Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#238
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#199
Pace75.4#35
Improvement+1.4#83

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#256
First Shot-3.0#262
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#188
Layup/Dunks-1.0#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#292
Freethrows-0.4#205
Improvement+2.7#21

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#198
First Shot-1.1#200
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#174
Layups/Dunks+1.2#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#239
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-1.3#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.6% 13.4% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 62.6% 67.7% 42.1%
.500 or above in Conference 82.6% 84.4% 75.1%
Conference Champion 20.2% 21.7% 14.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.5%
First Four3.1% 3.0% 3.3%
First Round11.2% 12.0% 7.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 80.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 415 - 717 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 105   @ Yale L 62-88 14%     0 - 1 -18.5 -11.2 -6.5
  Nov 09, 2024 15   @ St. John's L 73-96 3%     0 - 2 -4.7 +0.5 -2.5
  Nov 15, 2024 213   Maine W 58-55 56%     1 - 2 -2.5 -13.0 +10.5
  Nov 19, 2024 301   @ Navy W 74-63 52%     2 - 2 +6.5 +0.7 +6.2
  Nov 23, 2024 151   @ Umass Lowell L 70-80 24%     2 - 3 -6.6 -5.4 -0.9
  Nov 25, 2024 135   @ Saint Louis L 67-81 21%     2 - 4 -9.6 -15.5 +7.6
  Dec 01, 2024 323   @ Stonehill L 74-88 58%     2 - 5 -20.1 +2.7 -23.6
  Dec 06, 2024 288   @ Rider W 72-67 49%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +1.3 +4.3 -2.5
  Dec 08, 2024 277   Sacred Heart W 83-73 69%     4 - 5 2 - 0 +0.9 +2.3 -1.7
  Dec 17, 2024 330   Holy Cross W 79-70 80%    
  Dec 21, 2024 222   @ Central Connecticut St. L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 29, 2024 156   Hofstra L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 03, 2025 221   @ St. Peter's L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 05, 2025 236   @ Marist L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 10, 2025 283   Siena W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 12, 2025 257   @ Iona L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 16, 2025 217   Merrimack W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 288   Rider W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 31, 2025 292   Fairfield W 79-73 70%    
  Feb 02, 2025 283   @ Siena L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 06, 2025 352   Canisius W 81-69 86%    
  Feb 08, 2025 314   Niagara W 75-67 76%    
  Feb 14, 2025 277   @ Sacred Heart L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 16, 2025 257   Iona W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 23, 2025 316   @ Manhattan W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 28, 2025 221   St. Peter's W 69-67 57%    
  Mar 02, 2025 217   @ Merrimack L 67-71 35%    
  Mar 06, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's W 77-72 66%    
  Mar 08, 2025 292   @ Fairfield L 75-76 50%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 5.3 5.1 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 20.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.6 5.9 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 15.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.2 5.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 5.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.9 2.6 0.2 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.3 0.4 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 3.5 0.8 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 2.9 1.3 0.1 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.7 0.2 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.8 5.0 7.5 10.1 12.7 13.6 13.6 11.9 9.0 6.1 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 99.2% 1.6    1.5 0.0
17-3 94.9% 3.3    3.0 0.3 0.0
16-4 84.1% 5.1    3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 59.2% 5.3    2.9 2.0 0.4 0.0
14-6 28.5% 3.4    1.0 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.8% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 20.2% 20.2 13.0 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 43.3% 43.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.5% 43.9% 43.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.6% 36.8% 36.8% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0
17-3 3.4% 31.6% 31.6% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 2.4
16-4 6.1% 27.3% 27.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 4.4
15-5 9.0% 23.2% 23.2% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 6.9
14-6 11.9% 18.4% 18.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 9.7
13-7 13.6% 14.4% 14.4% 15.8 0.0 0.5 1.5 11.6
12-8 13.6% 9.9% 9.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 12.2
11-9 12.7% 6.4% 6.4% 15.9 0.0 0.8 11.9
10-10 10.1% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 9.7
9-11 7.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 7.4
8-12 5.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.9
7-13 2.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8
6-14 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 4.3 6.3 87.4 0.0%