IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Ohio
Mid-American
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.5	#158
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.5	#251

Pace	68.1	#215
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.8	#76

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#280

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.1%	20.8%	13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.0	13.9

.500 or above	72.0%	90.3%	70.1%
.500 or above in Conference	79.8%	89.6%	78.8%
Conference Champion	17.3%	27.5%	16.3%
Last Place in Conference	1.5%	0.5%	1.6%

First Four	0.4%	0.1%	0.5%
First Round	13.9%	20.8%	13.2%
Second Round	1.6%	3.9%	1.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	1.1%	0.3%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 3	16 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	126	@ James Madison	L	78-88	31%	0 - 1			-4.5	+5.7	-9.9
Nov 09, 2024	211	UNC Asheville	W	82-76	73%	1 - 1			+0.3	+2.4	-2.3
Nov 12, 2024	173	@ Illinois St.	L	75-85	43%	1 - 2			-7.7	+10.7	-19.3
Nov 15, 2024	34	@ Memphis	L	73-87	9%
Nov 21, 2024	129	Middle Tennessee	L	71-73	44%
Nov 30, 2024	295	Robert Morris	W	80-70	83%
Dec 07, 2024	274	Morehead St.	W	75-65	81%
Dec 14, 2024	200	@ Marshall	L	77-78	50%
Dec 18, 2024	215	Austin Peay	W	74-68	72%
Jan 04, 2025	201	@ Central Michigan	L	71-72	49%
Jan 07, 2025	315	@ Buffalo	W	81-75	71%
Jan 11, 2025	294	Northern Illinois	W	80-70	82%
Jan 14, 2025	224	Ball St.	W	77-70	72%
Jan 18, 2025	135	@ Akron	L	73-77	36%
Jan 21, 2025	298	@ Eastern Michigan	W	74-69	65%
Jan 25, 2025	122	Kent St.	W	73-72	52%
Jan 28, 2025	149	Toledo	W	81-78	58%
Feb 01, 2025	213	@ Miami (OH)	W	75-74	51%
Feb 04, 2025	311	Western Michigan	W	81-69	84%
Feb 11, 2025	270	@ Bowling Green	W	78-75	61%
Feb 15, 2025	122	@ Kent St.	L	70-75	32%
Feb 18, 2025	201	Central Michigan	W	75-69	69%
Feb 22, 2025	135	Akron	W	76-74	57%
Feb 25, 2025	311	@ Western Michigan	W	78-72	68%
Mar 01, 2025	213	Miami (OH)	W	77-71	71%
Mar 04, 2025	298	Eastern Michigan	W	77-66	81%
Mar 07, 2025	149	@ Toledo	L	78-81	39%
Projected Record						15 - 12	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.4	2.0	4.5	4.8	3.5	1.6	0.4		17.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.7	3.3	5.8	4.2	1.5	0.1				15.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.7	3.8	6.0	3.1	0.6	0.0					14.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	3.3	5.5	2.7	0.4	0.0						12.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.4	4.9	2.5	0.3	0.0							10.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.7	4.4	2.6	0.4									9.2	6th
7th							0.1	1.0	3.2	2.2	0.4	0.0									6.8	7th
8th						0.0	0.6	2.4	2.1	0.3	0.0										5.4	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	1.4	1.6	0.4	0.0											3.8	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	1.0	1.0	0.3	0.0												2.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0													1.6	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1															0.7	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.1	2.1	3.3	5.4	7.6	9.8	11.8	13.0	12.7	11.3	9.3	6.3	3.6	1.6	0.4			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
17-1	100.0%	1.6		1.6	0.0
16-2	96.2%	3.5		3.1	0.4	0.0
15-3	76.3%	4.8		3.3	1.3	0.1
14-4	48.5%	4.5		2.1	1.9	0.5	0.0
13-5	18.0%	2.0		0.5	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.5%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	17.3%	17.3		11.0	4.8	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		56.1%	53.5%	2.6%	10.6					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.2		5.7%
17-1	1.6%		51.0%	51.0%		12.1										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0			0.8
16-2	3.6%		41.4%	41.4%		12.7											0.0	0.0	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0		2.1
15-3	6.3%		32.6%	32.6%		13.2												0.0	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.1		4.2
14-4	9.3%		25.7%	25.7%		13.6												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.0	0.3	0.0	6.9
13-5	11.3%		20.8%	20.8%		14.0													0.1	0.6	1.1	0.6	0.1	8.9
12-6	12.7%		14.2%	14.2%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.7	0.8	0.1	10.9
11-7	13.0%		10.0%	10.0%		14.7														0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	11.7
10-8	11.8%		6.9%	6.9%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.2	11.0
9-9	9.8%		5.7%	5.7%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	9.2
8-10	7.6%		2.6%	2.6%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.1	7.4
7-11	5.4%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	5.4
6-12	3.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
5-13	2.1%																							2.1
4-14	1.1%																							1.1
3-15	0.5%																							0.5
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.1%	14.1%	0.0%	13.8					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.8	3.6	4.1	3.2	1.1	85.9		0.0%