Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#115
Expected Predictive Rating+4.0#106
Pace70.2#127
Improvement-3.5#316

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#161
First Shot+2.4#110
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#285
Layup/Dunks+7.3#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#281
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#339
Freethrows+2.5#49
Improvement-3.0#315

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#105
First Shot+5.6#32
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#355
Layups/Dunks+1.4#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#163
Freethrows+3.7#7
Improvement-0.5#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 3.8% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 13.0
.500 or above 99.4% 100.0% 98.1%
.500 or above in Conference 62.7% 77.4% 33.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.5% 3.8% 2.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Home) - 66.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 24 - 24 - 5
Quad 38 - 412 - 9
Quad 47 - 419 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 135   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 46%     1 - 0 +10.9 +7.6 +2.2
  Nov 09, 2024 188   Montana St. W 89-69 75%     2 - 0 +15.9 +15.7 +0.4
  Nov 14, 2024 100   Northern Iowa W 79-73 53%     3 - 0 +8.1 +8.0 +0.1
  Nov 18, 2024 255   Monmouth W 70-66 84%     4 - 0 -3.8 -7.3 +3.5
  Nov 22, 2024 109   Saint Louis W 88-63 48%     5 - 0 +28.4 +7.9 +17.9
  Nov 28, 2024 76   Minnesota W 68-66 OT 33%     6 - 0 +9.4 -2.8 +12.2
  Nov 29, 2024 4   Florida L 51-88 5%     6 - 1 -14.8 -11.2 -4.2
  Dec 04, 2024 307   Alcorn St. W 78-54 90%     7 - 1 +13.0 +0.7 +12.3
  Dec 07, 2024 148   East Tennessee St. W 96-87 67%     8 - 1 +7.2 +14.3 -8.0
  Dec 14, 2024 120   @ DePaul L 72-91 41%     8 - 2 -13.9 +0.2 -13.6
  Dec 17, 2024 245   UMKC L 64-74 83%     8 - 3 -17.3 -6.9 -11.0
  Dec 21, 2024 56   Kansas St. W 84-65 31%     9 - 3 +27.0 +15.4 +11.5
  Jan 03, 2025 155   @ Temple L 85-91 49%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -3.0 +3.7 -6.1
  Jan 06, 2025 176   South Florida L 72-91 73%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -22.5 -2.2 -20.0
  Jan 11, 2025 208   @ Texas San Antonio L 75-88 61%     9 - 6 0 - 3 -13.0 +1.9 -15.1
  Jan 14, 2025 235   Charlotte W 68-59 81%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +2.5 -4.6 +7.6
  Jan 18, 2025 150   East Carolina L 72-75 68%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -4.9 +1.6 -6.7
  Jan 23, 2025 47   @ Memphis L 53-61 16%     10 - 8 1 - 5 +5.7 -10.8 +16.3
  Jan 26, 2025 246   @ Tulsa L 77-84 69%     10 - 9 1 - 6 -9.2 +10.7 -20.6
  Jan 29, 2025 71   North Texas L 54-58 40%     10 - 10 1 - 7 +1.4 -3.1 +3.6
  Feb 04, 2025 235   @ Charlotte W 66-58 66%     11 - 10 2 - 7 +6.5 +0.0 +7.5
  Feb 09, 2025 176   @ South Florida W 75-70 55%     12 - 10 3 - 7 +6.6 +4.6 +2.0
  Feb 12, 2025 208   Texas San Antonio W 69-64 77%     13 - 10 4 - 7 -0.1 -9.2 +9.0
  Feb 16, 2025 47   Memphis W 84-79 OT 29%     14 - 10 5 - 7 +13.6 +8.1 +5.0
  Feb 20, 2025 105   @ Florida Atlantic W 75-68 36%     15 - 10 6 - 7 +13.6 +10.1 +4.2
  Feb 23, 2025 144   Tulane W 74-70 67%    
  Feb 27, 2025 104   UAB W 80-79 57%    
  Mar 03, 2025 71   @ North Texas L 59-67 23%    
  Mar 06, 2025 178   @ Rice W 73-72 53%    
  Mar 09, 2025 246   Tulsa W 75-65 84%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.6 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 2.4 4.8 4th
5th 3.3 11.8 1.7 16.7 5th
6th 0.0 4.0 20.0 8.3 0.2 32.5 6th
7th 1.3 16.3 11.5 0.3 29.4 7th
8th 0.1 5.5 6.5 0.4 12.5 8th
9th 0.5 2.1 0.2 2.7 9th
10th 0.6 0.2 0.7 10th
11th 0.2 0.2 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 1.2 9.1 27.0 35.2 22.6 4.9 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 4.9% 6.4% 6.4% 11.9 0.0 0.3 4.5
10-8 22.6% 4.9% 4.9% 12.3 0.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 21.5
9-9 35.2% 3.5% 3.5% 12.7 0.5 0.6 0.1 34.0
8-10 27.0% 2.6% 2.6% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 26.3
7-11 9.1% 1.6% 1.6% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.0
6-12 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 1.2
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 11.9 6.5 93.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%
Lose Out 0.6%