Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#109
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#198
Pace72.2#101
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#114
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#109
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 11.5% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.1% 3.6% 0.9%
Average Seed 10.8 10.4 11.3
.500 or above 68.4% 80.9% 58.2%
.500 or above in Conference 62.9% 70.9% 56.5%
Conference Champion 8.1% 11.2% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 2.8% 6.2%
First Four0.9% 1.5% 0.5%
First Round7.9% 10.8% 5.6%
Second Round2.5% 3.6% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Neutral) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 53 - 8
Quad 38 - 511 - 13
Quad 47 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 326   New Hampshire W 103-74 93%     1 - 0 +16.6 +13.5 -0.4
  Nov 08, 2024 57   @ West Virginia L 69-75 23%     1 - 1 +5.9 -0.4 +6.5
  Nov 13, 2024 92   Louisiana Tech L 71-72 45%    
  Nov 16, 2024 131   Hofstra W 73-68 69%    
  Nov 23, 2024 112   Temple W 74-73 52%    
  Nov 24, 2024 80   Florida St. L 74-77 39%    
  Nov 27, 2024 236   @ Harvard W 75-70 67%    
  Dec 01, 2024 354   NJIT W 80-59 97%    
  Dec 04, 2024 235   Central Connecticut St. W 76-65 83%    
  Dec 07, 2024 138   Umass Lowell W 80-74 70%    
  Dec 18, 2024 170   Northeastern W 76-68 76%    
  Dec 21, 2024 72   Arizona St. L 72-76 38%    
  Dec 31, 2024 106   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-76 38%    
  Jan 04, 2025 184   Richmond W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 08, 2025 58   Dayton L 71-73 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 95   @ George Mason L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 15, 2025 159   @ Fordham W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 19, 2025 127   La Salle W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 22, 2025 153   George Washington W 81-75 72%    
  Jan 29, 2025 116   @ Rhode Island L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 01, 2025 157   @ Duquesne W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 04, 2025 102   Saint Louis W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 09, 2025 127   @ La Salle L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 12, 2025 130   Davidson W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 15, 2025 113   St. Bonaventure W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 19, 2025 54   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 153   @ George Washington W 79-78 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 116   Rhode Island W 80-76 64%    
  Mar 05, 2025 113   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-73 42%    
  Mar 08, 2025 108   Loyola Chicago W 75-72 60%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.2 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.2 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 3.9 2.4 0.5 0.1 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 4.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.5 3.5 3.7 0.8 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 4.2 1.2 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.5 2.1 0.1 7.7 7th
8th 0.3 3.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.1 1.2 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.1 2.2 0.1 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.0 0.0 5.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.1 4.8 6.8 9.1 10.8 11.9 11.8 11.5 9.9 7.5 5.1 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.4% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 90.6% 1.4    1.2 0.2 0.0
15-3 73.5% 2.3    1.5 0.7 0.1
14-4 44.4% 2.2    0.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.0% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 4.4 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 97.4% 63.2% 34.2% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.9%
17-1 0.5% 81.9% 33.1% 48.8% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 72.9%
16-2 1.6% 64.3% 27.1% 37.2% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 51.0%
15-3 3.2% 41.1% 24.6% 16.5% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.1 1.9 21.8%
14-4 5.1% 27.2% 20.1% 7.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.7 8.9%
13-5 7.5% 17.0% 14.7% 2.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 6.2 2.8%
12-6 9.9% 12.5% 12.2% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.6 0.3%
11-7 11.5% 6.5% 6.5% 0.1% 12.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.7 0.1%
10-8 11.8% 3.9% 3.9% 12.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.3
9-9 11.9% 1.6% 1.6% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.7
8-10 10.8% 1.2% 1.2% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
7-11 9.1% 0.7% 0.7% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
6-12 6.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8
5-13 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 3.1% 3.1
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.4% 6.4% 2.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 2.6 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 91.6 2.1%