Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#135
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#164
Pace72.0#95
Improvement-0.4#210

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#69
First Shot+4.1#67
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#169
Layup/Dunks+4.3#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#71
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement+0.6#124

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#266
First Shot-1.1#204
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#309
Layups/Dunks+1.1#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#332
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#282
Freethrows+2.8#29
Improvement-1.0#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 12.8
.500 or above 35.8% 42.8% 21.0%
.500 or above in Conference 32.7% 35.9% 25.9%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 9.2% 14.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.3% 1.5% 0.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 67.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 72 - 10
Quad 36 - 68 - 16
Quad 46 - 114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 78   Santa Clara L 78-85 29%     0 - 1 +0.1 +4.7 -4.3
  Nov 16, 2024 189   Loyola Marymount W 77-71 71%     1 - 1 +1.6 +3.0 -1.4
  Nov 22, 2024 100   Wichita St. L 63-88 36%     1 - 2 -20.0 -13.3 -4.1
  Nov 25, 2024 238   Quinnipiac W 81-67 79%     2 - 2 +7.0 -4.3 +9.5
  Nov 27, 2024 151   Umass Lowell W 93-90 65%     3 - 2 +0.4 +20.8 -20.3
  Dec 02, 2024 311   Jackson St. W 74-66 88%     4 - 2 -3.2 +2.5 -5.2
  Dec 05, 2024 56   @ San Francisco L 61-78 15%     4 - 3 -4.5 -3.8 -0.7
  Dec 08, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 85-62 95%     5 - 3 +5.8 +9.9 -3.0
  Dec 15, 2024 160   @ Illinois St. L 77-81 44%     5 - 4 -1.1 +13.3 -14.8
  Dec 18, 2024 163   Wofford W 79-74 68%    
  Dec 22, 2024 102   @ Grand Canyon L 77-84 27%    
  Dec 31, 2024 172   @ Fordham L 79-80 47%    
  Jan 03, 2025 103   Saint Joseph's L 77-78 48%    
  Jan 08, 2025 89   St. Bonaventure L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 14, 2025 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-79 15%    
  Jan 18, 2025 205   @ Richmond W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 22, 2025 155   La Salle W 83-79 65%    
  Jan 25, 2025 144   @ George Washington L 79-81 42%    
  Jan 28, 2025 55   Virginia Commonwealth L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 31, 2025 38   Dayton L 73-80 25%    
  Feb 04, 2025 200   @ Massachusetts W 81-80 51%    
  Feb 07, 2025 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 11, 2025 83   George Mason L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 14, 2025 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 74-80 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 98   Rhode Island L 81-82 46%    
  Feb 25, 2025 124   @ Davidson L 76-80 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 104   Loyola Chicago L 76-77 49%    
  Mar 04, 2025 38   @ Dayton L 70-83 12%    
  Mar 08, 2025 198   Duquesne W 76-70 71%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 3.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.9 3.7 0.5 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 3.0 5.2 1.2 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.5 2.6 0.1 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 4.9 4.0 0.5 0.0 10.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.5 1.2 0.0 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.9 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.8 15th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.1 4.3 7.7 11.0 13.5 14.5 13.4 11.6 8.7 6.1 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 91.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 76.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 42.6% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 22.9% 11.4% 11.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.9%
15-3 0.3% 18.8% 15.9% 2.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.4%
14-4 0.8% 12.0% 11.7% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3%
13-5 1.7% 10.2% 10.1% 0.1% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.1%
12-6 3.4% 5.7% 5.7% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.2
11-7 6.1% 4.0% 4.0% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.8
10-8 8.7% 1.9% 1.9% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.5
9-9 11.6% 1.1% 1.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
8-10 13.4% 0.8% 0.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3
7-11 14.5% 0.4% 0.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4
6-12 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-13 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 11.0
4-14 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.7
3-15 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.3
2-16 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%