Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#285
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#327
Pace70.2#157
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#250
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#303
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.6% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 5.3% 18.6% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 44.5% 26.5%
Conference Champion 0.9% 2.0% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 14.9% 5.7% 15.2%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round0.9% 1.5% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 32 - 82 - 16
Quad 47 - 710 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 27   @ Michigan St. L 57-81 3%     0 - 1 -8.3 -7.7 +0.1
  Nov 08, 2024 112   Temple L 74-103 17%     0 - 2 -25.2 -1.3 -22.4
  Nov 12, 2024 294   @ Northern Illinois L 66-79 40%     0 - 3 -16.9 -9.4 -7.3
  Nov 15, 2024 37   @ Rutgers L 61-82 3%    
  Nov 18, 2024 86   @ Wichita St. L 66-82 7%    
  Nov 21, 2024 185   Youngstown St. L 71-76 32%    
  Nov 22, 2024 171   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-76 21%    
  Nov 23, 2024 264   Presbyterian L 75-76 45%    
  Nov 30, 2024 97   @ Seton Hall L 58-73 9%    
  Dec 04, 2024 260   @ Lehigh L 74-78 35%    
  Dec 10, 2024 107   @ Princeton L 68-82 11%    
  Dec 21, 2024 258   Fairfield W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 30, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 62-91 0.5%   
  Jan 02, 2025 287   Stony Brook W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 04, 2025 204   @ Delaware L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 09, 2025 156   UNC Wilmington L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 11, 2025 100   College of Charleston L 78-86 23%    
  Jan 16, 2025 300   @ N.C. A&T L 76-78 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 304   @ Campbell L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 23, 2025 272   @ Elon L 71-75 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 244   @ William & Mary L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 30, 2025 137   Drexel L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 204   Delaware L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 06, 2025 323   Hampton W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 134   Towson L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 13, 2025 287   @ Stony Brook L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 134   @ Towson L 64-75 17%    
  Feb 20, 2025 131   @ Hofstra L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 170   Northeastern L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 27, 2025 272   Elon W 74-72 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 137   @ Drexel L 63-74 18%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.9 0.6 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.5 1.0 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 4.6 2.0 0.2 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.7 4.4 0.8 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.1 4.8 1.4 0.1 11.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.9 1.8 0.1 11.2 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 3.4 4.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.1 13th
14th 0.5 1.6 2.8 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.7 14th
Total 0.5 1.7 4.0 6.8 9.9 12.1 13.1 13.2 11.7 9.3 7.0 4.6 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 90.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 71.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 33.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.4% 19.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 16.0% 16.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 0.8% 11.8% 11.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.7% 8.7% 8.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6
12-6 3.0% 6.6% 6.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.8
11-7 4.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.5
10-8 7.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.9
9-9 9.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.2
8-10 11.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.6
7-11 13.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.1
6-12 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-13 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.1
4-14 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
3-15 6.8% 6.8
2-16 4.0% 4.0
1-17 1.7% 1.7
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%