Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#138
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#127
Pace72.9#73
Improvement-8.4#363

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#142
First Shot+2.9#99
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#281
Layup/Dunks+7.5#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#338
Freethrows+2.6#43
Improvement-3.1#330

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#160
First Shot+4.3#54
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#361
Layups/Dunks+0.9#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#188
Freethrows+3.5#8
Improvement-5.3#360
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.2% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.5 13.1
.500 or above 71.6% 89.2% 69.4%
.500 or above in Conference 23.5% 47.5% 20.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 3.3% 8.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.9% 3.2% 1.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 11.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 38 - 410 - 11
Quad 47 - 417 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 135   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 39%     1 - 0 +11.5 +9.2 +1.2
  Nov 09, 2024 180   Montana St. W 89-69 69%     2 - 0 +16.4 +15.8 +0.8
  Nov 14, 2024 113   Northern Iowa W 79-73 55%     3 - 0 +6.2 +5.8 +0.5
  Nov 18, 2024 267   Monmouth W 70-66 83%     4 - 0 -4.7 -6.8 +2.0
  Nov 22, 2024 102   Saint Louis W 88-63 41%     5 - 0 +29.0 +6.6 +19.9
  Nov 28, 2024 98   Minnesota W 68-66 OT 37%     6 - 0 +7.0 -3.8 +10.8
  Nov 29, 2024 5   Florida L 51-88 5%     6 - 1 -16.5 -12.3 -4.9
  Dec 04, 2024 332   Alcorn St. W 78-54 92%     7 - 1 +10.3 -0.9 +11.2
  Dec 07, 2024 146   East Tennessee St. W 96-87 62%     8 - 1 +7.4 +13.7 -7.1
  Dec 14, 2024 106   @ DePaul L 72-91 33%     8 - 2 -12.7 -1.0 -11.2
  Dec 17, 2024 223   UMKC L 64-74 77%     8 - 3 -16.3 -6.8 -10.1
  Dec 21, 2024 89   Kansas St. W 84-65 42%     9 - 3 +22.6 +12.5 +10.1
  Jan 03, 2025 110   @ Temple L 85-91 34%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -0.1 +6.6 -6.1
  Jan 06, 2025 154   South Florida L 72-91 64%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -21.1 -3.5 -17.3
  Jan 11, 2025 229   @ Texas San Antonio L 75-88 60%     9 - 6 0 - 3 -14.1 +0.0 -14.3
  Jan 14, 2025 224   Charlotte W 68-59 78%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +2.6 -4.4 +7.5
  Jan 18, 2025 164   East Carolina L 72-75 66%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -5.6 +2.5 -8.3
  Jan 23, 2025 43   @ Memphis L 73-86 11%    
  Jan 26, 2025 251   @ Tulsa W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 29, 2025 65   North Texas L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 04, 2025 224   @ Charlotte W 74-71 58%    
  Feb 09, 2025 154   @ South Florida L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 12, 2025 229   Texas San Antonio W 85-77 78%    
  Feb 16, 2025 43   Memphis L 76-83 26%    
  Feb 20, 2025 108   @ Florida Atlantic L 78-83 33%    
  Feb 23, 2025 148   Tulane W 77-74 63%    
  Feb 27, 2025 97   UAB L 80-81 49%    
  Mar 03, 2025 65   @ North Texas L 62-72 18%    
  Mar 06, 2025 192   @ Rice W 73-72 51%    
  Mar 09, 2025 251   Tulsa W 78-69 81%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 1.3 0.3 3.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 2.9 0.7 0.0 5.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.8 1.9 0.1 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 6.8 4.4 0.6 13.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 6.5 7.4 1.2 0.0 16.1 8th
9th 0.4 5.1 8.4 2.2 0.1 16.3 9th
10th 0.1 2.7 7.8 3.2 0.2 0.0 14.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 5.5 3.2 0.3 10.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 3.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.5 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.1 11.7 17.6 19.8 18.6 12.7 6.9 2.8 1.0 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 14.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 1.0% 8.4% 8.4% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
11-7 2.8% 7.6% 7.6% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.6
10-8 6.9% 4.9% 4.9% 12.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.6
9-9 12.7% 3.8% 3.8% 12.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 12.2
8-10 18.6% 1.5% 1.5% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 18.3
7-11 19.8% 1.2% 1.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 19.6
6-12 17.6% 0.6% 0.6% 14.4 0.1 0.0 17.5
5-13 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.1 11.7
4-14 6.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 98.2 0.0%