Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#138
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#54
Pace73.1#83
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#126
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#188
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.6% 43.1% 29.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 12.5 13.8
.500 or above 91.3% 98.8% 91.1%
.500 or above in Conference 92.8% 98.5% 92.6%
Conference Champion 39.7% 59.7% 39.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.9% 0.3% 0.9%
First Round29.2% 42.8% 28.8%
Second Round3.5% 9.2% 3.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.7% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 417 - 421 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 187   St. Peter's W 81-74 71%     1 - 0 +2.7 +8.7 -6.0
  Nov 15, 2024 4   @ Gonzaga L 70-91 2%    
  Nov 17, 2024 79   @ Washington L 73-82 20%    
  Nov 23, 2024 247   Quinnipiac W 83-75 78%    
  Nov 25, 2024 206   Merrimack W 73-66 73%    
  Nov 27, 2024 102   @ Saint Louis L 76-83 28%    
  Dec 01, 2024 235   @ Central Connecticut St. W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 07, 2024 109   @ Massachusetts L 74-80 30%    
  Dec 11, 2024 339   LIU Brooklyn W 84-69 91%    
  Dec 14, 2024 329   Dartmouth W 78-64 89%    
  Dec 18, 2024 359   Stonehill W 83-64 95%    
  Dec 21, 2024 305   Boston University W 79-67 85%    
  Jan 04, 2025 253   @ Albany W 84-81 60%    
  Jan 09, 2025 139   Vermont W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 354   NJIT W 80-62 94%    
  Jan 18, 2025 193   @ Bryant W 82-81 50%    
  Jan 23, 2025 243   Maine W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 25, 2025 326   New Hampshire W 84-70 88%    
  Jan 30, 2025 354   @ NJIT W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 302   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-81 68%    
  Feb 06, 2025 330   @ Binghamton W 78-70 75%    
  Feb 13, 2025 253   Albany W 87-78 77%    
  Feb 15, 2025 326   @ New Hampshire W 81-73 74%    
  Feb 20, 2025 302   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-78 83%    
  Feb 22, 2025 139   @ Vermont L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 27, 2025 193   Bryant W 85-79 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 330   Binghamton W 81-67 88%    
  Mar 04, 2025 243   @ Maine W 72-70 57%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.8 10.4 11.4 7.6 2.8 39.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.0 8.7 4.6 0.9 24.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.8 4.6 1.4 0.1 14.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.5 5.9 8.3 11.3 13.7 15.9 15.0 12.2 7.6 2.8 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 2.8    2.8
15-1 100.0% 7.6    7.3 0.3
14-2 92.8% 11.4    9.4 2.0 0.0
13-3 69.0% 10.4    6.5 3.6 0.3
12-4 36.4% 5.8    2.1 2.8 0.9 0.1
11-5 12.0% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1
10-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 39.7% 39.7 28.3 9.2 1.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 2.8% 66.2% 65.7% 0.5% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.9 1.4%
15-1 7.6% 57.8% 57.6% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 3.2 0.4%
14-2 12.2% 49.3% 49.3% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.2 0.1%
13-3 15.0% 38.5% 38.5% 13.8 0.4 1.8 2.4 1.1 0.1 9.2
12-4 15.9% 29.4% 29.4% 14.2 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.6 0.3 11.2
11-5 13.7% 23.3% 23.3% 14.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.5 10.5
10-6 11.3% 16.8% 16.8% 15.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.5 9.4
9-7 8.3% 11.7% 11.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 7.4
8-8 5.9% 8.1% 8.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.4
7-9 3.5% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.3
6-10 2.0% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.9
5-11 1.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-12 0.4% 0.4
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 29.6% 29.5% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.1 7.7 8.3 6.1 2.5 70.4 0.0%