Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#86
Expected Predictive Rating+16.3#16
Pace70.2#155
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#73
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#93
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 3.1% 3.7% 1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.8% 23.7% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.5% 12.5% 4.9%
Average Seed 9.5 9.4 10.2
.500 or above 88.7% 92.3% 77.8%
.500 or above in Conference 78.3% 81.1% 69.9%
Conference Champion 14.4% 16.0% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.3% 3.0%
First Four3.8% 4.4% 2.0%
First Round18.8% 21.5% 10.9%
Second Round8.2% 9.6% 3.9%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 3.2% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 24 - 45 - 6
Quad 38 - 313 - 10
Quad 48 - 120 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 118   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 52%     1 - 0 +13.1 +7.6 +4.5
  Nov 09, 2024 165   Montana St. W 89-69 82%     2 - 0 +17.0 +14.5 +2.7
  Nov 14, 2024 128   Northern Iowa W 75-68 75%    
  Nov 18, 2024 285   Monmouth W 82-66 93%    
  Nov 22, 2024 102   Saint Louis W 79-77 57%    
  Nov 28, 2024 88   Minnesota W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 04, 2024 352   Alcorn St. W 83-60 98%    
  Dec 07, 2024 190   East Tennessee St. W 78-67 84%    
  Dec 14, 2024 114   @ DePaul W 75-74 50%    
  Dec 17, 2024 205   UMKC W 77-65 86%    
  Dec 21, 2024 42   Kansas St. L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 03, 2025 112   @ Temple L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 06, 2025 120   South Florida W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 238   @ Texas San Antonio W 82-75 73%    
  Jan 14, 2025 133   Charlotte W 73-65 75%    
  Jan 18, 2025 154   East Carolina W 74-65 78%    
  Jan 23, 2025 34   @ Memphis L 74-82 25%    
  Jan 26, 2025 142   @ Tulsa W 79-77 58%    
  Jan 29, 2025 73   North Texas W 65-63 57%    
  Feb 04, 2025 133   @ Charlotte W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 09, 2025 120   @ South Florida W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 12, 2025 238   Texas San Antonio W 85-72 87%    
  Feb 16, 2025 34   Memphis L 77-79 44%    
  Feb 20, 2025 74   @ Florida Atlantic L 80-84 37%    
  Feb 23, 2025 145   Tulane W 84-75 77%    
  Feb 27, 2025 101   UAB W 79-74 65%    
  Mar 03, 2025 73   @ North Texas L 62-66 37%    
  Mar 06, 2025 191   @ Rice W 73-68 68%    
  Mar 09, 2025 142   Tulsa W 82-74 76%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.4 4.3 3.2 1.4 0.3 14.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.5 4.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 15.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.7 3.6 0.8 0.1 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.7 3.4 0.6 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.7 3.5 0.6 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.0 1.0 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.4 1.2 0.1 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.4 3.9 5.7 7.7 10.0 12.0 12.6 12.6 11.2 8.8 5.9 3.4 1.4 0.3 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.8% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-2 91.7% 3.2    2.7 0.5 0.0
15-3 72.4% 4.3    2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 38.3% 3.4    1.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
13-5 13.7% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.4% 14.4 8.7 4.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 98.9% 47.3% 51.6% 3.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0%
17-1 1.4% 96.4% 44.5% 51.9% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 93.6%
16-2 3.4% 84.5% 35.4% 49.1% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 76.0%
15-3 5.9% 67.9% 30.4% 37.5% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.9 53.8%
14-4 8.8% 47.1% 22.4% 24.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.6 31.9%
13-5 11.2% 30.1% 17.3% 12.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 7.8 15.5%
12-6 12.6% 18.2% 13.1% 5.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.8 0.0 10.3 5.9%
11-7 12.6% 9.8% 8.1% 1.7% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 11.4 1.9%
10-8 12.0% 4.7% 4.3% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 11.4 0.5%
9-9 10.0% 2.7% 2.6% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.7 0.0%
8-10 7.7% 2.3% 2.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5
7-11 5.7% 1.1% 1.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
6-12 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
5-13 2.4% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 2.4
4-14 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.8% 11.4% 9.3% 9.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.9 2.9 6.8 3.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 79.2 10.5%