Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.8#356
Expected Predictive Rating-16.3#354
Pace72.7#78
Improvement-0.5#204

Offense
Total Offense-8.2#351
First Shot-2.8#264
After Offensive Rebound-5.3#363
Layup/Dunks-8.0#362
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#69
Freethrows+2.2#62
Improvement+0.7#136

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#334
First Shot-3.9#303
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#309
Layups/Dunks-2.3#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#183
Freethrows-2.5#331
Improvement-1.2#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 75.3% 51.9% 81.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Away) - 20.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 30 - 80 - 13
Quad 44 - 114 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 272   @ Georgia Southern L 65-80 17%     0 - 1 -18.5 -13.1 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 267   Monmouth W 79-66 31%     1 - 1 +4.3 +0.9 +3.1
  Nov 16, 2024 73   @ Bradley L 60-76 2%     1 - 2 -5.6 -4.7 -1.6
  Nov 20, 2024 158   Elon L 48-75 15%     1 - 3 -29.4 -24.8 -5.7
  Nov 23, 2024 106   @ DePaul L 52-98 4%     1 - 4 -39.7 -21.8 -15.7
  Nov 27, 2024 214   @ Valparaiso L 82-87 11%     1 - 5 -5.1 +3.8 -8.6
  Nov 29, 2024 344   @ Eastern Illinois L 59-72 32%     1 - 6 -22.0 -15.8 -6.2
  Dec 07, 2024 113   @ Northern Iowa L 57-101 5%     1 - 7 -38.3 -11.7 -28.8
  Dec 18, 2024 144   @ Illinois St. L 60-81 6%     1 - 8 -16.9 -14.3 -2.5
  Jan 04, 2025 313   @ Eastern Michigan L 71-75 23%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -9.9 -7.2 -2.6
  Jan 07, 2025 159   Kent St. L 50-68 15%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -20.5 -18.6 -2.5
  Jan 11, 2025 147   @ Ohio L 70-108 6%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -34.1 -10.1 -19.6
  Jan 14, 2025 153   Miami (OH) L 69-84 14%     1 - 12 0 - 4 -17.0 -6.4 -10.3
  Jan 18, 2025 225   Central Michigan L 66-71 24%     1 - 13 0 - 5 -11.4 -0.9 -11.0
  Jan 21, 2025 304   @ Western Michigan L 71-80 20%    
  Jan 25, 2025 250   Ball St. L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 28, 2025 124   Akron L 70-84 11%    
  Feb 01, 2025 194   @ Toledo L 72-87 8%    
  Feb 04, 2025 285   @ Bowling Green L 70-79 19%    
  Feb 08, 2025 307   Louisiana L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 11, 2025 329   Buffalo L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 250   @ Ball St. L 68-80 14%    
  Feb 18, 2025 124   @ Akron L 68-87 4%    
  Feb 22, 2025 313   Eastern Michigan L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 25, 2025 153   @ Miami (OH) L 66-83 5%    
  Mar 01, 2025 304   Western Michigan L 74-77 40%    
  Mar 04, 2025 285   Bowling Green L 73-77 37%    
  Mar 07, 2025 225   @ Central Michigan L 63-76 12%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 6th
7th 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 7th
8th 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.7 4.0 4.6 0.9 0.1 10.1 10th
11th 0.2 2.5 8.1 8.9 2.4 0.1 22.1 11th
12th 5.1 15.4 21.0 13.6 4.1 0.3 59.6 12th
Total 5.1 15.6 23.6 22.3 17.2 9.5 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.1% 0.0 0.1
8-10 0.5% 0.5
7-11 1.7% 1.7
6-12 4.3% 4.3
5-13 9.5% 9.5
4-14 17.2% 17.2
3-15 22.3% 22.3
2-16 23.6% 23.6
1-17 15.6% 15.6
0-18 5.1% 5.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.6%