Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#311
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#329
Pace70.3#150
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#306
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#295
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 8.8% 12.9% 3.4%
.500 or above in Conference 21.2% 25.9% 14.9%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 24.4% 20.1% 30.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round0.9% 1.2% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 57.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 47 - 89 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 268   @ Coastal Carolina L 56-60 30%     0 - 1 -6.6 -11.4 +4.4
  Nov 11, 2024 93   @ Butler L 65-85 7%     0 - 2 -11.5 -4.1 -7.3
  Nov 15, 2024 293   SIU Edwardsville W 71-69 57%    
  Nov 17, 2024 318   Canisius W 73-69 63%    
  Nov 20, 2024 252   South Dakota L 75-76 48%    
  Nov 27, 2024 185   @ Youngstown St. L 67-77 19%    
  Dec 03, 2024 58   @ Dayton L 61-81 4%    
  Dec 13, 2024 169   @ St. Thomas L 67-78 17%    
  Dec 15, 2024 222   @ North Dakota St. L 69-77 24%    
  Dec 20, 2024 278   Valparaiso W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 30, 2024 27   @ Michigan St. L 60-84 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 149   Toledo L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 07, 2025 270   Bowling Green W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 213   @ Miami (OH) L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 14, 2025 122   @ Kent St. L 63-77 11%    
  Jan 18, 2025 315   Buffalo W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 21, 2025 294   Northern Illinois W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 25, 2025 201   @ Central Michigan L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 28, 2025 224   @ Ball St. L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 298   Eastern Michigan W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 04, 2025 158   @ Ohio L 69-81 16%    
  Feb 11, 2025 135   @ Akron L 65-78 14%    
  Feb 15, 2025 213   Miami (OH) L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 18, 2025 315   @ Buffalo L 74-77 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 201   Central Michigan L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 25, 2025 158   Ohio L 72-78 32%    
  Mar 01, 2025 294   @ Northern Illinois L 70-74 36%    
  Mar 04, 2025 122   Kent St. L 66-74 25%    
  Mar 07, 2025 270   @ Bowling Green L 71-76 33%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.5 0.6 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 3.2 1.2 0.1 6.6 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 4.2 1.9 0.2 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.2 3.0 0.4 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.5 3.8 0.7 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.1 4.5 0.9 0.0 15.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.8 6.0 3.9 1.0 0.0 15.9 11th
12th 0.9 2.8 4.8 4.7 2.3 0.6 0.1 16.1 12th
Total 0.9 2.8 5.9 9.0 11.7 13.2 13.1 12.2 10.1 7.6 5.7 3.7 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 88.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 77.4% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 45.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 19.4% 19.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 11.2% 11.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.2% 9.1% 9.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-6 2.2% 7.6% 7.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.0
11-7 3.7% 5.1% 5.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.5
10-8 5.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.5
9-9 7.6% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 7.4
8-10 10.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.0
7-11 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.1
6-12 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-13 13.2% 13.2
4-14 11.7% 11.7
3-15 9.0% 9.0
2-16 5.9% 5.9
1-17 2.8% 2.8
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%