Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#184
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#190
Pace75.5#32
Improvement+7.4#4

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#236
First Shot-2.8#263
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#164
Layup/Dunks-0.4#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#299
Freethrows-0.2#187
Improvement+4.2#14

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#127
First Shot+1.5#124
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#192
Layups/Dunks+0.8#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#181
Freethrows+0.3#170
Improvement+3.2#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.1% 27.8% 23.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 97.5% 98.5% 93.4%
.500 or above in Conference 99.9% 100.0% 99.7%
Conference Champion 60.4% 64.7% 41.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.8% 1.5% 3.3%
First Round26.4% 27.3% 22.2%
Second Round0.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 82.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 6
Quad 418 - 620 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 88   @ Yale L 62-88 17%     0 - 1 -16.8 -9.5 -6.6
  Nov 09, 2024 16   @ St. John's L 73-96 4%     0 - 2 -3.8 +3.8 -4.9
  Nov 15, 2024 202   Maine W 58-55 64%     1 - 2 -1.7 -12.1 +10.5
  Nov 19, 2024 291   @ Navy W 74-63 64%     2 - 2 +6.3 +1.1 +5.6
  Nov 23, 2024 188   @ Umass Lowell L 70-80 40%     2 - 3 -8.5 -6.1 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2024 102   @ Saint Louis L 67-81 23%     2 - 4 -7.2 -12.4 +6.9
  Dec 01, 2024 312   @ Stonehill L 74-88 68%     2 - 5 -19.9 +2.4 -23.1
  Dec 06, 2024 294   @ Rider W 72-67 65%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +0.1 +3.6 -3.0
  Dec 08, 2024 295   Sacred Heart W 83-73 81%     4 - 5 2 - 0 -0.4 +1.3 -2.0
  Dec 17, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 69-70 84%     4 - 6 -12.8 -11.5 -1.4
  Dec 21, 2024 230   @ Central Connecticut St. L 80-84 51%     4 - 7 -5.2 +7.2 -12.2
  Dec 29, 2024 174   Hofstra W 75-69 OT 59%     5 - 7 +2.8 -2.5 +4.6
  Jan 03, 2025 232   @ St. Peter's W 59-46 51%     6 - 7 3 - 0 +11.8 -3.8 +16.9
  Jan 05, 2025 218   @ Marist L 62-69 48%     6 - 8 3 - 1 -7.4 -10.1 +3.0
  Jan 10, 2025 270   Siena W 72-53 77%     7 - 8 4 - 1 +10.1 -4.9 +14.7
  Jan 12, 2025 253   @ Iona W 63-62 56%     8 - 8 5 - 1 -1.5 -8.6 +7.2
  Jan 16, 2025 206   Merrimack W 81-76 65%     9 - 8 6 - 1 +0.1 +7.0 -7.0
  Jan 18, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's W 91-57 58%     10 - 8 7 - 1 +30.8 +22.0 +9.7
  Jan 25, 2025 294   Rider W 75-66 82%    
  Jan 31, 2025 318   Fairfield W 79-68 85%    
  Feb 02, 2025 270   @ Siena W 71-69 59%    
  Feb 06, 2025 346   Canisius W 81-67 91%    
  Feb 08, 2025 310   Niagara W 76-66 84%    
  Feb 14, 2025 295   @ Sacred Heart W 79-75 62%    
  Feb 16, 2025 253   Iona W 75-68 75%    
  Feb 23, 2025 297   @ Manhattan W 80-76 64%    
  Feb 28, 2025 232   St. Peter's W 67-61 70%    
  Mar 02, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 67-69 43%    
  Mar 06, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's W 76-68 77%    
  Mar 08, 2025 318   @ Fairfield W 76-71 68%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 16 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.9 9.6 16.7 17.5 10.4 2.9 60.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 3.0 7.4 8.9 5.4 1.5 0.1 26.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.5 3.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.0 7.5 13.6 19.8 22.3 19.0 10.5 2.9 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 2.9    2.9 0.1
18-2 98.9% 10.4    9.7 0.7
17-3 92.3% 17.5    14.6 2.9 0.1
16-4 74.8% 16.7    11.0 5.1 0.5
15-5 48.3% 9.6    3.9 4.7 1.0 0.1
14-6 21.5% 2.9    0.7 1.4 0.7 0.2
13-7 5.5% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 60.4% 60.4 42.8 14.9 2.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 2.9% 39.9% 39.9% 13.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8
18-2 10.5% 38.1% 38.1% 14.1 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.2 6.5
17-3 19.0% 32.8% 32.8% 14.7 0.2 2.0 3.7 0.3 12.8
16-4 22.3% 28.5% 28.5% 15.0 0.1 1.0 4.0 1.3 15.9
15-5 19.8% 24.0% 24.0% 15.4 0.2 2.4 2.1 15.1
14-6 13.6% 19.6% 19.6% 15.6 0.1 0.9 1.7 11.0
13-7 7.5% 17.9% 17.9% 15.7 0.3 1.0 6.2
12-8 3.0% 16.0% 16.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 2.5
11-9 1.0% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.1 0.9
10-10 0.3% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
9-11 0.1% 0.1
8-12 0.0% 0.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 27.1% 27.1% 0.0% 14.9 0.4 1.6 5.6 12.6 7.0 72.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 13.0 25.6 52.1 20.5 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%