Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#341
Expected Predictive Rating-16.9#357
Pace71.9#77
Improvement+4.6#28

Offense
Total Offense-8.1#351
First Shot-2.7#256
After Offensive Rebound-5.5#363
Layup/Dunks-8.1#362
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#64
Freethrows+2.3#57
Improvement+2.4#74

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#284
First Shot-2.4#249
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#295
Layups/Dunks-1.6#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#170
Freethrows-2.1#315
Improvement+2.2#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 90.4% 81.3% 97.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Home) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 50 - 5
Quad 30 - 80 - 13
Quad 43 - 124 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 248   @ Georgia Southern L 65-80 18%     0 - 1 -17.3 -12.9 -3.5
  Nov 12, 2024 255   Monmouth W 79-66 35%     1 - 1 +5.2 +0.4 +4.6
  Nov 16, 2024 94   @ Bradley L 60-76 5%     1 - 2 -8.3 -6.8 -2.3
  Nov 20, 2024 175   Elon L 48-75 21%     1 - 3 -30.4 -25.2 -6.3
  Nov 23, 2024 120   @ DePaul L 52-98 7%     1 - 4 -40.9 -20.5 -18.1
  Nov 27, 2024 238   @ Valparaiso L 82-87 17%     1 - 5 -6.6 +1.7 -8.0
  Nov 29, 2024 338   @ Eastern Illinois L 59-72 39%     1 - 6 -21.9 -14.0 -7.8
  Dec 07, 2024 100   @ Northern Iowa L 57-101 5%     1 - 7 -36.9 -9.7 -29.4
  Dec 18, 2024 127   @ Illinois St. L 60-81 7%     1 - 8 -16.7 -14.8 -1.8
  Jan 04, 2025 291   @ Eastern Michigan L 71-75 24%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -8.6 -6.8 -1.7
  Jan 07, 2025 137   Kent St. L 50-68 16%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -19.3 -20.4 +0.5
  Jan 11, 2025 172   @ Ohio L 70-108 10%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -36.0 -11.0 -20.6
  Jan 14, 2025 171   Miami (OH) L 69-84 20%     1 - 12 0 - 4 -18.0 -7.3 -10.5
  Jan 18, 2025 215   Central Michigan L 66-71 26%     1 - 13 0 - 5 -10.3 -2.7 -8.2
  Jan 21, 2025 302   @ Western Michigan L 70-72 27%     1 - 14 0 - 6 -7.4 -3.1 -4.3
  Jan 25, 2025 261   Ball St. W 76-66 35%     2 - 14 1 - 6 +2.0 -0.1 +2.5
  Jan 28, 2025 102   Akron L 70-80 11%     2 - 15 1 - 7 -8.2 -7.9 +0.4
  Feb 01, 2025 221   @ Toledo L 85-89 15%     2 - 16 1 - 8 -4.7 +2.1 -6.5
  Feb 04, 2025 301   @ Bowling Green L 77-84 26%     2 - 17 1 - 9 -12.3 +1.1 -13.3
  Feb 08, 2025 289   Louisiana L 64-66 41%     2 - 18 -11.6 -13.2 +1.6
  Feb 11, 2025 352   Buffalo L 67-73 65%     2 - 19 1 - 10 -21.7 -10.7 -11.1
  Feb 15, 2025 261   @ Ball St. L 83-89 OT 20%     2 - 20 1 - 11 -8.9 -3.4 -4.8
  Feb 18, 2025 102   @ Akron L 63-73 5%     2 - 21 1 - 12 -3.1 -7.3 +4.3
  Feb 22, 2025 291   Eastern Michigan L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 25, 2025 171   @ Miami (OH) L 67-81 9%    
  Mar 01, 2025 302   Western Michigan L 72-73 46%    
  Mar 04, 2025 301   Bowling Green L 73-74 47%    
  Mar 07, 2025 215   @ Central Michigan L 66-78 13%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.8 10th
11th 15.6 11.7 2.5 0.0 29.8 11th
12th 13.7 35.0 18.2 2.4 0.0 69.2 12th
Total 13.7 35.0 33.7 14.1 3.2 0.3 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 14.1% 14.1
3-15 33.7% 33.7
2-16 35.0% 35.0
1-17 13.7% 13.7
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3%
Lose Out 13.7%