .60 19% .52 79% .41 1.21 75% 31% 45% +10 -2 1.19 30% 1.7 .50 19% .41 68% .28
Feb
27		 Akron D D- B- A- B- 34% 9% 57% B- B- F+ F F D+ F F F F F D F F 31% 22% 47% A- F D+ D+ D A- F+ C- F+
0.99 50% 40% 40% +3 +1 1.09 24% 0.8 .19 20% .20 45% .09 1.31 75% 45% 50% +18 -1 1.37 36% 1.3 .46 20% .32 78% .25
Mar
3		 Northern Illinois A+ F A+ A C 37% 12% 52% C C B- A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ C- D A A C+ 43% 9% 49% D C B- B B- C- F F+ F
1.34 42% 67% 41% +3 +1 1.10 35% 1.6 .56 12% .52 83% .43 1.00 60% 25% 26% -6 +2 0.94 28% 0.7 .20 21% .60 72% .43



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 17.2 82.8 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 17.2 82.8 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 82.8% 5.8% 5.8% 13.2 0.8 2.5 1.4 0.1 78.0
13-5 17.2% 3.7% 3.7% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 16.6
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 13.2 94.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.8% 100.0% 13.2 16.0 52.9 30.0 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 33.2%
Lose Out 8.4%