IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#294
Expected Predictive Rating	-4.2	#260

Pace	70.0	#162
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.1	#296

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.9	#258

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.8%	3.4%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.8	15.2

.500 or above	17.8%	39.4%	16.1%
.500 or above in Conference	30.0%	45.5%	28.8%
Conference Champion	1.5%	3.4%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	17.5%	9.4%	18.1%

First Four	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%
First Round	1.6%	3.1%	1.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 7	10 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	197	@ Georgia Southern	L	65-80	23%	0 - 1			-14.1	-12.1	-1.1
Nov 12, 2024	285	Monmouth	W	79-66	60%	1 - 1			+3.6	-0.7	+4.0
Nov 16, 2024	90	@ Bradley	L	63-79	7%
Nov 20, 2024	272	Elon	W	73-71	57%
Nov 23, 2024	114	@ DePaul	L	66-80	10%
Nov 27, 2024	278	@ Valparaiso	L	70-74	37%
Nov 29, 2024	336	@ Eastern Illinois	W	74-73	52%
Dec 07, 2024	128	@ Northern Iowa	L	65-77	13%
Dec 18, 2024	173	@ Illinois St.	L	64-73	20%
Jan 04, 2025	298	@ Eastern Michigan	L	66-69	40%
Jan 07, 2025	122	Kent St.	L	66-73	27%
Jan 11, 2025	158	@ Ohio	L	70-80	18%
Jan 14, 2025	213	Miami (OH)	L	71-72	46%
Jan 18, 2025	201	Central Michigan	L	68-70	44%
Jan 21, 2025	311	@ Western Michigan	L	71-73	44%
Jan 25, 2025	224	Ball St.	L	70-71	47%
Jan 28, 2025	135	Akron	L	69-74	32%
Feb 01, 2025	149	@ Toledo	L	71-82	17%
Feb 04, 2025	270	@ Bowling Green	L	71-75	35%
Feb 11, 2025	315	Buffalo	W	78-73	65%
Feb 15, 2025	224	@ Ball St.	L	67-74	28%
Feb 18, 2025	135	@ Akron	L	66-77	17%
Feb 22, 2025	298	Eastern Michigan	W	69-66	60%
Feb 25, 2025	213	@ Miami (OH)	L	68-75	28%
Mar 01, 2025	311	Western Michigan	W	74-70	64%
Mar 04, 2025	270	Bowling Green	W	74-72	56%
Mar 07, 2025	201	@ Central Michigan	L	65-73	26%
Projected Record						10 - 17	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	0.9	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	1.6	1.7	0.6	0.1						4.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	1.9	2.4	0.8	0.1							5.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.2	3.1	1.2	0.1	0.0							6.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.3	4.0	1.7	0.1									8.4	6th
7th							0.2	2.0	4.9	2.4	0.2	0.0									9.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.0	5.4	3.4	0.5	0.0										11.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.1	5.3	4.1	0.6	0.0											12.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	2.4	5.4	4.0	0.8	0.0												12.9	10th
11th		0.1	0.8	3.0	4.8	3.3	0.9	0.0													12.9	11th
12th	0.4	1.5	3.2	3.2	2.0	0.5	0.0														10.9	12th

Total	0.4	1.6	4.0	6.6	9.4	11.6	12.4	12.6	11.5	9.6	7.4	5.6	3.5	2.1	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	93.8%	0.1		0.1
16-2	95.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	79.5%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	42.6%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.1
13-5	17.1%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.5%	1.5		0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
17-1	0.1%																		0.0	0.0				0.0
16-2	0.2%		30.4%	30.4%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-3	0.4%		22.0%	22.0%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
14-4	1.0%		13.5%	13.5%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.9
13-5	2.1%		11.9%	11.9%		14.6														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.9
12-6	3.5%		8.5%	8.5%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	3.2
11-7	5.6%		4.7%	4.7%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	5.3
10-8	7.4%		3.5%	3.5%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	7.1
9-9	9.6%		2.0%	2.0%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	9.4
8-10	11.5%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.2	11.4
7-11	12.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
6-12	12.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
5-13	11.6%																							11.6
4-14	9.4%																							9.4
3-15	6.6%																							6.6
2-16	4.0%																							4.0
1-17	1.6%																							1.6
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		1.8%	1.8%	0.0%	15.1													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	98.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%