Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#104
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#64
Pace70.5#137
Improvement+1.2#101

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#144
First Shot-2.4#244
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#31
Layup/Dunks+3.0#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#321
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#241
Freethrows-0.4#203
Improvement-0.6#240

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#77
First Shot+4.5#53
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#217
Layups/Dunks+2.8#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#55
Freethrows-1.8#300
Improvement+1.9#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 6.8% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 11.7
.500 or above 93.7% 94.1% 78.0%
.500 or above in Conference 68.1% 68.7% 49.0%
Conference Champion 5.9% 6.0% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 2.4% 4.5%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
First Round6.3% 6.4% 2.0%
Second Round1.7% 1.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 97.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 23 - 43 - 6
Quad 38 - 411 - 10
Quad 49 - 020 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 79-72 97%     1 - 0 -10.2 -4.6 -6.0
  Nov 07, 2024 320   Detroit Mercy W 87-65 93%     2 - 0 +10.2 +7.3 +2.5
  Nov 15, 2024 119   @ Princeton W 73-68 46%     3 - 0 +10.8 +0.3 +10.5
  Nov 19, 2024 210   Southern Utah W 76-72 83%     4 - 0 -1.4 +4.9 -6.0
  Nov 23, 2024 247   Tulsa W 89-53 88%     5 - 0 +28.2 +9.6 +17.4
  Dec 03, 2024 317   Eastern Michigan W 76-54 93%     6 - 0 +10.2 +5.5 +7.2
  Dec 07, 2024 145   South Florida W 74-72 75%     7 - 0 -0.3 -0.5 +0.1
  Dec 15, 2024 56   San Francisco L 66-76 32%     7 - 1 -0.5 -4.6 +4.7
  Dec 18, 2024 352   Canisius W 83-62 97%    
  Dec 22, 2024 166   Oakland W 67-62 69%    
  Jan 04, 2025 55   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 08, 2025 155   @ La Salle W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 15, 2025 98   Rhode Island W 76-74 59%    
  Jan 18, 2025 38   @ Dayton L 66-76 18%    
  Jan 22, 2025 172   Fordham W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 29, 2025 83   @ George Mason L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 103   Saint Joseph's W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 04, 2025 89   St. Bonaventure W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 198   @ Duquesne W 69-65 62%    
  Feb 11, 2025 205   @ Richmond W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 14, 2025 135   Saint Louis W 80-74 71%    
  Feb 18, 2025 124   @ Davidson L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 21, 2025 38   Dayton L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 26, 2025 144   George Washington W 77-70 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 135   @ Saint Louis W 77-76 51%    
  Mar 05, 2025 124   Davidson W 75-69 69%    
  Mar 08, 2025 200   @ Massachusetts W 76-72 63%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 5.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.0 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.8 3.1 0.8 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.1 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.0 1.5 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 5.5 2.3 0.2 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.4 3.6 4.1 0.8 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 4.1 1.3 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.2 0.3 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.4 5.7 8.5 11.2 13.2 13.7 13.1 10.9 7.8 5.2 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.4% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 93.2% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
15-3 69.9% 1.9    1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 34.3% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.3% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 92.9% 53.6% 39.3% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.6%
17-1 0.3% 73.6% 28.8% 44.8% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 62.9%
16-2 1.2% 45.4% 24.2% 21.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7 27.9%
15-3 2.7% 29.4% 21.7% 7.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 1.9 9.8%
14-4 5.2% 20.5% 17.8% 2.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 3.4%
13-5 7.8% 14.2% 13.5% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.0 6.7 0.9%
12-6 10.9% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 11.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 9.9 0.0%
11-7 13.1% 6.2% 6.1% 0.1% 11.8 0.2 0.6 0.0 12.3 0.1%
10-8 13.7% 3.4% 3.4% 11.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 13.3
9-9 13.2% 2.2% 2.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 12.9
8-10 11.2% 1.4% 1.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.1
7-11 8.5% 0.9% 0.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
6-12 5.7% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
5-13 3.4% 0.3% 0.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 1.8% 1.8
3-15 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.6% 5.8% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.9 2.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 93.4 0.9%