Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#102
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#309
Pace72.0#104
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#47
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#180
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 1.0% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 11.4% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.3% 2.9% 0.6%
Average Seed 10.5 10.3 11.4
.500 or above 65.9% 72.6% 43.8%
.500 or above in Conference 60.5% 64.8% 46.2%
Conference Champion 9.2% 10.4% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 4.3% 10.1%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
First Round9.5% 10.9% 4.8%
Second Round3.5% 4.1% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Home) - 76.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 54 - 8
Quad 37 - 511 - 13
Quad 46 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 111   Santa Clara L 78-85 54%     0 - 1 -3.1 +2.2 -5.1
  Nov 16, 2024 164   Loyola Marymount W 77-69 77%    
  Nov 22, 2024 86   Wichita St. L 77-79 43%    
  Nov 25, 2024 247   Quinnipiac W 86-74 86%    
  Nov 27, 2024 138   Umass Lowell W 83-76 72%    
  Dec 02, 2024 324   Jackson St. W 85-68 94%    
  Dec 05, 2024 69   @ San Francisco L 73-79 29%    
  Dec 08, 2024 342   Chicago St. W 87-68 95%    
  Dec 15, 2024 173   @ Illinois St. W 74-71 59%    
  Dec 18, 2024 178   Wofford W 79-70 78%    
  Dec 22, 2024 85   @ Grand Canyon L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 31, 2024 159   @ Fordham W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 03, 2025 106   Saint Joseph's W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 08, 2025 113   St. Bonaventure W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 14, 2025 54   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 18, 2025 184   @ Richmond W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 22, 2025 127   La Salle W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 153   @ George Washington W 81-80 53%    
  Jan 28, 2025 54   Virginia Commonwealth L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 31, 2025 58   Dayton L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 04, 2025 109   @ Massachusetts L 77-79 42%    
  Feb 07, 2025 106   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-79 41%    
  Feb 11, 2025 95   George Mason W 77-74 58%    
  Feb 14, 2025 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 116   Rhode Island W 83-78 65%    
  Feb 25, 2025 130   @ Davidson W 75-74 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 108   Loyola Chicago W 78-74 62%    
  Mar 04, 2025 58   @ Dayton L 71-78 28%    
  Mar 08, 2025 157   Duquesne W 78-71 73%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.2 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.3 2.3 0.7 0.1 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 4.1 1.1 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.3 3.2 3.3 0.5 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 3.9 1.2 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.1 0.2 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.8 0.5 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.0 0.0 5.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.3 0.1 4.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.0 15th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.4 5.4 7.5 8.9 10.8 11.7 11.3 10.6 8.7 7.1 5.3 3.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 96.0% 1.8    1.5 0.2 0.0
15-3 78.2% 2.5    1.7 0.8 0.1
14-4 48.1% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 17.8% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 5.2 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 53.1% 46.9% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 83.3% 48.4% 34.9% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 67.7%
16-2 1.8% 72.7% 36.9% 35.8% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 56.7%
15-3 3.2% 46.4% 27.7% 18.7% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.7 25.8%
14-4 5.3% 31.1% 23.3% 7.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.6 10.2%
13-5 7.1% 21.6% 19.4% 2.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 5.6 2.7%
12-6 8.7% 14.0% 13.7% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.5 0.3%
11-7 10.6% 8.3% 8.1% 0.2% 12.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.2%
10-8 11.3% 4.7% 4.6% 0.0% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.8 0.0%
9-9 11.7% 2.8% 2.8% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.4
8-10 10.8% 1.6% 1.6% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
7-11 8.9% 0.8% 0.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8
6-12 7.5% 0.4% 0.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5
5-13 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-14 3.4% 3.4
3-15 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.9% 7.8% 2.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 3.0 2.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 90.1 2.3%