Ohio
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#194
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#271
Pace74.5#62
Improvement+0.4#162

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#175
First Shot+1.4#137
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#285
Layup/Dunks+3.3#75
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#284
Freethrows-0.5#208
Improvement-0.2#201

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#236
First Shot+2.1#106
After Offensive Rebounds-4.2#349
Layups/Dunks+0.6#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#262
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#226
Freethrows+3.6#17
Improvement+0.6#133
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.0% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.9
.500 or above 23.7% 31.8% 13.3%
.500 or above in Conference 57.4% 62.4% 50.9%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.2% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 2.6% 4.8%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round2.3% 2.8% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 56.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 75 - 12
Quad 48 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 155 Arkansas St. L 85-89 53%     0 - 1 -7.0 +4.9 -11.6
  Thu, Nov 6 101 Illinois St. W 72-68 34%     1 - 1 +5.8 -0.4 +6.2
  Tue, Nov 11 42 @St. Mary's L 60-90 6%     1 - 2 -15.2 -3.9 -11.5
  Sat, Nov 15 14 @Louisville L 81-106 3%     1 - 3 -4.1 +9.6 -11.7
  Wed, Nov 19 218 Bethune-Cookman L 73-76 66%     1 - 4 -9.5 -0.8 -8.9
  Mon, Nov 24 66 George Mason L 69-92 15%     1 - 5 -14.4 +2.3 -17.6
  Tue, Nov 25 143 Loyola Marymount L 58-70 36%     1 - 6 -10.7 -13.1 +2.7
  Wed, Dec 3 326 Maine W 79-57 82%     2 - 6 +9.7 +9.6 +1.6
  Sat, Dec 6 170 Marshall W 81-79 56%    
  Sat, Dec 13 111 St. Bonaventure L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Dec 20 119 Bowling Green L 75-78 41%    
  Tue, Dec 30 309 @Central Michigan W 78-75 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 203 @Eastern Michigan L 73-76 40%    
  Tue, Jan 6 175 Massachusetts W 81-79 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 215 Buffalo W 80-76 64%    
  Tue, Jan 13 173 @Toledo L 79-83 35%    
  Fri, Jan 16 316 @Ball St. W 75-72 62%    
  Tue, Jan 20 330 Northern Illinois W 84-74 82%    
  Sat, Jan 24 54 Akron L 81-90 20%    
  Tue, Jan 27 122 @Kent St. L 80-88 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 215 @Buffalo L 77-79 43%    
  Tue, Feb 3 267 Western Michigan W 81-74 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 127 @Miami (OH) L 77-85 24%    
  Tue, Feb 17 316 Ball St. W 78-69 79%    
  Sat, Feb 21 330 @Northern Illinois W 81-77 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 173 Toledo W 82-80 57%    
  Tue, Mar 3 175 @Massachusetts L 78-82 36%    
  Fri, Mar 6 127 Miami (OH) L 80-82 43%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.3 1.4 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.7 3.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.4 3.2 5.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 6.0 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 6.1 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.3 4.0 0.6 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.6 4.2 4.6 0.9 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.2 2.7 4.0 1.2 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 3.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 4.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.8 5.4 8.1 11.0 13.4 14.2 13.4 11.5 8.2 5.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 94.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 73.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 43.7% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0
14-4 21.4% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 28.6% 28.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 21.4% 21.4% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.3
15-3 1.2% 10.9% 10.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
14-4 2.8% 7.9% 7.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5
13-5 5.5% 6.3% 6.3% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.2
12-6 8.2% 6.5% 6.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.6
11-7 11.5% 3.8% 3.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 11.1
10-8 13.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.0
9-9 14.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 14.0
8-10 13.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.4
7-11 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 8.1% 8.1
5-13 5.4% 5.4
4-14 2.8% 2.8
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.5 97.6 0.0%